中国汽车制造业地理集中实证分析[1]

28320099()J1XianUniv.ofArch.&Tech.(SocialScienceEdition)Vol.28No.3Sep.2009(,100872):,20022008,,,,,,:;;;;:F429.9:A:1008-7192(2009)03-0037-063TheEmpiricalAnalysisoftheGeographicalConcentrationinChina’sAuto2manufacturingIndustriesWANGZhao2yu(RenminUniversityofChina,Beijing100872,China)Abstract:Itisnodoubtthattheauto2manufacturingindustriesplayacriticalroleintheeconomicde2velopmentofanindustrializedsociety.Bymeansofakindofindexesmeasuringtheindustrialgeo2graphicalconcentration,thepaperanalysesacollectionofdataofthetotalindustrialoutputvalueofChineseauto2manufacturingindustriesfrom2002to2008withtheviewtofindingoutthelayoutofChineseauto2manufacturingindustries.ThepapercomesupwiththeconclusionthatChineseauto2manufacturingindustriesarecentralizedgeographicallynow.Inthefuture,moreandmoreclustersofauto2manufacturingindustrieswillbedevelopedinotherareasofbettereconomytoboosttheeconom2icgrowthKeywords:auto2manufacturingindustry;geographicalconcentration;layout;concentrationratio;HerfindahlIndex,,,,,,3:2009-06-25:(1986),,,,[1]29-3019562090,(1),,,1992,75.89%(2),,[2]722-725(),,(GB/T4754-2002)(),37220022008,,,1.(concentrationratio)()(,):CRn=ni=1Xi/Ni=1X1,CRn,n(N)[3]18,01,CRn,,,,,n,(N-n),,n,,,n=1382.(HerfindahlIndex)-(Herfindahl-Hir2shmanIndex,HHI),(HI),,,100:HI=ni=1(xiTi100)2,n,Ti,Xii,HI10000/n,,,(1)(20022008)CR1CR3CR8,(1)1,2002,CR1CR3CR8:,CR1CR32006,CR82007,,83()28120022008CR1CR3CR8CR8()20020.1625790.4395050.73111220030.1655140.389740.69650420040.1374110.3443160.69583420050.1142240.3044490.6745220060.1031430.3001290.66521320070.106490.3051610.65833320080.1090210.317860.658386:1CR8,,2002-200810,,2003,,20022005,2008,20022008,20022008(),20022004,2005,,2008(),CR8(CR870%)(40%CR870%)(20%CR840%)(CR820%)[5]16,,,,CR8:(CR870%)(40%CR870%)(20%CR840%)(CR820%)CR873.11%65.83%,,CRn(2)2002200420062008,Arcview,14,,12002/22004/933:32006/42008/(3),,HI10000/31=322.58,,,20022008,CRn(2)2002,2006,2HIHI2002892.7727922003819.46096672004740.92007142005676.66056232006669.74908552007674.17624522008675.0429195:(4),10,6,12,3200220083320022008////20022970.7950.5106181150.9390.197823525.73450.0903631170.5650.20119620034627.5670.5578141335.0310.160927785.24150.0946541548.0630.18660620045531.9260.5581461560.3710.1574341071.8390.1081441747.1140.17627620056402.1150.5793211755.1050.1588181187.4220.1074491706.4250.15441320068599.4530.5778462330.2750.1565841616.8860.1086482335.2980.156922200711215.780.5667243136.2850.1584742303.5210.1163953134.9660.158407200812737.680.5584043702.5850.1623172836.8530.1243643533.7630.1549163,20022008,,200251.0618%200557.9321%,200855.8404%,5,04()28,,,,52002-2008,,,;,,(1),,(2),,,,,,,,,(3),,2004,,,,,,2008,(4),,,,(5),,,,,2009114,,(1)20091201231,1.65%()()()()();2009311231,50,143:1.3,()()()()()()()()()()()()(),,,,(2),,,[6]()()()(),,,,[1].[M].:,2008[2].[M].:.1995.[3].[M].:,2009.[4].[M].:.2003.[5]().[M].:.1988.[6][EB/OL].[2009-01-14].()28