乙丙橡胶发展战略研究

专家论坛,20050225,15(1):1~6CHINAELASTOMERICS:20041206:(1959-),,,,,,,于力(,132021):研究了国内外乙丙橡胶供需情况,论述了乙丙橡胶生产技术现状及发展趋势,介绍了中油吉林石化公司(以下简称吉化)乙丙橡胶装置水平及运行情况,分析了我国乙丙橡胶竞争力状况,提出了我国乙丙橡胶发展战略与对策:乙丙橡胶;供需;技术;发展战略:TQ333.4:A:10053174(2005)01000106(EPM)(EPDM),,,,,3,11.1(IISRP),200317,137.2t/a,45%27%21%DSM,21%,DoPontDowExxonMobil,12090,,12003/(t!a-1)/%2004/(t!a-1)/%DSMNV27.12124.116DuPontDowElastomers19.01522.515ExxonMobilChemicalCo.18.151427.1518MitsuiCorporation12.0922.015BayerAG11.8911.8888.168107.672,200388t22/19981999200020012003/t83.485.388.979.988.0,200384t/a,60%~70%,,,1998~2002,3.3%,200635.0t,,,5.0%,3%~4%,2006101.3t/a33()1)/t/t/t/t/t/t/t/t/t/t20016.95.34.82.72.50.80.62.826.420026.85.44.92.72.50.80.62.726.420068.06.6-5.53.12.80.90.73.230.8/%3.04.52.82.82.32.43.12.73.1200114.73.33.21.32.61.33.429.8200229.6200618.04.0-4.01.42.61.4-3.635.0/%4.13.94.61.50.01.51.13.020016.922.620.420.850.490.712.020026.72.380.410.800.440.5111.2420067.03.340.440.89-0.50--0.7012.87/%0.25.01.01.00.40.81.41)2002~2006,,,,,ZieglerNatta,,,,EPDM,EPDMEPDM,EPDMTPOTPVEPDM,,1.22t/a,,20032.04t,,10%20038.3t/a,19984441998~200319981999200020012002200320041)/t94177252745015028200342040013270/t12930158841560623244275776343135416/t2225178810009374817621034/t201222134822056373354713083069467521)20041~7!2!1555,,,,,2008,(),200852002/t/%2010/t/%2633042923004456409120006877614159007.6690011160007.744007500002425004600031250218000.91250230001.41250230001.44400710000462696100210000100,,,,200520109.91t21t,,2t22.1,,80%,DSM(Exxon)(JSR),,,;,,,,,,()Bayer2,,,,UCCUnipol1998(90kt/a)Unipol,1998,,,,,,,UCC,EPDM,EPDM22.2,,,,DuPontDowExxonMitsui,,,ZieglerNatta,,,!3!1.,,,,,,,,,3,,2t/a19977,24,,3062E40451998,J2070J2080J3080(P)J3092EJ4090J0010J0030J0050J008010~90,,,,6,61)/(kg!t-1)/(kg!t-1)ENB/(kg!t-1)(kg!t-1)/(kg!t-1)/(kg!t-1)/(t!t-1)/(kwh!t-1)/(kg!t-1)2003560.0421.751.042.21147.82004(1~6)568.2414.952.9544.973.1585.18993.31027.6JSR614.7329.856.625.75.81818.41407.0Uniroyal557.3353.461.570.09.821056.31372.5DSM525.8389.754.434.83.880.81328.31445.01)5J00210~12,,,,,,20022003,20400t,98.8%,,,,2002100%,77199819992000200120022003/t941772527450150282003420400/%47.136.337.375.1100.2102/t201222134822056373354713083069/%46.834.033.840.342.524.57,2000,,2003,,,,42!4!15t/a,,200375.5%20041~74.136t,3086,,DSMDuPontDow,:(1):,,(2):,,,,,(3):(4~6t/a),2t/a4t/a,,(4):,,;,,,(5):,,,(6):,,,(7):10,EP(D)M,,,,,(2003),5,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,:(1),4t/a,,,,4t/a,2005106t/a,,,,,(2),!5!1.,,,,,,,(3),,,,(4),,,,ThestudyonthedevelopmentstrategyofEP(D)MYULi(JilinPetrochemicalCo.Ltd.,PetroChina,Jilin132021,China)Abstract:ThesupplyanddemandofEP(D)MathomeandabroadandthepresentstateanddevelopmenttrendofproductiontechnologyofEP(D)Mweresummarized.ThelevelandoperationofEP(D)MplantinJilinPetrochemicalCo.Ltd.PetroChina,andthecompetitionabilityinChinawereintroducalandanalyzed,ThedevelopmentstrategyandsuggestionofEP(D)MinChinawereputforward.Keywords:EP(D)M;supplyanddemand;technology;developmentstrategySIBR,,SIBR(//),,SIBRSIBR,2003,,,,,SIBR,,,(王英)!6!15