对构建地方政府信用风险评价体系的探讨

20062128JOURNALOFHENANINSTITUTEOFFINANCIALMANAGEMENTNo.22006SerialNO.128:2006-01-12:(1973-),,,,,(,450011):,,,,:;;:F127:A:1008-7796(2006)02-0110-04,,,,,,,,,,,,,,()GDP,,,,GDP,GDP,,,,,,,,,,(),,,,,,;,,,,,,,011©1994-2009ChinaAcademicJournalElectronicPublishingHouse.Allrightsreserved.:,,,,,,,,,,,(),,,,,,,,,,,,,,,(),,,,(),,,,,,,,,,,,,,(),,,,,,;;,;,,,,,,,,,,,111©1994-2009ChinaAcademicJournalElectronicPublishingHouse.Allrightsreserved.(),:;:,,,,,,,,,(),,,:1.=++15%+2.=/=(+)/3.=/4.()=,,,;1,,,1,,(),,;,,,199428:,,,,:1998,,,,,,:211©1994-2009ChinaAcademicJournalElectronicPublishingHouse.Allrightsreserved.:(1)();(2);(3);(4);(5);(6);(7);(8);(9);(10)2.:(1)();(2);(3);(4)A;(5)B;(6);(7);(8);(9);(10),,,,()1.=/GDP;15%2.=/;13.=/;10%4.=/;20%(),:1.10;2.GDP,1010%;3.,;4.,5%;5.,,;6.GDP;7.GDP;,:DEBT=10t=1=CIt-COt(1+i)t(4-1),CItt;COtt;i,,(),,3,3,4-1,,,,,,:[1].[J].,2003,(03):68-69.[2].WTO[J].,2002,(1):58-60.(:)AnInquiryintoConstructingLocalGovernmentalCreditRiskEvaluatingSystemNIUQian(ZhengzhouTrainingInstitute,thePeoplesBankofChina,Zhengzhou,Henan450011,China)Abstract:Tosafeguardmoneysecurity,preventandcoverrisks,itsnecessarytoestablishbywayofcombiningqualitativeandquantitativeanalysis,alocalgovermentalcreditriskevaluatingsystemcomposedofaseriesofnormdateandcomprehensiveovnalysissoastoevaluatethecreditriskofthelocalgovernment.Themainanalysingandevaluatingframeworkincludesregionaleconomicdevelopmentanalysis,fiscalmanagement2levelanalysis,moderateliabilitysizecalculation,etc.Keywords:localgovernment;creditrisk;evaluatingsystem311©1994-2009ChinaAcademicJournalElectronicPublishingHouse.Allrightsreserved.