工程项目采购供应链中的竞合博弈

17120092ChineseJournalofManagementScienceVol.17,No.1Feb.,2009:1003-207(2009)01-0083-06工程项目采购供应链中的竞合博弈许婷(南京财经大学会计学院,江苏南京210046):,,,,:,,,;,,:;;;:F224;C931:A:2008-10-31;:2009-01-07:(70731002);(2006BAG04B06):(1981-),(),,,,,:,.1[1,2],,,,[3],Flyvbjerg(2002)[4],PartneringPartnering,,,,Black[5]Partnering,,[6],,,,[7,8]Akintoye(2000)[9],,Chen(2007)[10],;(2005)[11],Partnering,,,,[9],,(),260%~75%,[12],[13],,,,,,,:(),100%,FIDIC,70%,,,,,,,,,,,,Xue(2005)[14],;Eriksson(2008)[15]-,,,,,,,,,,,,3,,,{,},,,,,,;,;,,,,:A;BVA:;VB:;V:;:,0!!1;CA:;CB:;E:,,,0,VCA+CB,,11VA+V-CA,VB+(1-)V-CBVA-CA,VB+EVA+E,VB-CBVA,VB4p,q[16],:p=p(1-p)[1,-1]∀A∀[q,1-q]T(1)q=q(1-q)[1,-1]∀B∀[p,1-p]T(2)A=VA+V-CAVA-CAVA+EVAB=VB+(1-)V-CBVB-CBVB+EVB,(1)(2),:p=p(1-p)[(V-E)q-CA];q=q(1-q){[(1-)V-E]p-CB}p=0q=0,V-E0(1-)V-E0(),S={(p,q);0!p,q!1},5∀84∀2009,O(0,0)L(1,1)M(0,1)N(1,0)F(CB(1-)V-E,CAV-E),,O(0,0)L(1,1);M(0,1)N(1,0),F,111,,D(MONF),O(0,0),;C(MFNL),L(1,1),,,;,,,,5,(,)(,),,,,CD,SCSD,;;,,CD,,D,CSD=12CAV-E+CB(1-)V-E(3)(3),D5,SDCA0,SDCB0,SDE0,SDV0CACBE,D,O(0,0);V,D,O(0,0),,;,;,SD,,SD,:dSDd=-12∀VCA(V-E)2+-VCB[(1-)V-E]2(4)(4)=0,CA(V-E)2=CB[(1-)V-E]2(5),SD,d2SDd20,SD,,SC,(5),,,[17],,,,(5),,,,6:,,,,∀85∀1:[18],,()partnering,,,[19],,,[20],,(NEC),,,(,),,,,;,,,,,2:2VA+V-CA,VB+(1-)V-CBVA-CA+K,VB-CcB-KVA-CcA-K,VB-CcB+KVA-CcA,VB-CcB,K,;CcACcB,,,CACcA,CBCcBKCcACcB0,:A#=VA+V-CAVA-CA+KVA-CcA-KVA-CcAB#=VB+(1-)V-CBVB-CB+KVB-CcB-KVB-CcB,(1)(2),:p=p(1-p)[Vq+K-(CA-CcA)];q=q(1-q)[(1-)Vp+K-(CB-CcB)]p=0q=0,KCA-CcAKCB-CcB(,),S={(p,q);0!p,q!1},4,O(0,0)L(1,1)M(0,1)N(1,0),,O(0,0),L(1,1);M(0,1)N(1,0),222,,,(,),,;,,,,771,,VAVB,,VAVB,(1),,2000,200,150100,70%,∀86∀2009,500(2),50,30,,300,72(),0615,1390560,33CA=150CB=100E=500V=2200=07*=0528VAVBSCV*AV*BS*C1390560061510109390794,,,,,(5),*=0528,,0794,345,,(),CA=150CB=100,V=2200K=300CcA=50CcB=30KCA-CcAKCB-CcB,,,,K=100+(),(,)73,,4,4,,,,5,,,,8,,4SC*S*CCA130062505180809140062005230801150061505280794160061105320786170060605360779CB8007500543081390071905350803100061505280794110058405210785120055305150776E4000808053208234500762053008105000615052810794550047005250775600008705230753V1800NA05220691200005052507532200061505280794240007090529408232600076505310845050792--060868--070615--075NA--080NA--:NA,0;-,,,,;,,,(,),,∀87∀1::[1]AssafSA,ALKhalilM,AlHazmiMCauseofdelayinlargebuildingconstructionprojects[J].JournalofManagementinEngineering,1995,11(2):45-50[2]KumaraswamyMM,ChanWMContributorstoconstructiondelays[J].ConstructionManagementandEconomics,1998,16(1):17-29[3]MarrewijkAV,CleggSR,PitsisTS,VeenswijkMManagingpublicprivatemegaprojects:Paradoxes,complexity,andprojectdesign[J].InternationalJournalofProjectManagement,2008,26(6):591-600[4]FlyvbjergB,HolmS,BuhlSUnderestimatingcostsinpublicworkprojectsErrororlie?[J].JournaloftheAmericanPlanningAssociation,2002,68(3):279-295[5]BlackC,AkintoyeA,FitzgeraldEAnanalysisofsuccessfactorsandbenefitsofpartneringinconstruction[J].InternationalJournalofProjectManagement,2000,18(6):423-434[6]LazerFDProjectpartnering:improvingthelikelihoodofwin/winoutcomes[J].JournalofManagementinEngineering,2000,16(2):71-83[7]KimK,PaulsonBCJr,PetrieCJJrAgentbasedelectronicmarketsforprojectsupplychaincoordination[Z].http://wwwigeeumbcedu/kbem/kinal/kimpdf[8]SaadM,JonesM,JamesPAreviewoftheprogresstowardstheadoptionofsupplychainmanagement(SCM)relationshipsinconstruction[J].EuropeanJournalofPurchasingandSupplyManagement,2002,8(3):173-183[9]AkintoyeA,McIntoshG,FitzgeraldEAsurveyofsupplychaincollaborationandmanagementintheUKconstructionindustry[J].EuropeanJournalofPurchasingandSupplyManagement,2000,6(3-4):159-168[10]ChenWT,ChenTTCriticalsuccessfactorsforconstructionpartneringinTaiwan[J].InternationalJournalofProjectManagement,2007,25(5):475-484[11],,[J].,2005,(9):59-63[12]DissanayakaS,KumaraswamyMEvaluationoffactorsaffectingtimeandcostperformanceinHongKongbuildingprojects[J].EngineeringConstructionandArchitecturalManagement,1999,6(3):287-298[13]VollmanT,CordonC,RaabeHSupplychainmanagementinmasteringmanagement[M].FTPitman,London,1997[14]XueXL,LiXD,ShenQP,WangYWAnagentbasedframeworkforsupplychaincoordinationinconstruction[J].AutomationinConstruction,2005,14(3):413-430[15]ErikssonPEProcurementEffectsonCoopetitioninClientContractorRelationships[J].JournalofConstructionEngineering&Management,2008,134(2):103-111[16][M].:,2004[17]VaalandTIImprovingprojectcollaboration:startwiththeconflicts[J].InternationalJournalofProjectManagement,2004,(22):447-454[18]ChengEWL,LiH,LovePED,IraniZStrategicalliances:amodelforestablishinglongtermcommitmenttointerorganizationalrelationsinconstruction[J].BuildEnvironment,2004,39(4):459-468[19]TurnerJR,SimisterSJProjectcontractmanagementandatheoryoforganizationInternationalJournalofProjectManagement,2001,(19):457-464[20]SGchter,ERenner,MSeftonTheLongRunBenefitsofPunishment[J].Science,2008,322(5907):1510CoOpetitionGameofSupplyChaininEngineeringProcurementXUTing(SchoolofAccounting,NanjingUniversityofFinanceandEconomics,Nanjing210046,China)Abstract:Thesupplier,contractorandclientconstituteasupplychaininengineeringprocuremen