城市垃圾产生量预测研究

:2004-12-06:(UNDP)(2001-342):(1975-),,,,,(,637002):,,,:;;;:X705:A:1006-947X(2006)01-0028-03,,115t,,[1],,,,,1,,,,,,:,[2]:T=Tn(1+P)n:T-nTn-P-(%)(810%)n-,,,:[3],[4],,,,,,:[5],,,[6],,1%,,,[7]BP,,,2,,822006,25(1):28-30CN53-1093/XISSN1006-947X©1994-2006ChinaAcademicJournalElectronicPublishingHouse.Allrightsreserved.=015816X1-99119(Y-,X1-),F=241190F0105(1,12)=418419902020(1),01276%,11()(104t)(104t)(%)19902801816264113314419912841186266109616019922881286468147619819932931357071142210319943011487776115-111019953071868879186-912519963171129085124-512919973211929288104-413019983251989290140-117419993301299392190-0111200033518593961143138200134115210199143-1155200236817211011512541772003376100119119149014120104741631761852020500100191160,,(GDP),(2,3),,Matlab,Y=3564146-216081X1+81683X3(Y-,X1-,X3-),F=313158F0105(1110)=4196,(2)23GDP32,,,2,GDP,,,,92©1994-2006ChinaAcademicJournalElectronicPublishingHouse.Allrightsreserved.()(102)(104t)(104t)(%)1990128314715645278162821851153199112871281937729610284186-31761992128914111143230110298128-01901993129417151116133310318195-412219941298181917192325103481227114199513011424162573721038410531241996130414291022041813414139-01931997130416331602045318453164-0104199813061636188204701147619011451999131311401349649918490106-11952000132116451511552318512170-2112200113271149150005261553310011232004138114661240053617320051400107310000546191,,3,,,,,,,,,,:[1],,,1[J]1,2003,32(2)1[2]1[J]1,1991,63(2)1[3]1[M]1:,19871[4],12000[J]1,1996,4(1)1[5],,1[J]1,2003,12()1[6],,12002-20071,2003,16(5)1[7],,1BP[J]1,2003,19(4)1ResearchonPredictionoftheYieldsofUrbanDomesticRefusesLIUShou-fang,LiuSha,LITie-song(SihuaNormalUniversity,NanchongSichuan637002,China)Abstract:ThispaperhasanalyzedthepredictionofChineseurbandomesticrefusesinChinesecities.AndwehavetakenthetypicalwesterncityChengduandeasterncityShanghaiascases.Linearregressionmodelshavebeenusedinthisthesistopredictthefutureoutputofdomesticgarbageintheabovetwocitiessoastoprovidesomedeci2sivesuggestionfortheprogrammeofurbanconstructionandcomprehensivemanagementofgarbage.Keywords:urbandomesticrefuses;linearregressionmodel;prediction;garbagemanagement99:,,,,,,,,,,,,0325120063©1994-2006ChinaAcademicJournalElectronicPublishingHouse.Allrightsreserved.