综合评价研究论文

XXXX大学毕业论文题目：综合评价方法的比较和应用—以城镇化水平的综合评价为例院（系）：xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx年级：xxxx级专业：统计专业班级：xxxxx（x）班学号：xxxxx姓名：xxx指导教师：xxx完成日期：xxx年xx月xx日I目录1研究背景及研究的目的和意义..............................................................................................................11.1研究背景............................................................................................................................................11.2目的及意义.......................................................................................................................................12国内外研究现状..........................................................................................................................................22.1国外研究现状..................................................................................................................................22.2国内研究现状.................................................................................................................................23现有综合评价方法的归类和比较.........................................................................................................43.1定性分析研究..................................................................................................................................43.2定量分析............................................................................................................................................43.2.1多元统计方法......................................................................................................................43.2.2运筹学评价方法.................................................................................................................53.2.3系统工程评价法.................................................................................................................63.2.4智能化评价方法.................................................................................................................64基于层次分析法的城镇化水平模糊综合评价....................................................................................74.1选取的指标及原始数据................................................................................................................74.2确定评价指标权重.........................................................................................................................74.3判断矩阵的一致性.........................................................................................................................74.4计算城镇化指标的模糊矩阵.......................................................................................................84.5评价结果............................................................................................................................................95基于因子分析法的城镇化水平综合评价...........................................................................................105.1因子的提取.....................................................................................................................................105.2因子旋转..........................................................................................................................................105.3计算因子得分................................................................................................................................106城镇化水平评价效果对比与启示.........................................................................................................12致谢......................................................................................................................................错误!未定义书签。参考文献.........................................................................................................................................................13II摘要综合评价方法的应用越来越广，由原来的统计学、管理学和系统工程理论拓展到一些新兴的学科如模糊数学、灰色系统理论、神经网络技术等也都引入到综合评价的研究中来。本文通过大量文献的收集整理对各种综合评价方法进行归类和比较。以城镇化水平为例，收集数据，选取层次分析法和因子分析法分别对北京、天津、辽宁、上海等八个省份的城镇化水平进行排序。对结果进行比较分析，两种方法的评价排序均为上海、北京、天津、辽宁、福建、陕西、湖南、四川，结果表明层次分析法与因子分析法在测度城镇化发展水平具有同样的效用。但不同的综合评价方法具有不同的适用条件和对象，在综合评价中，应该通过对比选择最优。关键词：综合评价方法层次分析法因子分析法城镇化水平IIIAbstractComprehensiveevaluationmethodmorewidely,fromstatistics,managementandsystemsengineeringtheoryextendedtothestudyofemergingdisciplinessuchasfuzzymath,graysystemtheoryandneuralnetworktechnologyareintroducedintothecomprehensiveevaluation.Inthispaper,acomprehensiverangeofevaluationmethodsareclassifiedandcomparedbyalargenumberofdocumentscollected.Thelevelofurbanization,forexample,collectdata,thelevelofurbanizationoftheeightprovincesofBeijing,Tianjin,Liaoning,Shanghai,sort,selecttheAHPandFactorAnalysis.OntheresultsofacomparativeanalysisofthetwomethodsofevaluationsortareShanghai,Beijing,Tianjin,Liaoning,Fujian,Shaanxi,Hunan,Sichuan,resultsshowthattheAHPandfactoranalysismethodtomeasurethelevelofdevelopmentofurbanizationhavethesameeffect.Comprehensiveevaluationofdifferentmethodshavedifferentapplicableconditionsandobjects,youshouldchoosethebestbycomparingthecomprehensiveevaluation.Keywords:ComprehensiveEvaluationMethodAnalyticHierarchyProcessFactorAnalysisThelevelofurbanizationxxx毕业论文11研究背景及研究的目的和意义1.1研究背景随着我国科学进步和社会经济发展，人们对各类问题的思考从分析拓广的了综合评价。综合评价方法是一个多学