应用SEIR模型预测2009年甲型H1N1流感流行趋势

应用SEIR模型预测2009年甲型H1N1流感流行趋势作者：王小莉，曹志冬，曾大军，杨鹏，张奕，钱海坤，田丽丽，黎新宇，王全意，WANGXiao-li，CAOZhi-dong，YANGPeng，ZENGDa-jun，ZAHNGYi，QIANHai-kun，TIANLi-li，LIXin-yu，WANGQuan-yi作者单位：王小莉,杨鹏,张奕,钱海坤,田丽丽,黎新宇,王全意,WANGXiao-li,ZENGDa-jun,ZAHNGYi,QIANHai-kun,TIANLi-li,LIXin-yu,WANGQuan-yi(北京市疾病预防控制中心传染病地方病控制所,北京,100013)，曹志冬,曾大军,CAOZhi-dong,YANGPeng(中国科学院自动化研究所复杂系统控制与管理国家重点实验室)刊名：国际病毒学杂志英文刊名：InterationalJournalofVirology年，卷(期)：2011,18(6)参考文献(16条)1.黄芳;石伟先;崔淑娟北京地区2010年10月至2011年4月急性呼吸道感染病毒流行特征分析[期刊论文]-国际病毒学杂志2011(04)2.NgTW;TuriniciG;DanchinAAdoubleepidemicmodelfortheSAPSpropagation[外文期刊]20033.ChoiBCK;PakAWPAsimpieapproximatemathematicalmodeltopredictthenumberofsevereacuterespiratorysyndromecasesanddeaths2003(10)4.段玮;杨鹏;张奕北京市中小学生甲型H1N1流感感染影响因素的病例对照研究[期刊论文]-国际病毒学杂志2011(l)5.MatrajtLJr;LonginiIMOptimizingvaccineallocationatdifferentpointsintimeduringanepidemic[外文期刊]2010(11)6.TuiteAR;FismanDN;KwongJC;GreerALOptimalpandemicinfluenzavaccineallocationstrategiesfortheCanadianpopulation[外文期刊]2010(05)7.王小莉;杨鹏;窦相峰北京市2009年甲型H1N1流感实际感染人数的估算[期刊论文]-中华流行病学杂志2010(05)8.Hethcote,H.WThemathematicsofinfectiousdiseases[外文期刊]2000(04)9.YangY;SugimotoJD;HalloranME;BastaNE,ChaoDLTheTransmissibilityandControlofPandemicInfluenzaA(H1N1)Virus10.FraserC;DonnellyC;CauchemezSPandemicpotentialofastrainofinfluenzaA(H1N1):earlyfindings[外文期刊]2009(5934)11.YangY;SugimotoJD;HalloranMETheTransmissibilityandControlofPandemicInfluenzaA(H1N1)Virus[外文期刊]2009(5953)12.PourbohloulB;AhuedA;DavoudiBInitialhumantransmissiondynamicsofthepandemic(H1N1)2009virusinNorthAmerica[外文期刊]2009(05)13.WhiteLF;WallingaJ;FinelliLEstimationofthereproductivenumberandtheserialintervalinearlyphaseofthe2009influenzaA/H1N1pandemicintheUSA2009(06)14.NishiuraH;Castillo-ChavezC;SaranMTransnissionpotentialofthenewinfluenzaA(H1N1)virusanditsage-specificityinJapan2009(22)15.NishiuraH;WilsonN;BakerMGEstimatingthereproductionnumberofthenovelinfluenzaAvirus(H1N1)inaSouthernHemispheresetting:preliminaryestimateinNewZealand2009(12997)16.TuiteAR;GreerAL;WhelanMEstimatedepidemiologicparametersandmorbidityassociatedwithpandemicH1N1influenza[外文期刊]2010(02)本文链接：