佛山市摩托车交通问题与解决方案研究_王振群

3120032JournalofTransportationSystemsEngineeringandInformationTechnologyVol.3No.1February2003:1009-6744(2003)01-0080-04王振群(,528000):　.,10,,:,,;,,;,,.,.:　;;:　U491.17AStudyontheMotorcycleTrafficProblemandSolutionMethodsofFoshanCityWANGZhen-qun(PulicSecurityBureauofFoshan,Fuoshan528000,China)Abstract:　WithagreatdealofrealtrafficdataobtainedfromFoshanCity,thispaperillus-tratesthatmotorcycletrafficproblemhasbecomeoneofthemainreasonstorestrictthetrafficsustainabledevelopment.Thevehiclecompositioninthefuturedecadeispredictedaccordingtothecurrentsituationofthetrafficinfrastructure.Furthermore,thepaperpresentsathree-stepsolutionscenario.Firstly,enhancethemotorcyclemanagementandadoptapreliminaryre-strictionstrategy;Secondly,makeoutthereasonableurbantrafficmanagementplanningandgiveprioritytodevelopthepublictransportation;Thirdly,restrictthedevelopmentofmotorcy-cleownershipandclampdownoniteventually.Finally,thecriticalproblemsineachimplemen-tationsteparealsopresentedinthispaper.Keywords:　motorcycletraffic;forecasting;analysisCLCnumber:　U491.17:2002-11-22:,.1　　　,.,,、、.2000,78km2,36.91km2,48.86,294381,251532,85%,20%.,,(、)25%～30%,.,、.,,.,,,.DOI:10.16097/j.cnki.1009-6744.2003.01.0152　2.1　(),,,.1999,36.71km2,197.60km,356.8m2.9.72%,5.38km/km2,8.56m2.,13,48.8km;19,27.9km.,、.,,、,.,,,1,1,“”102,“T”278.2.2　1.,2000,:20207、22642、251532,1995～200020.7%、10.3%、19.9%.,,,.,,.1　:199464258796521438981581254784670103738199567488239497453411526160601294901550471996711974210453439812958173561551001829091997816120341285042171565719874174409207133199894414368153124622176822230420406124167719998881588216770403617529215652224572607922000957192502020741861845622642251532294381%6.921.920.7-0.814.610.319.919.02.3　20008,40,.:8:45～9:45,17:15～18:15;:7:15～8:15,17:15～18:15.,2.,,,64%,-82.9%.2　(%)18.92.811.33.064.01002.4　,19952000.,()、()、、(),,60%.22%,36%(,).、、、,:、;,,,,,.,,.8132.5　,2000,,,,.87,64.4%.,,;,;,,,,,,.,,.,,,“”.:1990,CO67%33%,NOx86%14%,HC22%78%,1996,CO39%61%,NOx76%24%,HC11%89%,.,.,“”90%70%,,.2.6　2000,28,320,127,193,888,146.18km,350km,63765km,148316,5～15min.,350,18,332.4.49km/km2,1.87km/km2,,(2.39);、.,,,,,、,、、,..,.3　,.1994103738,2000,294381,19%(:20%).、、.,3.3　:、20051382472022456238983151462010257424279816462961740102920051240282702248276333751972010171345657779418455934452005131137736235225766345172201021441442281213357314972378220032　　,.,.,,,,,,,,,70%.4　,.,,,.:,,;,,;,,.4.1　,.,,.,:.4.1.1　,,,,,.2002,.,:,,,.,,;,,,.,,50%,10%.4.1.2　:,,;,,,.,.4.2　,,,,,:.4.2.1　,,;、,;、.4.2.2　,,,、.,,,、..,、、,.,,,,.,,,.,,,;.4.3　,,(94)833、,.、,Internet,.,,,.·:,,,.·:,,,,,,...internet,B/SWEB、,,C/S、、.6　,,,,————,.[1]　,,.[J]..2001,(9):30-33.[2]　,,.[J].,2000,3:31-32.[3]　,,.[J].,1997.8,No.4:3-6.[4]　SweheS.ThedesignofanintegratedcircuitusingaVirtualEnterprise[J].InternationalConferenceonEngineeringManagementandControl(IEMC),1996:133-138.[5]　,,.[J].,2000,5:46-48.[6]　,.[J].,2001.4:79-83.[7]　.[M].:,2001.(83),,.:;;,、、、、、;,;,,,;,;,,.5　,,.,,.,,2002《》,,,,.[1]　,1994～2000.[2]　,2001.[3]　,20023.9420032