基于亚洲样本的我国外向FDI贸易效应的研究

管理学硕士学位论文基于亚洲样本的我国外向FDI贸易效应的研究张悦哈尔滨工业大学2008年06月国内图书分类号：F13/54国际图书分类号：300管理学硕士学位论文基于亚洲样本的我国外向FDIFDIFDIFDI贸易效应的研究硕士研究生：张悦导师：王东副教授申请学位：管理学硕士学科、专业：企业管理所在单位：深圳研究生院答辩日期：2008年06月授予学位单位：哈尔滨工业大学ClassifiedIndex:F13/54U.D.C:300DissertationfortheMasterDegreeofManagementRESEARCHONTRADEEFFECTOFCHINA`SOUTWARDFDIBASEDONASIANSAMPLECandidate:Candidate:Candidate:Candidate:ZhangYueSupervisor:Supervisor:Supervisor:Supervisor:AssociateProf.WangDongAcademicAcademicAcademicAcademicDegreeDegreeDegreeDegreeAppliedAppliedAppliedAppliedfor:for:for:for:MasterofManagementSpecialty:Specialty:Specialty:Specialty:EnterpriseManagementAffiliation:Affiliation:Affiliation:Affiliation:ShenzhenGraduateSchoolDateDateDateDateofofofofDefenceDefenceDefenceDefence::::June,2008Degree-Conferring-InstitutionDegree-Conferring-InstitutionDegree-Conferring-InstitutionDegree-Conferring-Institution::::HarbinInstituteofTechnology摘要--I摘要随着经济全球化和生产国际化趋势的急剧加强，资本的国际间流动开始加快，规模空前扩大。而由跨国公司为载体的FDI(ForeignDirectInvestment——国际直接投资)，是推动生产要素在国际间流动和配置的主要力量。FDI与国际贸易作为经济全球化的两种主要形式，其关系也越来越多的受到关注，而我国国内的研究主要集中在FDI流入上，对流出的研究非常少，且以定性研究为主。本文就是在这样的背景下，基于亚洲样本研究我国外向FDI与国际贸易的关系。本文在学习、分析和总结前人理论成果和实证研究的基础上，详细阐述了我国对亚洲国家外向FDI的实际情况、特点和发展阶段，并将德国经济学家PeterEgger研究FDI与对外贸易关系模型中的两个变量引入本文，应用基于时间序列的似不相关回归和面板数据固定效应模型等计量经济学方法对所收集的亚洲国家样本的不平衡面板数据进行处理并分析，得出两个结论：一是我国对亚洲国家的对外直接投资对于进口、出口都存在着一定的促进作用，但是这种促进作用比较弱；二是贸易自由化程度越高，外向FDI对出口的促进作用越明显，贸易自由化程度越低，对进口的促进作用越明显。最后，综合理论基础和实际情况提出了几点使我国外向FDI与对外贸易共同发展的合理对策建议。关键词外向FDI；贸易效应；出口；进口哈尔滨工业大学管理学硕士学位论文IIAbstractWiththetrendsofeconomicglobalizationandproductioninternationalizati-ontheinternationalcapitalflowsbegantoaccelerateandexpandonanunprecedentedscale.Moreover,FDI(ForeignDirectInvestment),carriedbymultinational,isthemainforceforpromotingtheproductionfactorstoflowandconfigureintheworld.FDIandinternationaltradearetwomainformsofeconomicglobalization,andtherelationshipbetweenthemismoreandmoreconcernedbypeople.TheresearchinChinafocusedoninflowofFDIwhileveryfewonoutflowandmostlyarequalitativeresearch.ThisdissertationisjustundersuchbackgroundtodoaresearchontherelationshipbetweenChina’soutwardFDIandinternationaltradebasedonAsiansample.Basedonthestudy,analysisandsum-upoftheoreticalbasisandempiricalstudyfromthepredecessors,thispaperexpoundstheactualsituation,characteristicsanddevelopmentstageoftheoutwardFDIflowfromChinatootherAsiancountries.Moreover,thethesisintroducestwovariablesfromthemodelusedforstudyingtherelationshipbetweenFDIandforeigntradebytheGermaneconomistPeterEgger,analyzesanddealswiththeimbalancepaneldatacollectedfromAsiancountriessamplewiththeeconometricmethodsuchastimeseriesseeminglyunrelatedregressionsandpaneldatafixedeffectsmodel,givestwoconclusionsasbelow.Firstly,FDIflowfromChinatootherAsiancountriescanstimulatetheimportandexport,buttheeffectisnotverygood.Secondly,thehigherleveloftradeliberalization,themoreobviouseffectforFDIpromotingexportandthelowerleveloftradeliberalization,themoreobviouseffectforFDIpromotingimport.Finally,thepaperbringsupseveralsuggestionsfordevelopingChina’soutwardFDIandforeigntradeatthesametimebasedonthecomprehensivetheoreticalbasisandtheactualsituation.KeywordsKeywordsKeywordsKeywordsoutwardFDI;tradeeffect;export;import目录III目录摘要...............................................................................................................................IAbstract.......................................................................................................................II第1章绪论...............................................................................................................11.1研究背景和意义..............................................................................................11.2国内外研究现状..............................................................................................21.2.1国外研究现状...........................................................................................21.2.2国内研究现状...........................................................................................81.2.3研究现状评价...........................................................................................91.3论文研究内容..................................................................................................91.4论文研究框架................................................................................................10第2章我国外向FDIFDIFDIFDI的发展现状.......................................................................122.1我国外向FDI的总体发展现状..................................................................122.1.1我国外向FDI和其他国家的比较.......................................................122.1.2我国外向FDI的发展特点...................................................................142.2我国流向亚洲外向FDI发展阶段分析......................................................162.3本章小结........................................................................................................20第3章模型与数据.................................................................................................213.1模型.......................................................................................