行李输送设备的更新决策模型研究

上海交通大学硕士学位论文行李输送设备的更新决策模型研究姓名：林鹏程申请学位级别：硕士专业：工业工程指导教师：潘尔顺;吴庭毅20080301IFMEAABSTRACTIIABSTRACTTakingtheluggageconveyastheobject,thisessaystudiesontwobigissuesinthedecisionofupgrading,thattherunningstatusofequipmentishardtobequantifiedandthedecisionmethodisquitesubjective.Forbalancingtheprofitandservicequalityofairport,itishighlyrequiredtobuildupamathematicsmodelformakingupdecisiontodoupgrading.Thesetupofsuchdecisionmodelscientificallyforeseethecycletimeofmachine.Meanwhile,thestatusofmachinecouldbemeasuredbytheanalysisofthemachinebreakdownwhichsupportthedecisionmodelwithactualdataandthedecisioncometobemuchmorescientificandreliable.Currentdecisiontheoryformachineupgrademostlycomparesthemaintenancecostandtheprofittofindoutperfectcycletimefromeconomicview.Withsucheconomiccalculationmethod,thisthesisfindoutthecycletimeofluggageconveyalmostthesameoffinancialdepreciablelife.However,servicetradeisquitedifferentfromthemanufacturingenterprisebecausethe“product”theservicequality,couldn’tbequantified;theeconomicdecisiontheoryisnotabsolutelysuitablefortheairport,akindofservicetrade.Therefore,thisthesissuggeststhatitisbetteruseupgrade-decisionmodelbasingontheactualbreakdowndata.Firstofall,itcollectsalltherelateddataofbreakdown,followsthemalfunctionpatterneffectanalysismethod,establishesaFMEAform,setupsfaulttreeanalysisandthenfindsouttheequipmentbreakdownmostlyoccurringat4components:rollers,photoelectricity,conveyerbeltsandelectricmotors.Then,thismodelusefuzzycomprehensiveevaluationstobuilduptheelementalsubsetsforluggageconveyorsandtheappreciablesubsetsof4-levelbasedonthepreviousdata.Afterthat,itusestheAHP,basingontheconfirmationoftheprincipledsubsetsandtheelementalsubsetstosetuphierarchicalmodels,each-other-comparedmatrixes,andconsistencycheckingtocalculatetheweightofthefourcomponentsonwhichtheaccidentsfrequentlytakeplace.Andthen,withtheoryofthedegreeofdegradation,itusestheridgeshapefunctiontofigureouttheleveloftheequipmentdegradationwhichwashardtobequantified.Finallythroughthefuzzycomprehensiveevaluationsbyallabovedata,thethesisgetstheconclusionthattheluggageconveyorrequiresupgrade.KEYWORDS:thedecisionofupgrade,themathematicsmodel,AHPtheluggageconveyor2008326111.120083T220102010T3T430002007388821.2KurtMatyasKurtMatyas[1]18KurtMatyas[2]3BMBreakdownMaintenance1950PMPreventiveMaintenance19501960PMProductiveMaintenance19601970BMBreakdownMaintenancePMPreventiveMaintenanceCMCorrectiveMaintenanceMPMaintenancePrevention1970170·42TPMTotalProductionMaintenance38020013420%19877[3]1Fig.1TheModeofMaintenance5TPM1996213RCMTPMTnPM1TnPM[4]TotalNormalizedProductiveMaintenanceTnPM,TnPMTNPMTnPMTPMTPM[5]2[6]19871992SMSSelectiveMaintenanceSystem6RCM2[7]1.2.3.4.1.2.3.4.5.2Fig.2ThemodelofSMS7[8][9]1233Fig.3Thetrendofmaintenance83LCC1[10]RCMReliabilityCenteredMaintenanceRCMRCM[11,12]21989TPQMTotalPlanningQualitativeMaintenanceTPQMTPMTPQM[13]ACMAvailabilityCenteredmaintenanceCEMCost-effectiveMaintenance[14]AMAdaptiveMaintenanceJITJustInTime93TPMTPM200TPMTPMTPMTPMTPMTPMTPMTPMTPMPMPMTPMTPMTPMOEETPMPMPMTPMAshrafW.LabibDMGOEE[15]44DTPMFKTPMCJTPMPLTPMSGTPMYXW4Fig.4DMG10TPMPMIS[16]1.32000[17]1.41151.51235Fig.5TheFlowChartofStructure12451322.1[18]2.2[19]1234142.3[20]9-10152.4IzzzII12ββα=i2-116αiiβ1iβ2i∑∑===niiniiipkk11ααi=1232-2αpkiinIII010101KKKKKI−=−=α2-3αIK0K12.517TT()λ11−+=TCCT2-4618Tλ211−+=TCCT2-5TVKL−02-6K0VLUλ2110−++−=TCTVKACL2-7VL()0=dTACd0TC16Fig.6TheChangeofTheYearlyCostwithTheTime19()λLEVKT−=022-8I[21][22]()()()tBtZKtP+−=02-9P(t)K0Z(t)B(t)207t0t0Z(t)aB(t)()()100−+−=tkbtaKKtPl2-10bkP(t)()ktkbkaKdttdPll+−=02-11()0=dttdPbkaKkktll00=2-12⎟⎟⎠⎞⎜⎜⎝⎛=bkaKktkl00ln12-13t0B(t)kat0P(t)B(t)K0-Z(t)t0Ct7Fig.7TotalNetCostofEquipment21LVtaKK≥−0002-14VLat0t02-13aat02.6[23][24][25]()muuuuU,,,,321L=u1u2um{}4321,,,vvvvV=422),...,,(21maaaA=Am),,,(4321aaaaA=1a2a3a4aA[01]1...21=+++maaaAnalyticHierarchyProcessT.L.Saaty70AHP[26]n1A∏==niijiam1i=12n2-152nniimw=2-163()Tn=∑==njjii()Tnˆ,,ˆ,ˆ,ˆˆ321L=23[27]L10X1X2Xnili()()()⎪⎪⎩⎪⎪⎨⎧≤≤≤⎟⎠⎞⎜⎝⎛−−≥=01CCABACClKi2-18liiABCk0.5~1kktKiTtl⎟⎠⎞⎜⎝⎛=2-19TMTBFk2MTBFXYZ[01]P1P2P3321321PPPPZPYPXL++×+×+×=2-202410~112.7Blin[18]252.8KR⎥⎥⎥⎥⎦⎤⎢⎢⎢⎢⎣⎡=nmnnmmrrrrrrrrrR,...,,.......,...,,,...,,2122221112112-2126()⎟⎟⎟⎟⎟⎠⎞⎜⎜⎜⎜⎜⎝⎛==43212423222114131211321mmmmmrrrrrrrrrrrraaaaRABLoLo2-222.9bb+brr+rrr+rrr+r2733.1[29]/3.2BCCC113112CLIPPER®B3T1T2T38-1-2-328T1-1T1-2T2-1T2-2T3-1T3-23/8BALDOR®SMCYLO®CT1-3T1-4T1-6T1-8T2-3T2-4T2-6T2-8T3-3T3-4T3-6T3-83/8BALDOR®DODGE®TXTT1-5T1-7T2-5T2-7T3-5T3-7BALDOR®DODGE®TXT861-7/163/841-7/163/88Fig.8TheMechanicDiagramofCommonConveyor293/4641-7/162502-1/211/16DODGESXLABYRINTH50,0003.33.4A19973B1991122006BABA49Fig.9TheNewLuggageConveyorinPutongAirport30ABCDB3T1T2T3C23C-23T2T2-8BA32000ACCESSID19982000B22003B62005BB2004200710200420014120063244A771B5088AA4323395320052005A31428322.5357431350ID225ID30050A15B16D12C7B154103754444282634AB1010Fig.10TheDiagramofTheDefault1998143211Fig.11TheDiagramofTheCostofMaintenanceProject20042007101212Fig.12TheHistoryCostTrendDiagramofMaintenance1102004133200636010[30]1011Tab.