L市坑口电厂项目的贷款评估的研究

厦门大学硕士学位论文L市坑口电厂项目的贷款评估的研究姓名：陈小琳申请学位级别：硕士专业：工商管理指导教师：吴世农20050901L5135MWAbstractAbstractThepitheadpowerplantprojectinLcity,theemergentpowermeetprojectthatishighlyexpectedbyFujianProvincialGovernment,ownsagreatmeaningformitigatingtheshortsupplysituationandimprovingthepowerresourcesstructureinFujianProvince.Thisthesisistryingtoconductafullevaluationoftheprojectusingmodernmanagementtheoryandtechniquefromthebanklendingangle,andtoprovideconstructivecommentandproposals.Themeaningofstudyingisnotonlytogivealoanevaluationfortheproject,butalsotoprovidebrainstormingandmethodologyforprojectfinancingforrelevantindustriesandenterprises,sothattoimprovethescienceandeffectivenessofthedecision-makingofbankfinancing.Basedonthecompleteanalysisofeachbasicconditionofthemarket,techniqueandconstructionoftheproject,thisthesisemphasizesontheevaluationtotheeconomicbenefitsandsocialbenefitsoftheproject.Inaddition,thethesisfurtheranalysesthefeasibilityandnecessityofthebankfinancingandprovideconclusionandproposalbasedonthecomprehensiveanalysisofeachriskandbenefit.Thethesisconsistsofthefollowingninechapters:ChapterOne:ThischapterfirstlydescribesthebriefintroductiontotheProjectandtheshareholders,thenfollowedwiththesubject,significanceandtheframeoftheresearch.ChapterTwo:ThischapterprovidesanalysistothemarketoftheProjectfromthebasicsituationoftheFujianGridandtheexistingissues.Throughtheanalysisofthebalanceofpower,itprovidesapredictiontothesupplyanddemandoftheFujianelectricpowermarket,thatinthefuture5yearstimeFujianwillstillcontinuetheshortsupplyofpowersituationandconcludesattheendthatthisProjectisfullysecuredfromthedemandofthemarket.ChapterThree:ThischapteranalyzesthetechniqueandconstructionAbstractconditionoftheProject,StartingwiththedescriptionofthefeaturesoftheanthraciteinFujianprovince,itdiscussesandevaluatesthatthechoiceofthe135MWCFBunitisalessriskoftechnicalchoice.Italsoanalyzestherawmaterial,water,land,transportationandenvironmentalprotectioncondition,discussesandconcludesthatallconstructionconditionofthisProjectisready.ChapterFour:ThischapteranalyzestheeconomicbenefitoftheProject.Basedonthedetailedcalculationoftherevenue,cost,profitandlossandthecashflowoftheProject,itanalyzesandevaluatesthemajorfinancialindex,discussesandprovesthattheProjecthasareasonableeconomicbenefitsanddebtrepaymentability.Inaddition,thechapteralsocarriesoutsensibilityanalysisfrombothsinglefactorandmultiplefactorsinadversedirection,bychoosingrawcoalprice,salestariff,generationhoursanddebtinterestrate.ItconcludesthatthesalestariffisthemostkeyfactortotheProjectandthecomprehensiveriskpreventingabilityoftheProjectisrelativelystronger.ChapterFive:ThischapteranalyzesthesocialbenefitsoftheProject,discussesandprovesthattheProjectcanprovideawellsocialbenefitfromcomprehensiveutilizationofnaturalresources,electricstructureoptimizationandenvironmentalprotection.ChapterSix:Thischapteranalyzesthefeasibilityandnecessityofprovidingloantotheproject,discussesandprovesthatitisabsolutefeasibleandnecessarytoprovideloantotheProject.ChapterSeven:ThischapteranalyzesthesecurityofthecreditfacilitiesoftheProject,carriesoutacomprehensiveanalysistotheliquidity,activityandprofitabilityoftheguarantor.ItdiscussesandprovesthattheProjectfinancingconditionsarefullysecuredandfeasible.ChapterEight:ThischapterprovidesacomprehensiveevaluationtotheriskofprovidingloanandthebenefitoftheProject.Itcarriesoutaanalysistothepotentialmajorriskpointsregardingtoprovidingloan,providesmethodologytoavoidandpreventtherisks,andanalyzesthecomprehensivebenefitsthatabankAbstractmayearnfromprovidingloantotheProject,fromthreeaspectsofloan,depositandsettlement.ChapterNine:AsaconclusionandadviceandbasedonaconclusionoflessentireriskoftheProjectandpredictedhigherbenefit,thischapterprovidessuggestionstoenhancethemonitoringoftheloan,payattentiontotheshareholders’strategyandcoordinatetoimproveitsoperationability.Ingeneral,thisthesiscarriesoutacomprehensivediscussionandevaluationfromthreemajoraspectsoftheProjectconstructioncondition,benefitconditionandprovidingloancondition.ItconfirmsthattheProjectisalowrisk,highbenefit,andawin-winprojecttobanks,shareholdersandgovernment.KeyWords:ProjectEvaluation;FinancingProject;PitheadPowerPlant.-1-L20032005200320057L-2-LL200420052003320054L20039L44*13.5500027KWh20282005720063LL-3-A59%B5%C26%L10%AAA20004A2.333Z2004200475.8819.3438.301.56BBBAY200420046.183.724.539051ABLL-4-CC“C”HCH255.338.21%106.5148.831263LLLLLX200420041.491LLL-5-L-6-1500kV500kV500kV220kV()2003500kV4800MVA500kV973km220kV11700MVA220kV4419km200313867MW6767MW7087MW13MW48.8%51.1%200310141MW3495MW6645MW34.5%65.5%2003610.7KWH14.6%189.0KWH31%421.5KWH69%585.7KWH17.9%10580MW25.1%9510MW22.6%3850MW2002382MW45%200415524MW664.36KWH13.4%512.98KWH20032020-7-16.3%4.11KWH9.21KWH10530MW10370MW9%2LL20031831MW211232MW600MW632MW599MW400MW33MW100MW25MW41MW220kv110kvL220kV2003220kV3600MVA2X120MVA2X120MVAL220kV---220kV2003L39.2kWh200213.1%6.7%24.03KWH54.96MW42.65MW200443.45KWH10.8%28.54KWH18.77%62.13MW13.04%50.92MWLL-8-19.39%1“”20046053.1412.1%GDP172