城市居民低保标准确定及指数化调整机制设计-以辽宁省为例-边恕

20151208POPULATION＆ECONOMICSNo．12015Tot．No．208———12311．1100362．·4300723．110136、、。、－、、。、、、。D632.1A1000－4149201501－0108－08DOI10.3969/j.issn.1000－4149.2015.01.0112014－09－022014－12－06“———”14JJD630012“”71303101“”13YJCZH003“”L12BＲK003。·。UrbanＲesidentMinimumLivingStandardDeterminationandtheIndexationAdjustmentMechanismDesignIllustratedbytheExampleofLiaoningBIANShu12SUNYana3HAOYue11．InstituteofPopulationＲesearchLiaoningUniversityShenyang110036China2．CenterforSocialSecurityStudies·SocialSecurityandLifeSecurityCollaborativeInnovationCenterWuhanUniversityWuhan430072China3．SunWah·801·InternationalBusinessSchoolLiaoningUniversityShenyang110136ChinaAbstractThispapermeasuredandcalculatedfoodlinelowandhighpovertylinebasedontherealityofsocialandeconomicdataofLiaoningprovinceusingthemethodofMartin．Comparingwiththereallowstandardthispaperfoundthatrealstandardliesbetweenfoodlineandlowpovertylinesoitcan’tmeettherecipientsdiversitydemand．ThispapergotthedynamicadjustmentoflowstandardofLiaoningprovincebybuildinganadjustmentmechanismoffoodpriceindexconsumerpricespercapitaincomecombinationindexthegrowthrateofpercapitaincome．AftercomparingwithfiscalmoderateburdenofLiaoningprovincethispaperalsofoundthatlocalgovernmentcannotonlybeartheburdenofadjustedlowstandardbutalsoentirelybornethelowandhighpovertylinecalculatedbyMartinmethod．Finallythisarticleputforwardsomecountermeasureslikedetermininglowstandardscientificallyrealizingtheunityofbaselinefairnessanddiversedemanddesigningdynamicadjustmentmechanismbuildingmultivariatesecuritycohesionmechanism．KeywordsurbansubsistenceallowancesystemMartinmethodloweststandardadjustmentmechanismfinancialburden、2090。209019951997。1999《》。“”。。、“”1。2。ELES3。4。、、“”5。、、6。7。。ELES。。·901·《》20151、1．2002－2003。2002－201220031592004201211%。20026.56%20123.65%。20122012366.64//239.1//。451.43//311.00//140.43//。2002－2012。10%200920.94%。、、、、、、71450%8。2005、2008201127.70%、31.69%28.07%。2．1。2002－2012《》2003－20132002－2012172.86//366.64//8.71%2.12。10.80%、11.98%13.54%。。2。①。20%、、、、、610%。857%。。3、。2002《》“”。30%－35%、。2010《》。5%·011·①。10//5//5%。、、。。、8。、。1．12200//0.3000.0400.0260.0750.0510.0750.4090.1250.125．cnsoc．org．cn/asp-bin/GB。。、22009。10%－15%20%－30%55%－65%。《》2003－20121。20%2。22002－2010//20022003200420052006200720082009201020112.512.482.682.803.623.783.964.344.865.431.731.842.272.252.832.954.274.054.404.575.797.127.856.777.527.689.427.337.438.5212.5912.9814.9114.9718.1420.4825.1723.4823.7729.944.484.345.355.496.646.346.426.697.498.5810.5910.7411.4711.7412.5213.3714.5915.2016.2918.351.231.601.451.541.922.152.142.633.192.912.552.552.632.753.012.782.923.283.573.984.844.784.654.704.544.755.885.886.066.31131.0137.2145.6148.5172.9184.0206.6213.4231.6257.1《》2003－20121。2．。·111·《》20151Cj=a+blnωjS()Fi+ε1CjjωjjSFiiabε。2002－2011《》、a、b。S″=S'1－a2S″S'a。3。3a、bＲ2F//2002Cj=0.49597－0.08891lnωi/SFi0.936101.7966.94197.942003Cj=0.52145－0.10001lnωi/SFi0.92586.2066.57203.792004Cj=0.55110－0.11031lnωi/SFi0.946121.5166.27211.872005Cj=0.53672－0.10557lnωi/SFi0.941112.2669.76218.272006Cj=0.51020－0.08860lnωi/SFi0.964186.1785.84258.702007Cj=0.51457－0.09308lnωi/SFi0.962174.9590.57274.612008Cj=0.52733－0.08599lnωi/SFi0.974264.6799.02305.632009Cj=0.5290－0.09111lnωi/SFi0.985473.73101.92315.362010Cj=0.53640－0.11134lnωi/SFi0.992827.46108.88340.512011Cj=0.51363－0.09835lnωi/SFi0.93295.36126.80383.932、2《》2003－2012。3．。3Ｒ20.9。SFi1lnωjlnωj=a+bYFj+ε3ωjjYFjjε。a、b。3。4。4a、bＲ2F/2002lnωj=7.12727+0.00065YFj0.9931041.92292.502003lnωj=7.1834+0.00060YFj0.9972063.37299.072004lnωj=7.22120+0.00055YFj0.9951505.89303.342005lnωj=7.38042+0.00049YFj0.985525.38323.272006lnωj=7.56590+0.00042YFj0.985454.08387.092007lnωj=7.69699+0.00037YFj0.982391.20423.492008lnωj=8.00337+0.00026YFj0.962178.43476.702009lnωj=8.01079+0.00027YFj0.977302.86501.552010lnωj=8.0112+0.00028YFj0.983401.02553.102011lnωj=8.26033+0.00021YFj0.949129.37638.113《》2003－2012。·211·4．2006－2008。2005。2005。。。、、2003－201110。11。50%5。550%2002172.9172.71.00182.21.05191.71.112003172.9174.91.01183.41.06191.81.112004187.0192.21.03199.51.07206.81.112005184.5186.01.01197.91.07209.91.142006180.6182.61.01194.21.07205.71.142007192.6201.51.05215.01.12228.51.192008214.4223.81.04237.31.11250.81.172009259.3259.31.00284.61.10309.91.202010282.0289.91.03303.41.08316.91.122011311.0326.91.05343.11.10359.41.16《》2003－2012。。。GDP0.5%12。《》2003－20122002－2011GDP27.14%。·311·《》201510.5%GDP2.07%。。2002－20112002－20116。62002－2011200210360285815018310.7841119.130.22131.42003112441403015962340.9651283.034.64174.62004126551601613738870.9551572.942.47245.920051616051678315054980.9061888.851.00255.720061514792073214099710.8802332.862.99327.420071658583935814123350.8083153.885.15406.120082314395544113742480.8073716.3100.34490.920092430996729212890440.7834615.2124.61630.920102699258221212361000.7676728.2181.66938.8201131466211121011860880.7397824.2211.251096.72002－2011《》2003－2012。12002－20110.76－3.521.00－4.270.66－2.860.45－1.720.76－3.360.72－3.200.69－3.05。2002－2011、、、、、2002、2003、2008、2002、2003、2003。。1、2、3、4、5、6。、1．、、。·411·、、。。2．。。。。3．、。、。4．。。。“”。1．M．1997286．2．J．20032122－127．3．J．20105506