Measurement and Verification Study of 63 NCPA Publ

MeasurementandVerificationStudyof63NCPAPublicUtilityEnergyEfficiencyProgramsFundedbySenateBill5XPreparedfortheMAESTRO/CALMACEvaluationShowcaseAgendaPacificEnergyCenterJuly26-27,2006851HowardStreet,SanFrancisco,CA94103PreparedbyRobertMowrisAssociatesRobertMowris&Associates2NCPASB5XM&VStudyOverviewStudywasfundedbySenateBill5XandadministeredbyNorthernCaliforniaPowerAgency(NCPA)underajointcontractwiththeCaliforniaEnergyCommission.17CaliforniaPublicUtilitiesImplemented63Residential,Commercial,andIndustrialProgramsprovidingincentivesfor281,390energyefficiencymeasures.TotalBudgetwas$8.7MillionandM&VBudgetwas$388,000(4.5%oftotalbudget).NCPA/CECSB5Xsavingsgoalwas6.37MW.Publicutilitysavingsgoalwas43,410MWhand18.9MW.M&Vnetsavingsare37,346±546MWh/yrand15.9±0.2MWandlifecyclesavingsare541,242±6,822MWh.RobertMowris&Associates3SB5XFunded17Utilities–63ProgramsUtilityExAntekWhExAntekWExPostkWhExPostkWBudgetPrograms1.Alameda1,127,255368.0954,938286.7$272,232C&ILighting2.Biggs96,43539.159,37620.0$8,000Res.CFL,RefrigeratorRecycling3.Gridley233,25285.9119,12945.4$73,240C&ILighting,C&IAC,Res.CFL,Refrig.Recycling4.Healdsburg210,946141.0128,44329.8$84,500C&ILighting,Res.CFL5.Lassen183,96480.4155,84262.7$114,000C&ILighting6.Lodi2,062,413865.31,457,8641043.3$446,000C&ILighting,C&IAC,C&IRefrig,Refr.Recyc,Misc.7.Lompoc725,88794.0558,83785.1$170,000C&ILtg,Refrig.Recyc,C&ICustom,LEDTraf,Misc.8.MID4,052,4494,716.03,347,8574562.7$1,760,000C&ILgt,C&IAC,LoadCtrl,Misc,ResAC,LEDTraf9.Oakland250,00060.0250,00060.0$66,000C&IAC10.PaloAlto3,905,4741,360.72,467,6381167.5$750,000C&ILighting,C&IAC,LoadCtrl.11.PSREC1,863,997546.9454,296250.1$136,814C&IAC,Res.CFL,RefrigRecycling,ResAC12.Redding1,875,1732,219.13,515,2961399.7$715,000C&IAC,ResAC,ResCFL13.Roseville2,589,5651,131.91,553,471598.1$825,000C&ILighting,C&IAC,ResAC,Misc.14.SVP18,155,6173,740.617,607,8833456.7$1,445,000C&ILighting,RefrigRecycling,LEDTraffic,Misc.15.TDPUD624,040243.5708,838263.1$140,000C&ILighting,C&IAC,C&ICustom16.TID5,385,2143,166.93,985,0552542.7$1,150,000C&IAC,C&ICustom,ResAC,Misc,17.Ukiah68,41517.221,52712.3$104,096C&IAC,C&ICustom(PV)Total43,410,09718,87737,346,29015,886$8,700,000IncludingEM&V$388,091,andNCPA$52,027RobertMowris&Associates4#M&VProgramCategoryBudgetExAnteMWh/yrExAnteMWExAnteLifecycleGWhM&VExPostMWh/yrM&VExPostMWM&VExPostLifecycleGWh1C&ILighting$2,100,48221,0244.94336.3820,3024.41324.822C&IHVAC$988,7485,6452.4883.723,9452.1458.503C&IRefrigeration$380,0001,1940.7723.888220.8916.434C&ICustom$370,5504,8981.1673.863,7540.8256.615LEDTrafficSignals$450,6972,7000.3143.212,1260.2434.026ResidentialHVAC$1,344,8032,7121.8940.688011.0512.027ResidentialCFL$250,0961,8831.9512.663,4861.0623.428RefrigeratorRecycling$344,6472,4310.3314.591,7240.4410.349MiscellaneousPrograms$246,5199220.4312.063870.185.0610LoadControl$1,600,74004.620.0004.640.00Total$8,077,28243,41018.88641.0337,34615.89541.24ProgramswereOrganizedinto10M&VProgramCategoriesRobertMowris&Associates5M&VPlanAdheredtoIPMVPConsistentwiththeCaliforniaPublicUtilitiesCommissionEM&VProtocolsrequiringInternationalPerformanceMeasurementandVerificationProtocols(IPMVP).IPMVPisusedbymanystateandfederalagenciesandWorldBank.WorldResourcesInstituteisusingIPMVPtoestablishevaluationstandardsfortheKyotoProtocol.USDOEFederalEnergyManagementProgramandNYSERDAuseIPMVP.USGreenBuildingCouncilLeadershipinEnergyandEnvironmentalDesign(LEED)requiresIPMVP.RobertMowris&Associates6OverviewofM&VLoadImpactPlan1.TrackingDatabaseprovidedaframeworkforM&VStudy.2.Statisticalsampledesignwasusedtoselectcustomersfromeachprogramtoachieve90%confidencelevel.3.On-siteM&Vandengineeringanalysiswereusedtogatherpre/post-retrofitinformationtoevaluategrosskWandkWhsavingsconsistentwithIPMVP.4.Decisionmakersurveyswereusedtoestimatenet-to-grossratios(NTGR)andnetsavings.5.StatisticalAnalysiswasusedtoextrapolatekWandkWhsavingstoprogramlevelanddevelopconfidenceintervals.6.Grossandnetsavingswereprovidedformeasuresandprogramsatthe90%confidencelevel.RobertMowris&Associates71.NCPASB5XTrackingDatabaseReddingRosevilleSantaClaraTurlockLodiModestoTruckeeAlamedaLompocHealdsburgBiggsShastaUkiahGridleyPlumas-SierraOaklandNCPATrackingDatabasePaloAltoLassenReportsRobertMowris&Associates82.StatisticalSampleDesignSampledesignfocusedonprogramswithlargestsavings(C&Ilighting,HVAC,Custom,andLoadControl).#NCPAProgramCategoryBudget%LifecyclekWh%kW%UnitsProgramQuantityM&VSample1C&ILighting26.0%60.0%27.8%Fixtures125,96623,8752C&IHVAC12.2%10.8%13.5%Tons12,4899,6203C&IRefrigeration4.7%3.0%5.6%Tons5605604C&ICustom4.6%10.5%5.2%hp239105LEDTrafficSignals5.6%6.3%1.5%Signals4,9248906ResidentialHVAC16.6%2.2%6.6%Tons1,892607ResidentialCFL3.1%4.3%6.7%Units72,627608RefrigeratorRecycling4.3%1.9%2.8%Units1,6091079MiscellaneousPrograms3.1%0.9%1.1%Measures68,6985010LoadControl19.8%0.0%29.2%Units4,8373,237Total100%100%100%293,84138,469RobertMowris&Associates93.On-SiteM&VandEngineeringIPMVPOptionSavingsCalculationTypicalApplicationsOptionA.PartiallyMeasuredRetrofitSavingsaredeterminedbypartialshort-te