人民币贬值对我国外贸的影响大论文

郑州大学西亚斯国际学院本科毕业论文（设计）题目人民币贬值对我国外贸的影响指导教师___________职称___________学生姓名___________学号___________专业___________班级___________院（系）__________________________完成时间__________________________I中文摘要汇率是一个国家进行国际活动时最重要的综合性价格指标，在国际金融和国际贸易活动中执行着价格转换职能，从而成为一国贸易收支的重要杠杆，它的变动对一国对外贸易的平衡与国内经济活动都具有深刻的影响。本文针对人民币贬值对我国外贸的影响问题进行了研究，首先对当前人民币贬值的背景进行了分析，认为中国经济发展趋缓、美国经济回暖以及市场主动选择是人民币贬值的主因。在此基础上对未来人民币汇率变动的趋势进行预判。之后从有利和不利两个方面分析了人民币对我国进出口贸易的影响。进而提出在人民币贬值背景下，应切实提升企业产品核心竞争力、结算币种选择的多元化、锁定成本并树立正确的保值理念、拓展新兴市场、改变竞争模式，以减少我国进出口贸易的风险。关键词：人民币贬值；贸易收支；影响II英文摘要WiththetransformationofChina'seconomicgrowthmode,thedependenceofeconomicgrowthonexportsgraduallyreduced,theroleofinvestmentintheeconomyisgraduallyweakening,whichmakesconsumptiontostimulateChina'seconomicgrowthasthemainforceintheurbanconsumptiongraduallysaturated,Depthminingruralconsumptionwithoutdelay,andinmanyfactorsaffectingconsumption,theroleoffinanceisimportant,thefinancialconsumptionhasagreatroleinpromoting.Thispaperfirstsummarizesthedomesticandforeignscholars'researchontheimpactofruralfinancialdevelopmentontheruralconsumermarket,andthenreviewstheruralfinancialdevelopmentandruralconsumptionrelatedtheories,combingscholarsontheruralfinancialdevelopmenttheoryandruralconsumptiontheoryofthemainarguments.Then,basedontheVARmodel,thispapermakesanempiricaltestontheimpactofruralfinancialdevelopmentonruralconsumptionmarketinChina,andthenanalyzesthecurrentsituationofruralfinancialdevelopmentandruralconsumptionmarket.Finally,itputsforwardthepolicyofexpandingthecreditscaleofruralfinancialinstitutions,raisingthefarmers'consumptiondemand,improvingtheruralfinancialefficiency,promotingtheruralconsumptionstructure,improvingtheruralfinancialsystem,narrowingtheurbanandruralconsumptiongapandotherpolicysuggestionstopromotefinancialsupporttoChina'sconsumermarket.influences.KEYWORDS：RMBdepreciation;tradebalance;influenceIII目录中文摘要............................................................................................................................................I1绪论..............................................................................................................................................11.1研究背景及意义................................................................................................................11.2研究方法............................................................................................................................11.3国内外研究综述................................................................................................................11.3.1国内研究综述.......................................................................................................11.3.2国外研究综述.......................................................................................................32近年来人民币贬值情况及其未来趋势预判...............................................................................32.1人民币贬值的背景和原因................................................................................................32.1.1中国经济发展趋缓...............................................................................................42.1.2美国经济回暖.......................................................................................................42.1.3市场主动选择的结果...........................................................................................42.2人民币汇率变动趋势分析................................................................................................53人民币贬值对我国进出口贸易的影响.......................................................................................63.1有利影响............................................................................................................................63.1.1短期内有助于扩大出口.......................................................................................63.1.2增加外贸出口企业的利润...................................................................................73.2不利影响...........................................................................................................................73.2.1影响锁定汇率或远期结汇企业的收汇收入.......................................................73.2.2面临更加严峻的贸易保护主义挑战...................................................................74人民币贬值背景下我国进出口贸易的风险防范.......................................................................84.1切实提升企业产品核心竞争力........................................................................................84.2结算币种选择的多元化...................................................................................................84.3锁定成本，树立正确的保值理念...................................................................................84.4拓展新兴市场，实现出口目标市场多元化...................................................................94.5改变竞争模式...................................................................................................................9致谢............................................................................................................................................10参考文献...............................................................................................