需求不确定下响应型供应链系统研究

中南民族大学硕士学位论文需求不确定下响应型供应链系统研究姓名：邓洁申请学位级别：硕士专业：企业管理指导教师：郑双怡20080520IQRERCIIIIIAbstractWitheconomicintegrationnowadays,enterpriseshavecometorelyoneffectivemanagementoftheirsupplychainssoastoshapetheirowncompetitiveedge.Itproposesanewrequirementforsupplychainswiththesharpmarketcompetitionandtheconsumers’personalizedandchangeabledemand.Itisnormalfortheresponsivesupplychaintoconsiderthechangesofconsumers’demand;thiskindofsupplychainalwaysadjustsitstarget,planandoperationtomeetthechangeabledemand.Italsocomplieswiththemarkettrend,andwillbethedevelopingwayofthesupplychaininsomeaeries.Asacommonphenomenoninbusinessenvironment,thedemanduncertaintyalwayschallengestheresponseabilityofthesupplychain,italsobringsgreaternegativeimpact.Itishardforthedistributorstomaketheorderexactlywhilethedemandwouldnotbesure,itisthesameforthemanufacturerstodistributetheproductioncapabilityandmakeproductplanning.Soit’shardtoreachtheperfectresponseoftheconsumer.Thispapertakestheresponsivesupplychainforstudy.Firstofall,thepaperanalyzedtheconceptandconnotationofresponsivesupplychainbycontrastwithQRandERC.Italsoestablishesindexsystem,whichdescribetheresponseabilityofthesupplychain.Thearticlemaintainsthattheresponseofthesupplychainisnotonlymeasuredbythespeedofdelivery,italsoshouldbeevaluatedbyageneraldirectionofseveralindicators,includingtheresponsetime,speed,productivity,servicequalityandmanagementlevel.Secondly,thispaperdosenotdescribesthemechanismoftheresponsivesupplychainindependently.Theauthorputtheresearchoftheresponsivesupplychainintoademanduncertaintyenvironment.Itmakesdeeplyanalyzeformechanismandtriggeredprocessoftheuncertaindemand,alsoincludingtheseriousdamage.Althoughitisimpossibleforustoeliminatetheuncertaindemandcompletely,throughtheanalysesinthispaper,itmaybecontrolledbyestablishingthetacticsofdemandcontrollingandoptimizingthesystemprocess.Thiswaysarehelpfultoreducetheuncertaindemandgettingintothesystemandcutdownthenegativeimpact,thentheabilityofresponseofsupplychainwouldbeimproved.Then,withtheresearchontheelectronicmanufacturingwhichistypicalresponsetothehigherrequirementsofthehigh-techenterprises,thearticlesummeduptheIVcurrentbusinessstrategytodealwithuncertaindemand.Bytheresearchoftheoreticalstudyandpracticaloperationofthecompanies,itdiscussedtheinadequacyofexistingstrategy.Thispaperwouldputthetacticsofenterpriseintothesupplychainbyusingcoordinationtheory.Itestablishesacooperationmodelfortheresponsivesupplychaintoachievequicklyresponse.Themodelisincludingthreesections:coordinateforecasting,coordinateplanningandcoordinatesupplying.ThepaperreferstheCPFRmodel,however,itmakessomeimprovements:(1)Itgivesemphasistorequirementanddemandguide,theenterpriseontheupstairsofsupplychainalsocouldtakepartinthedemandobtaining,itnotonlycouldprovidesomeprofessionalexplanationstothemarket,butalsocouldverifythedemandfeasibility.(2)Theimprovedmodelhasafeedbackmechanism.Thefeedbackbetweeneachpointcouldcontroltheriskofthesystem.(3)Itestablishedaplatformwhichisspecialforsomesuddenoccurrence.Theresponsetimecouldbeshortedbythisplatform;it’salsohelpfulforthesupplychaintomakecollaborativeworkareality.Finally,thispaperlistssomeresponsemechanisms,whichisthekeytotheproblemthathowtousetheimprovedCPFRmodeltoresistancetheriskofdemanduncertainty.Themechanismsincludefoursections:(1)demandobtainingmechanism.Firstly,demandinformationisbecomingmoreandmoreimportant,sothesystemmustbeimprovedtodealwiththecommondemandinformation.Then,chooseinstrumentstofindpotentialdemandsoastogainthecompetitiveedge.Theknowledgesharingcrossthesupplychainisalsoagoodwaytomanagedemand.(2)Informationsharingmechanism.Internetisusedintheresponsesupplychain,whichishelpfulforthedemandinformationsharingandcooperationbusiness.(3)Processoptimizationmechanisms.Enterprisescouldadjusttheirprocesstothemeettheothers’requirementwithreservingtheircorecompetency.(4)Trustandcollaborationmechanism.Anappropriateencouragementandcompensatemechanismcouldpromotethecooperationbetweentheenterprisesinthesupplychain.Foronlysuchfourmechanismsworkingtogethercanmakethemodelmoreeffectively.Keyword:Responsivesupply-chainSystem;Demanduncertainty;CPFR;Responsemechanism1______212,.[J].,2006Vol.28,No.1:68~711985~1986,KurtSalmon,FisherML.Whatistherightsupplychainforyourproduct?,HarvardBusinessReview,1997,75(2):105-117345LeeH.L,PadamanabhanV,Thebullwhipeffectinsupplychains.SloanManagementReview,1997(1):93~102,.CPFR.,2002,21(1):4~861324CPFR5CPFR67891011()(SunilChopra),().:[M].:,2003:531213t*jLjEsj=1T=(-t)JJL*∑fjjj=11T=(-E)/(L-t)JJJJL*=∑∑imimLimEsTiismm=-TLEsm=1i=1=MITT∑∑maxTiMmaxm1m2mm=1=max(,,...,)TLLL∑dFdmaxF=/TT/14QDODjj=1j=1(k)/NNOQPDD=×∑∑jjk=1,if();elsek=0OQDD⎡⎤≥⎣⎦QCQC′()//QQQECCNN⎡⎤′=-⎣⎦CCCC′15()//CCCECCNN′=-⎡⎤⎣⎦161718,,.[J]..2004Vol.39No.1:47~50:,;,;()19,,..2002,25(93):11~15,...1999(5):3720.2002(3):34~35212223242526mndmndmmmdnmdmm(,)Nmd..:(),2005:927mm/0.25dm≤mndnmmmmmmn,0n,0n,1n,2d=+++++meyyyLmndmn,jymn,jemn,jymjN(0,)hd22jmj=0()dd∞≤∑22m22mmjj=0()()()ddhd∞=-∑m01,mr1,r2,s1,s2,h≤≤={}mn+j,j:j0y≥{}mn+j,j:j0y≥s1r1r1r1r12s12r1s1r