XXXX年1-9月呼和浩特市房地产市场形势分析

1目录第一章房地产开发市场情况····························································2一、房地产开发投资情况··································································2（一）房地产开发投资分析·················································································2（二）房地产开发资金来源结构分析·································································3二、土地购置和开发情况··································································4三、房地产开发施工与竣工情况·························································5四、商品房供给和销售分析·······························································6五、商品房空置面积分析··································································7六、不同价位新建商品住房供求结构分析·············································8七、不同套型新建商品住房供求结构分析·············································9八、商品住房购买对象情况分析························································10九、商品房销售价格分析·································································10十、住房价格指数分析····································································11第二章二手房交易及二级市场情况·················································12一、二手房市场交易情况分析···························································12二、二手房成交价格分析·································································13第三章保障性住房供给································································14第四章当前房地产市场主要特点和问题···········································14一、调控政策对楼市的影响······························································14二、高房价“坚冰”未除····································································15三、土地市场总体依然活跃······························································15第五章促进房地产市场健康有序发展···············································15一、贯彻落实调控政策，促进房地产市场健康发展·······························16二、加强对商品房销售及保障性住房的监管·········································16三、控制高房价关乎民生福祉···························································1722010年1-9月呼和浩特市房地产市场形势分析第一章房地产开发市场情况一、房地产开发投资情况（一）房地产开发投资分析2010年以来呼和浩特市房地产开发投资持续增长，1-9月完成投资额997726万元，与上年同比增长40.16%；比1-8月增长29.84%，增幅比上月回落4.05个百分点；比1-4月下降313.65%。（见图1）图12010年1-9月完成投资额与同比增长5.6321.9540.0257.3976.8499.77289.8882.3287.362.3240.150204060801001204月5月6月7月8月9月亿元050100150200250300350%房地产开发投资（亿元）与去年同比环比增长（%）从投资构成看，商品住房和办公楼占完成投资的比重比去年有所3下降，其他略有增加。商品住宅下降9.4个百分点，办公楼下降1.74个百分点，商业营业用房和其他用房分别增加6.02和5.13个百分点。因今年呼市临街改造和一些商铺的竣工等，加之去年以来的住宅楼基本都有车库，因而使商业营业用房和其他用房涨幅较高。（详见图2）图22009年1-9月与2010年1-9月完成投资构成%78.9716.749.724.5910.725.713.9769.570102030405060708090商品住宅办公楼商业营业用房其它%2009年1-9月2010年1-9月（二）房地产开发资金来源结构分析2010年1-9月，房地产开发到位资金（包括上年结转资金）为1769941万元，与完成投资的比例为1.77:1。资金来源中自有资金和定金及预售款占比较多，分别占全部资金25.34%和24.18%。国内贷款增长幅度较高，但是占全部资金来源比重略有下降。自筹资金和其他资金涨幅也较高，主要是自有资金和定金涨幅较高的结果。具体情况见表1、图3。表1房地产开发投资资金来源结构表项目单位2009年1-9月2010年1-9月同比增减%本年资金来源合计万元1102851176994160.49其中：上年末结余资金万元21148827284129.01本年资金来源小计万元891363149710067.96其中：国内贷款万元78111241293208.91占本年资金来源比重%8.7616.127.364自筹资金万元44992365944246.57占本年资金来源比重%50.4844.05-6.34其它资金来源万元36332959636564.14占本年资金来源比重%40.7639.83-0.93图32010年1-9月资金来源构成从表1、图3来看，房地产开发资金来源与去年同比增长幅度较大，表明了资金到位良好。今年房地产市场的飙升，银行贷款增幅较高，使得开发企业自筹资金增长幅度明显高涨。二、土地购置和开发情况1-9月购置土地面积1026190平方米，同比增长110.61%，涨幅比1-6月提高138.62个百分点；土地成交价款109306万元，同比增长240.73%，增幅比1-6月提高242.26个百分点；完成土地开发面积1142880平方米，同比增长123.85%，增幅比1-6月提高75.4个百分点。（详见表2）表22009年土地购置开发情况项目单位2009年1-9月2010年1-9月同比增减%本年完成开发土地面积平方米5105581142880123.85待开发土地面积平方米175369818167523.615%4%9%12%26%24%9%0%1%上年末结余资金国内贷款银行贷款非金融机构贷款自筹资金自有资金其他资金来源定金及预收款个人按揭贷款5本年购置土地面积平方米4872581026190110.61本年土地成交价款万元32080109306240.73到三季度无论购置土地、完成开发土地及成交价同比均呈大幅上涨，特别是成交价涨幅240%以上，表明土地价格涨幅较大。同时也表明随着房地产市场的持续升温，房价没有出现下降，而是上涨。三、房地产开发施工与竣工情况到9月房屋施工面积1882.58万平方米，其中新开工面积472.48万平方米；房屋竣工面积104.66万平方米。与去年同比施工和新开工呈增长态势，分别增长25.78%和72.29%；竣工面积下降17.07%，但下降幅度比1-6月减少16.03个百分点。与上月环比均呈增长态势，施工面积增长14.31%、新开工面积增长16.1%、竣工面积增长8.53%。但是增长幅度均低于1-6月，特别是新开工面积下降幅度近30个百分点。（见表3、图4）经济适用房下降幅度较大，同比呈下降态势，且下降幅度较大。此外，其他同比全部呈大幅增长，特别是新开工涨幅均130%以上。同时，环比均呈增长态势，特别是经济适用房涨幅159%。（见表3）表3房地产施工、新开工增长情况项目单位2009年1-9月2010年1-9月同比增减(%)环比增长（%）房屋施工面积平方米149699791882583125.7614.31其中：新开工面积平方米2742407472483172.2916.1住宅施工面积平方米117884431444418722.5316.7其中：新开工面积平方米2365236370233956.5319.06经济适用房施工面积平方米33600001338312-60.1729.93其中：新开工面积平方米730000259116-64.5159.12别墅、高档公寓平方米48673675144954.394.61其中：新开工面积平方米56195200707257.162.06办公楼施工面积平方米72284496353933.310.74其中：新开工面积平方米43651202686364.330.75商业营业用房施工面积平方米1494476229469953.553.7其中：新开工面积平方米250078576682130.68.656其它施工面积平方米964216112340616.5111.46其中：新开工面积平方米83442243124191.376.71图4房地产竣工面积同比增长情况图-14.47100-66.41-8.33-24.018.5310.82113.75-9.152.060-17.07-80-60-40-20020406080100120140房屋竣工面积住宅经济适用房办公楼商业营业用房其他%2010年1-9月同比增长2010年1-9月环比增长随着房地产市场升温，到9月新开工面积涨幅较大，同比无论商品房还是住房涨幅均较高。四、商品房供给和销售分析9月呼市商品房当期上市面积311.92万平方米，同比增长22.75%，环比增长6.88%。其中，住宅上市面积251.43万平方米，同比增长28.28%，环比增长7.81%。其中批准预售面积218.16万平7方米，同比增长9.75%，环比增长5.24%。现售备案面积93.76万平方米，同比增长69.42%，环比增长10.89%。批准住宅预售面积180.73万平方米，同比增长16.95%，环比增长6.31%；现售备案面积70.7万平方米，同比增长70.48%，环比增长11.85%。主要指标与去年同期对比情况如表4。表4商品房供需情况指标名称计量单位商品房商品住房办公楼商业营业用房当期上市面积万平方米311.92251.4318.5741.92与上年同比增长%22.7528.282.64.75与上月环比增长%6.887.812.13.61批准预售面积万平方米218.16180.7312.6524.78与上年同比增长%9.7516.95-12.5-16.82与上月环比增长%5.246.3100.53现售备案面积万平方米93.7670.75.9217.14与上年同比增长