金融危机下的贸易保护主义倾向与中国的对策

:,,,,,,:,,19,,,,1914,,,1929(GreatDepres2sion)1930(TheSmoot2HawleyTariff),(),,1929-193260%,2030,2030,21,30%-50%,,,,,,,,,(),,,,1;1,(prisonersdilemma),,,,,1?121210,10()-10,20()20,-10()-5,-5():1()()?(IMF),1930,,,,8,:,,60,WTO()WTO,,,WTOWTO(),WTO(2008723,WTO153,WTO),WTO,WTO,,,,(tradepattern):,FDI;FDI,FDI,(integration),(disintegration)(2)21982-2007FDI()198219902007(%)1986-19901991-19951996-20002000200120022007FDI(inflows)59209183322.921.539.727.7-41.1-17.029.9FDI(outflows)28242199725.616.635.18.7-39.2-17.350.9FDI(inwardstock)79619501521114.79.316.919.17.412.722.0FDI(outwardstock)59017581560218.110.717.118.55.913.822.3(M&A)..151163725.924.051.549.3-48.1-37.745.4(foreignaffiliates)271756603119716.010.29.716.7-3.823.720.76361454602917.46.88.215.1-4.725.819.4207658836871618.213.920.028.4-5.419.623.17171194571413.57.69.911.4-3.34.715.4()1923224197816155.63.910.813.3-3.212.316.6GDP(currentprices)11737225885456810.15.11.32.7-0.93.711.5228548151235613.44.22.43.8-3.6-0.613.1(royaltiesandlicensefeereceipts)93016421.314.37.79.5-2.56.715.4224642601713812.78.73.611.4-3.34.715.4GDP(%)19.1418.8631.41:UNCTAD,WorldInvestmentReport2008,p.9,Table1.4,,,,,(,)9,,,,,,,,,:,,,;,,,:,,,,,,,,,,,WTO,,,,H-O(),()-(),,,,;,;,,:[1]Bagwell,KyleandStaiger,R.W.,2002,TheEconomicsoftheWorldTradingSystem,TheMITPress.[2]UNCTAD,WorldInvestmentReport2008.[3]WTO,WorldTradeReport2007Sixdecadesofmultilateraltradecooperation:Whathavewelearnt?[4]:,2009201