高效HR-美世_XXXX

…Hopingforeconomicturnaround2MercerCoincidingwiththismeeting…3MercerCoincidingwiththismeeting…HopingforeconomicturnaroundƒGlobalandAsiaPacificEconomicOutlookƒAsktheExperts–GreaterChinaUpdatesƒCompensationandbenefitstrendsPlanning…atWhatPrice?Source:IMFWorldEconomicUpdateJan2010AnnualisedGDPGrowthbyQuarter-10-5051015'06'07'08'09'10'11EmergingandDevelopingEconomiesWorldAdvancedEconomies7MercerSource:IMFWorldEconomicOutlookOctober2009EconomicPredictionsforaMulti-speedRecoveryHowmuchistheshapeofthe“V”stillbeingdeveloped?-5-4-3-2-1012345060810121416RealGDPGrowth(percent)UnitedStatesEuroAreaEmergingAsiaApril2007WEOOctober2009WEOUpsideDownside23456789101112060810121416-5-4-3-2-10123450608101214168MercerEU270.6%EconomicPredictionsforaMulti-speedRecoveryGDPGrowthForecasts–EmergingEconomiesintheLeadCEE1.0%Russia/CIS2.3%China8.6%Japan1.3%India6.3%ASEAN3.7%ANZ1.8%NAFTA2.4%LA2.4%Brazil3.8%ME/NorthAfrica4.4%S.S.Africa3.1%Source:EconomistTheWorldin20109MercerEconomicPredictionsforaMulti-speedRecoveryIndustryForecastsFairForecastSunny&Stable•Property&ConstructionƒMaturemarketsexpectedtogrowat1.7%ƒEmergingeconomieswillgrowbyamoreencouraging5.2%ƒChinaexpectedtopost8.6%gainsCloudyOutlook•Automotive•ConsumerGoods•FinancialServices•Media•Travel&Tourism•Energy•Entertainment•Food&Farming•HealthCare•InformationTechnology•RawMaterials•Telecoms•Defence•E-CommerceSource:EconomistTheWorldin2010WhichSectorsWillBenefit?10Mercer1517192123252729313335200002040608101214GlobalRe-alignmentofGrowth&Consumption2009RecessionMarksGaininAsia’sGlobalShareofMarketSource:IMFWorldEconomicOutlook&IMAAsiaRealignmentwillbereflectedintheglobalsalesformostmajorMNCs.WorldMarkets-ShareofGDP(%)USAsia/PacificEuroArea11MercerInterestingFactsAsiaƒ48countriesƒ5timezonesƒ3billionpeopleƒ80languagesƒ27religionsƒ39systemsofgovernmentƒ37currenciesƒInflationat1–8%formostcountries(Indonesiaat14%)ƒPayincreasesaregenerallywellaboveinflationforemergingmarketsƒUnemploymentat2–10%.ƒIndiaistheworld’sbackoffice–60%ofFortune1000……NothingwesayaboutAsiaappliestoNothingwesayaboutAsiaappliestoallallofAsiaofAsia12MercerAsiaissetforastrong2010recoverydespitetheweakupturnexpectedinadvancedeconomiesRegional:GDPForecasts,%realgrowth,2008-2010-6-4-20246810AUCNHKINIDJPMYNZPHSGSKTHTWVN2008(Actual)2009(Estimate)2010(Forecast)Source:IMAAsia,December200913MercerAreturntoinflationRegional:Inflation,CPIyearaverage,%,2008-2010-2024681012AUCNHKINIDJPMYNZPHSGSKTHTWVN2008(Actual)2009(Estimate)2010(Forecast)23.1%Source:IMAAsia,December200914MercerSummary….ƒAsiaisamixtureofverydifferentmarkets–NeedsdifferentHRandrewardsapproachesƒChinaandIndiasustaininggrowthandrecoveryexpectedtobestrongestthere–Butdoyouhaveexposuretothatgrowth?ƒRapidchangesintechnologyandmarkets–EmployeesegmentsdrivingperformancemayhavechangedƒCommunicationandLeadershipCritical–HowdoyoumanageexpectationsƒEmphasishistoricallyoncompensationelementsoftotalrewards–Canorganisationsmovetoamorebalancedapproach?–GreaterChinaUpdates16Mercer8.79.39.18.08.07.310.110.411.613.09.015.611.99.311.212.812.213.514.613.411.02.6-0.75.94.81.51.83.91.2-0.80.70.47.26.98.78.68.28.27.37.47.68.38.5-202468101214161820002001200220032004200520062007200820092010fPercentageGDPCPI(InflationRate)SalaryIncreaseStaffVoluntaryTurnoverSource:NationalBureauofStatisticsofChinaMercerTotalRemunerationSurveysinChina2010Q1ChinaMonitorSurvey(asofJan4th,2010)ChinawillreplaceJapanasAsia’sbiggesteconomyin2010,whichwillalsomakeittheworld’ssecondbiggestcountryaftertheUS17MercerSOURCE:Fortune5002005-07;Newssearch353023182005060720083420171766352008Energy/metalsConstructionFinancialinstitutionsTelecom/hightechAutomotiveConsumer/retail=100%ChinesecompanieslistedintheFortune500SectorsaffiliationofChineseFortune500companiesUnderlyingimpactofglobalshifttoAsiaPacificfocusRiseofChinesecompaniesonaglobalscale18Mercer75Demandin10-15yrs3-5Potentialgap70-72Currentlyavailable30-40%SeniormanagersinMNCs13%ChinaAverage6%GlobalAverageSOURCE:2005ChinaTalentReport,McKinseyGlobalInstitute;ChinaStatisticalYearbook;ChinaUniversityHeadmasterForum,UniversumEmployerBrandingReportNumberofseniorexecutiveswithglobalexperienceThousandHighturn-overratesLargegapbetweensupplyanddemandThetalentconundrum–theChinaexampleSeniorexecutiveswithglobalexperienceareingreatshortage19MercerThetalentconundrum–theChinaexampleYoungerstaffwithchanginggoals/values“TRAPS”–TroubledResidentialApartmentPurchasingSlavesThinkabouttheImpacttoyourworkforce…Marriage&SocialPressureonGenerationYTalentPool20MercerThetalentconundrum–theChinaexampleIt’snotjustaboutleaders/professionals…ReasonsforshiftƒCorporateperformancehasrebounded–rehireandexpansionƒLocallabourshortageinsomegeographiesHowarecompaniessolvingissue?Majorityofrespondentsindicated:ƒOptimizingrecruitmentchannel