宏观经济稳定政策的理论依据

20053[]2004-10-24[](04AJY006)[](1964),,,,,,,;(1966),,,,,1,2(1.,100872;2.,100038)[],,[];;[]F015[]A[]1000596X(2005)03000507,2080,(stabilizationpolicy),,(demandmanagementpolicy),2080,,(supplymanagementpolicy),,():,,,,(1),,,,(2),(3),,;,,?,,,520053,,,,,,,?,:(1);(2);(3),,;,,(1)(),(2),(3)(),,,,(4)(),,:,;[1](),,,,():,,,,,:(1),,;,(2),(3),(4),,,(5),,;,(6),,,,,,,,,;,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,(Hansen,1941)(compensatoryfiscalpolicy)[3],(Lerner,1943)(func2tionalfinancenorm)[4],,,;620053,,,,,,,,,;,,,,,,,,;,,,,,,ISLMASAD,1[5]IS;LMISLMISLM,(),,,;ISLM,;ASAD,,():204060,,,,,,1120,,,,,,,,:(1),,(2),,,,,,,,,,,,,,,(3%4%),;720053,:(1),,,(2),,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,212070,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,(policyineffectivenesstheorem),,,,,,,,,,():,(Parkin,1984)(),,2080,[6],;;(GreenwaldandStiglitz,1993)[7],(),,,;;,,[8],820053,,,,,(2090)(),,,,,,,,2080,,,,,,[9],,,,,[10],,,,,,,,[9]():207080,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,2070,,,,,,,,,;,,,,,,,,,,(1),;(2),920053;(3),,,,,():,,2080,[10],,(2,ADAD),,,,(AS)(ASAS),,,,AS,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,;,,,,;,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,?,,3,Q1,AD1,0120053,,,,AD2,Q2,,,,AS(AS2),(Q3),,,,?,,,,,,,,,,,[1],.[M].:,1995.[2].[M].:,1999.[3]A1H1Hansen.FiscalPolicyandBusinessCycles[M].W1W1Norton&Company,Inc.,1941.[4]A1P1Lerner.FunctionalFinanceandtheFederalDebt[J].SocialResearch,1943.[5].[M].:,2000.[6]M1Parkin.TheNewKeynesianTheoryofAggregateSupply,Macroeconomics[M].Prentice2Hall,1984.[7]B1GreenwaldandJ1Stiglitz.NewandOldKeynesians[J].JournalofEconomicsPerspectives,1993.[8].[M].:,1997.[9].[M].:,1997.[10],.[M].:,1999.(:)MACROECONOMICSTABILIZATIONPOLICY:THEORETICALGROUNDSGUOQing2wang1,ZhaoZhi2yun2(1.ResearchCenterofChinaFinancialPolicy,RenminUniversityofChina,Beijing100872,China;2.InstituteofScientificandTechnicalInformationofChina,Beijing100038,China)Abstract:Althoughthemacroeconomicstabilizationpolicyisatooloftenusedbyallgovernmentstostabilizeeconomicperformanceinmoderntimes,thedebateaboutthetheoryofstabilizationpolicyneverends.Thispaperreviewsandanalyzesthepolicypointsofviewandtheoreticalgroundsofdifferenteco2nomicschools,andarguingthatKeynesiandemandmanagementpolicyisstillthetheoreticalbasisforac2tivefiscalpolicybroughtintoeffectinChinainthepastseveralyears.Keywords:demandmanagementpolicy;supplymanagementpolicy;activefiscalpolicy11