香港与大陆货币一体化的可行性评估体系探析

20108Aug.,2010314JournalofXiangnanUniversityVol.31No.4:2010-06-08:20102010(201006):(1973-),,,,,:(,423000):,,,,,,,,,:;;;;:F822.1:A:1672-8173(2010)04-0030-07,,20089,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,()1.,:,:(1),,,6.5%,2009139,(2),03(3),,;,;,,(4),,2.(1),,,,,,(2),;;(3),,,(),:,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,;,,,,,,,,,,,,,,2007,WTO,,,,,,:,13,,,,,,20057:,,;;,,,;,,,,,,,,,,,20,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,()1.,,2.1996,,,,,,,3.,,,,,,4.,,23,;,;,;,,,,,,,,,60(100):()(70)1.(12),,,,,(1)2.(10),,,,(2)3.(10),,,2006,,,,(3)4.(10),,,(4)5.(8):;,,,,,,,,,,(5)6.(6),,,,,,(6)7.(14);,,()(20),,,50(204771),,(7)()(10)33,,,,(8)11-23-56-89-1011-12,;(WTO),WTO,,,;,,,:,,,,9-10244-67-89-10,,,,,,:,31-23-56-89-10,,,,:,50%,10%,;40%,444-67-89-10GDP(20%)GDP(20%-40%),(GDP)(40%-60%)40%-70%,(GDP)20%-40%)GDP(70%),(GDP)(20%):?%,5(GDP)35:(+)PGDP()PGDP()PGDP,4361-23-45-6,,,71212-1415-1718-20,,,,,866-89-10,,,,,,70,20,10:,60,;60,;,,;,,;,,;,,200958,201974-75,9:1.,2.3.4.5.86.67.1412101010861420101001020091.2.3.4.5.6.7.84623+23517858531120191.,2.3.4.5.6.7.107-8853+34817975:,,,,,,,,:[1][M].:,1992.525-526.[2],.[M]PP6.2001,24-25.[3],.[J].,2001,35(1):57-58.[4],.[J].,2003,352(3):25-26.[5].[J].,2003,152(3):18-19.[6],,.:[J].,2003,232(2):42-43.[7],,.[J].,2003,323(5):55-58.[8].[M]PP.2006,152-153.ATentativeAnalysisoftheFeasibilityEvaluationSystemoftheIntegrationoftheCurrenciesofHongKongandtheMainlandChinaDENGDa2qing(DepartmentofEconomyandManagement,XiangnanUniversity,Chenzhou423000,China)Abstract:ItisaninevitabletendencythatthecurrenciesofHongKongandthemainlandChinawillbeinte2gratedandtheanalysisofthebenefitofthisintegrationisofgreatsignificance.Toacceleratethisprocessandgainthediscoursepowerintheon2constructingcurrencysystemofEastAsiaandeveninthereconstructingglobalcur2rencysystem,itisofgreatnecessitytobuildupanevaluationsystembasedonthecombinationoftheeconomy,finance,politics,law,languageandcultureofHongKongandmainlandChina.Throughquantitativeevaluation,itisshownthatinthethreeconditionsrequiredfortheintegrationofthecurrenciesofHongKongandmainlandChina,theconditionsinpolitics,law,languageandculturehavereachedexpectation,whilethoseineconomyandfinancehavebeenpartiallysatisfied,thoughsomeotherconditionsstilllagfarbehind.However,thistenden2cyofintegrationisbecomingmoreandmoreimminentfromtheobservationoftheeconomicoperationofbothHongKongandmainlandChina.Keywords:HongKong;mainlandChina;integrationofcurrency;condition;evaluationsystem63