大型公共活动风险控制研究与分析

17120071ChinaSafetyScienceJournalVol.17No.1Jan.20073112(1,1000832,100013):620.5020:X913.4:A,,,,;4,,;,,,,;;;;AnalysisandResearchontheRiskControlofLargePublicActivityWANGQi2quan1JINLong2zhe1,Prof.XIANGYan2sun2,ResearchFellow(1SchoolofCivil&EnvironmentEngineering,UniversityofScience&TechnologyBeijing,Beijing100083,China2ChinaOccupationalSafety&HealthAssociation,Beijing100013,China)Abstract:Largepublicactivityhasthecharacterofbigpopulationdensityandstrongfluidity,whichisliabletosafetyaccidentandcausesbigcasualtiesandsocialimpacts.Consideringthispoint,riskcontrolprocedureforlargepublicactivityisputforwardfromtheangleofriskmanagement;dynamicanalysisoflargepublicactivityismadefromtheaspectsofprojectassessment,staticassessment,managementandcontrolabilityandemergencyability.Importantpartsoflargepublicactivityarenaaredivideddefinitely.Levelofmanagementandcontrolabilityisdividedintofourgrades,inwhichrespectivecapabilityforpop2ulationischaracterized.Safetymeasurehasbeenputforwardforeachgrade;anditisemphasizedthatwholecapabilityandimportantpartcapabilityshouldcooperatewithprojectaim,bywhichanewthreadontheriskcontroloflargepublicactivityhasbeenbroughtforward.Itisveryhelpfultothelargepublicactiv2ityriskcontroll,andcanbewidelyusedintheriskassessmentoflargepublicactivity.Keywords:largepublicactivity;riskcontrol;staticassessment;managementandcontrolability;emergencyability0,,,F120062006,20082010,,,,3:1003-3033(2007)01-0141-07;:2006-08-27;:2006-11-20,,,:20042537;21,244,2002005125,300;412,212006112,,362,300,,,,,,1111,1121),;2),:;3),:113,,,[1]:1):,,2):,3):,,2113311(),,,()241ChinaSafetyScienceJournal172007,,312();[2](),(GB64411986)(GB/T138611992),(GB64411986),,161,;2,;3,;4,;5,;6,;7,;8,;9,;10,;11,;12,;13,;14,;15,;16,()313,,[3]1112()3(())456()7()8()9()1011314(PHA)[4],,315,,,316,,,,3411:,,,,,;,,4,,,,:,411,,,,,,,,412,,,,,,,,,,413,,,[5]22414,,,,,,,,,,,[6]415:;,,441ChinaSafetyScienceJournal172007,,,,,416,,,,5,,,4(2),,,,,,,,,212,,,3,4,,511(),,512,,,,,,513,,,514,,,,:,,,,,,,,,,515,,[7](),(3)5411:3,,516,,,517,,,;,,,,,,,,518,;,6,,,611,,:1)()2)3)4)5),,6)612,,,;,;;,,,,:1)2)3),641ChinaSafetyScienceJournal172007613,,,,,,,,,,,,,[8]7,,,8:,,:1),,,,2),,,,3),,,,,4),,5),,,,[1].[J].,2005,7(4):2426[2].[D].:[],2004[3].[J].ISO14000,2003(9):2123[4].[Z].:,1994.3[5],.[J].,2005,15(12):102106[6].[N].,2004-10-08(1)[7],.[J].,2005(5):1517[8],.[J].,2005,15(1):1923[9].[J].,2004,25:4346[10]Z.Fang,S.M.Lo,J.A.Lu.Ontherelationshipbetweencrowddensityandmovementvelocity[J].FireSafetyJournal,2003,38(3):271-283[11]Hertz.D.Betal.Riskanalysisanditsapplication[M].NewYork:JohnWileyandSons,1983.97411:,,,,1964,1986,,1993,,,,12,1,1,11,26,,,,IEEE197112,30,2,1,2,4,140,EIIN2SPECISTP10,,,19771220007,,20033,(),,,,2006,,,,,,,,,196210,333,7,,,1971101994,20002001(MCSD),20012003,101,,2,1,10,,,OSHMS19764,2004,,