国外温室气体减排潜力研究的启示黄东风

国外温室气体减排潜力研究的启示(,310012):,,,,,,,,:;;:F205:B12007(IPCC)56,,,21,2~6e,,,56,200911,2020CO2200540%~45%,15%,,,,,2IPCC,CO2280mg/L2005379mg/L,1995-2005CO21.9mg/L,1960-2005(1.4mg/L)2004490tCO2,1970(287tCO2)70%,CO250%;,25.9%13.1%19.4%7.9%,13.5%17.4%2.8%,CO2,CO2(IEA),1,2006CO2280t,(OECD)128.74tCO2,46%;CO210;CO23,CO23.6,OECD6.1,,CO23,,,)17)20101上海电力,,IPCC/20070[1],CO2100/CO2,2030158~310t/,,,,212006CO210[3]/CO21)/t/%2)3)56.9720.30.515.356.0720.02.681.015.875.74.250.612.54.51.781.512.134.30.2411.28.232.90.416.55.381.90.644.25.361.90.328.44.761.70.713.84.481.60.396.9280.03100.00.743.6OECD128.7446.00.446.1:1);2)kgCO2/(2000);3)220301)158241653252313431047256755644210:1):IPCC/20070;100IPCC,,,,,2009/0[2],2030700tCO2,60/tCO2,380tCO2/a,140tCO2/a,120CO2/a,,,100tCO2/a,,80t,,4,,(CCS)1,CCS()()CCSHVAC(LED),,,,CO2CO2,,,CO2,(IEA)/20080[4],,CO2,2050,2005,,1735/20500)18)上海电力201011[5],2050,/0,,CO2122t,/0,,,CO287t,/0,,CO22005(52t),CO270t3CCS(IGCC)CCS,,2020,,,,,,,,,CO2,,,,,,:[1]IPCC.ClimateChange20072SynthesisReport[EB/OL],[2]McKinsey&Company.PathwaystoaLow2carbonEcono2my[EB/OL].[3]IEA.Keyworldenergystatistics2008[EB/OL].[4]IEA.EnergyTechnologyPerspectives2008[EB/OL].ht2tp://[5].2050:[M].,2009.:201021216:(19622),,,(:))19)20101上海电力