科技文章十大科研动向

1.ApplewillunveilanewWatchandanewiPhoneThisistheeasiestpredictionintheworld,whichiswhywestartedwithit(guaranteeingthatatleastoneofthesewillberight).AppleisexpectedtoreleaseAppleWatch2.0sometimethisspring,wehopewithanimprovedinterface1andalotmoreapps.AndnextfallwillseethereleaseoftheiPhone7,which(rumors2aretobebelieved)willincludeafingerprint3sensor4onthescreen,wireless5charging,multiplecameras,andaUSB-Cportinsteadofpowerorheadphonejacks6.2.Apple'sdominanceoftechculturewilldeclineSincetheSecondComingofJobsin1997,interestinallthingsApplehasbeenclimbingatasteadyrate,goingintohyperdrivewiththereleaseoftheiPhone(2007)thentheiPad(2010).Lately,though,theproductscomingoutofCupertinohavebeenlessthanmagicalandlife-changing.AnforallofTimCook'smanyfinequalities,hecan'tgeneratearealitydistortionfieldthewayhispredecessor7could.UntilCookmanagestopullanotherrabbitoutofhisiHat--anAppleCar?afully8integratedsmarthome?--theApplemystiquehasclearlypeaked.Nowheretogobutdown.3.Virtualrealitywillfinallybereal--andmostpeoplewillgo'meh'Afternearlyfouryearsofteasingus,theOculusRift9VRheadsetwillfinallyreachconsumersthisyear,probablysometimeintheearlyspring.HTC'sViveandSony'sPlaystationVR(formerlyMorpheus)willlikelyappearafewmonthsafterthat.Andnomatterhowawesome10theyare--andodds11aretheywillbeprettyawesome--veryfewpeoplewillbuythem.Why?They'lllikelybeexpensive,requirevastamountsofcomputing12power,andbelimitedmostlytogamesandporn(e).Thefactis,afterfouryearsofhype,VRheadsetscan'tpossiblyliveuptoexpectations.Andthenthere'sthewholeafter-15-minutes-you-feel-like-pukingfactor(10minutesifyou'rewatchingporn).VRwillfindaniche13audience,atbest,foralongtimetocome.4.ARwillbeatupVRandstealitslunchmoneyWhiletheworldoohs,ahhs,andhurls14overVR(butdoesn'tbuyit),Augmented15Reality(AR)willinfiltrate16allkindsofindustries,fromdesignandengineeringtoarchitecture,education,andmedicine.Why?Beinglessimmersive--youcanactuallyseetheworldaroundyou,aswellasvirtualobjects--makesARmuchmorepractical.MicrosoftjustreleasedanewversionofitsHoloLensandwillbeginshipping17$3,000HoloLensdevelopmentkits18thisspring.GoogleGlasswillalsoemergefromtherockit'sbeenhidingundersinceitsill-fateddebut19,mostlikelyaimedatindustrialuse.5.ComcastwilltrytoacquireNetflix--orpossiblyvice20versaWhetherornotyou'reacord-cutter,streamingmediaisthefutureofentertainment--andnobodystreamsbiggerthanNetflix,whichaccountedfornearly40percentofallInternettrafficlastyear.Sincebigcablecan'tbeatthestreamersatthisgame,theonlythingleftisforittojointhembyacquisition;Comcast($192billionvaluation)Netflix($42billion)arethemostlogicalcandidatesforanarrangedmarriage.Whileitstandstoreasonthatthelargercompanywillswallowthesmallerone,it'snotinconceivablethatthereversewillhappen--notunlikeAOL'sacquisitionofTimeWarner15yearsago,butperhapswithbetterresults.6.AntidronetechnologywillriseTheonlythingpeoplelovemorethanreadingaboutdronesishatingthem--witnessallthecheeringwhenaKentuckymanblastedoneoutoftheskywithhisshotgunlastJuly.(Nottomentionalltheanimalsthatlovetoattackdrones.)Lookforcompaniestocomeupwithantidronetechnologythatusenonballisticmethodsofriddingtheflightzonesofthesepests.Letthegamesbegin,andlettheoddsbeeverintheantidrones'favor.7.FacebookwillcontinuetoeattheworldTheFacebookjuggernautwillcontinue,thoughmostofitsmembershipgrowthwillbeoverseas.However,expectapublicbacklashasFacebookassumesjustabittoomuchcontroloverthemediaitarbitrarilydeliverstoeveryone'sfeeds.Howmanyautoplayvideosofbacon,egg,andcheesebreadboatscanonepersonwatch?8.CyberterroristswillattacktheInternetWe'veseentargetedhack21attacksonamassivescale,andwe'veseenstate-sponsoredcyberespionage.In2016wewillseethemconverge22,withadirectattackontheInternetinfrastructure23motivatedbypolitics,notgreedormisplacedjuvenile24aggression25.Timetobackupyourdata,encryptyourharddrives,andstockuponbeefjerkyandtinfoil26.9.TherewillbeanUberforfriendsNeedadateforapartyorsomeonetohangwithataballgame?Justsharesomeoneelse's.FrogDesignpredictstheriseof“friendshipasaservice”in2016.Welikedthatpredictionsomuchwedecided27toborrowit.Isn'tthatwhatthesharingeconomyisallabout?10.YournextbossmaybeanalgorithmArtificialintelligencewillcontinuetobebakedintoanincreasingnumberofdevicesandservices.Morethanthat,though,entirecompaniesmaybebuiltaroundself-runningprograms,withbusinessdecisionsmadewithoutanyhumanintervention28.Thinkwe'rejoking?ThefirstdecentralizedorganizationsarealreadybeingdevelopedfortheEthereumFrontiernetwork.Wehavemetourroboticoverlords,andwe'dlikea10percentraiseandmoreflex29time,please.1.苹果公司将推出一个新的手表和一款新的iPhone这是在世界里，这就是为什么我们开始与它（保证至少其中之一将右）最简单的预测。苹果公司预计将释放苹果手表2.0今春一段时间，我们希望与改进的接口1和更多应用程序。明年秋季将看到7，iPhone的发布，（rumors2是可以相信）将包括在屏幕上，wireless5充电，多个摄像头，USBC端口而不是权力或头戴式耳机jacks6fingerprint3sensor4。2.苹果的科技文化的主导地位将会下降自从第二次降临的1997年，从事感兴趣以平稳的速度爬过苹果的所有东西，进入超空间推进器发布的iPhone（2007年）然后iPad（2010年）。最近，虽然，产品来自库比蒂诺已少于神奇和改变生活。为所有的蒂姆·库克的许多优秀品质，他不能生成现实扭曲力场他predecessor7可能的方式。直到厨师管理拉出他过高——苹果车的另一只兔子？fully8集成智能家居？——苹果神秘3.虚拟现实将最后是真实的——和大多数人会去'咩'经过近四年的戏弄我们，眼Rift9VR耳机终于今年将达到消费者，大概会在初春的早晨。HTC的万岁和索尼的Pl