国内外乙丙橡胶的生产现状及市场前景

(,100076):3,1461kt/a,2004901kt/a20061013kt/a,20081181kt/a20kt/a,2004211756kt/a,1171628kt/a,,2006145kt/a,2010210kt/a::2006201229:,1989,,(EPR)(EPM)(EPDM),2080,,,,,,,,90%,,,10%,,,,1[13],3,8810%,518%,612%111,Ziegler2NattaInsiteTM11111Ziegler2NattaZiegler2Natta,,,-,,3060,014018MPaDSMExxonMobilUniroyal(Crompton)DuPontDow,,0322DSM,,,25%DSMZiegler2Natta-(VOCl321/2Al2EtCl3),,(ENB)(DCPD),,,,4060,210215MPa,30min,,,,9%,,,,,,,,20160,,,,,,,6%9%,11%14%10%,,,,,,11112InsiteTM,DuPontDowIn2siteInsite,,:120,314MPa,,,,,,1614%,,,,,,,,,,Ziegler2Natta,2045112,,,,,30%(),,()AlEt2Cl,,,,30%35%,,,,,,,,,,TiCl4-MgCl2-Al(i-Bu)3,,133(2006)1,,,30%35%,45;,,;,,,,,,,;,,,,,1131999,91kt/a60%3515%415%,50652107kPa,,,,,,,,,,,114Ziegler2Natta,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,2[45]211,,20041461kt/a,950kt/a,6510%,562kt/a,38147%;360kt/a,24164%;35kt/a,2140%;30kt/a,2105%;305kt/a,20188%;()170kt/a,11164%,307kt/a,21101%,;DSM,241kt/a,16150%,;DuPontDow,225kt/a,15140%;,2322200kt/a,13169%,;,118kt/a,8108%,2004112004kt/aDuPontDowCromptonDSMSOCABUDSMNizhnekamskneftekhimDSMHerdilla18222591631358585553530120704570401010020Vistalon,Nordel,Royalene,BunaEP,Keltan,Vistalon,Dutral,Buna,Keltan,Elastokam,MitsuiEPT,JSR-EP,Esprene,Keltan,Vistalon,Herlene,Tafmer,200391kt/a,90kt/a,135kt/a2004PolimeriEuropaKKPAJSEExxonMobil20034,DuPontDow,DuPontDow2004135kt/a;2003,90kt/a;20034,100kt/a,Tafmer,DSM,200481kt/a,70kt/a,8090kt/a,2090,,,2125%10%,,,3%4%,,,5%15%,,2003,890kt/a,2004901kt/a,303kt/a,33163%;3111kt/a,34152%;2310kt/a,25153%;218kt/a,3111%;218kt/a,333(2006)13111%;8kt/a,0189%22kt/a200320042006()2008()31829722127198311303230282093523502503122837133241232241089090110131181,,60%70%,1990-1992,,1993,2001,,17%2006308kt;,56%,1996-1998,,199810,,2006350kt80%,2006129kt3[56]3112060,19712kt/a,19979,20kt/a,,,9,7642h,,1090,,24,X2207230453062E30703072E40454095EPR2280P20680,J20050207030803092E,J230803092E4095;J22070;3062EJ23080;J20050,,,50kt/a,200610,,70kt/a312,,1999151884kt,2001231244kt,2003631431kt,7614%;2004961676kt,20035215%,8212%,1999-20044315%2004-911211kt,94135%,20035412%;-41288kt,5165%,20032714%20051-9941766kt,-911190kt,96123%;-3576t,3177%4322DSMDu2PontDow,--,-,,20047017%2004320047716%,1718%,214%,212%,--,,2004432004/kt,%6120661143416833916412816722179421938216332180901157614613418411029172193102172190139616761001042004-/t,%-/t,%719051016413121192151693180616781818101131190031261576515114317413132121318571214102019716001391211111001054651010010,,19991788t,2001937t,2003762t,2004804t,-54213t,67145%,20034819%;-26117t,32155%,20033412%20051-9698t3131996,,,1030t1997,,,4kt,1514kt,,1996-20045,,,20024215%,20032416%,20041815%2004:4110%,1013%,815%,914%,1111%,618%,1218%533(2006)151996-2004t/a199619971998199920002001200220032004,%01040100940040001190050015400261094171293022252012246187252158841788213483410745015606100022056331815028232449373733540132003427577481471304215204006343176283069241621756966768041176281815662004/kt,%2006()/kt,%2010()/kt,%4810121311815411081510131111914618121865111315121514441871691010138131013917100151619163014471771171691071614136171171001014510010210100104,(1),Ziegler2Natta,,,(2),(EPDMEPDMEPDMEPDMEPDMEPDM)(EPDMEPDMEPDM)(EPDMEP2DMEPDMEPDMEPDMEPDM)DSM(6-14)Uni2royal(Trilene),,,ExxonJ20050J20030J20020J20010,,(3)-(EOC)--5--2-(VNB)--ENB-VNB,(4)EPDM,(TPO)(TPV)EPDM(5),,:(1),,,,6322,,,,,,,50kt/a(2),,(3),,,,(4),,,,,,-,,,,11[J]1,2003,13(1):475221[J]1,2005,21(1):252631[J]1,2002,5(2):25294Anno1EPDM[J]1EuropeanChemicalNews,2005,82(2137):165,1[J]1,2004,20(3):1820,2361,[J]1,2005,(23):A4ProductionStatusandMarketProspectofEthylene2PropyleneRubberatHomeandAbroadLiYufang,WuXiaoming(BeijingJiangningChemicalEngineeringResearchInstitute,100076)ABSTRACTThemainproductionmethodsofethylene-propylenerubberincludesolutionpolymerization,suspensionpolymerizationandgasphasepolymerization.Atpresent,thetotalproductioncapacityofethylene2propylenerubberintheworldisabout1,461kt/a,withtotalconsumptionabout901kt/ain2004.Itsforecastedthatthetotalconsumptionofethylene-propylenerubberintheworldwillreach1,013kt/ain2006and1,181kt/ain2008.Currently,theproductioncapacityofethylene-propylenerubberinChinais20kt/a,withtotaloutputabout21,756t/aandconsumptionabout117,628t/ain2004.Theoutputcouldnotmeettheconsumptionde2mand,andalargeamountofethylene2propylenerubberhadtobeimportedeveryyear.Itsforecastedthatthetotalconsumptionofethylene2propylenerubberinChinawillreachabout145kt/ain2005and210kt/ain2010.Suggestionsforthedevelopmentofethylene2propylenerubberinChinawereputforward,includingim2provingproductioncapacity,developingnewproductsandtrademark,usingnewtechnology,andsoon.Keywords:ethylene2propylenerubber,production,consumption,market733(2006)1