担保项目财务分析评价与风险防范-西安-杨春光

SINOTRUST1Copyright©2000BySinotrustManagementConsultingMBA基础培训会计报表和财务管理会计报表和财务管理SINOTRUST2Copyright©2000BySinotrustManagementConsultingMBA基础培训会计报表和财务管理会计报表–资产负债表，损益表，现金流量表常用会计指标–DuPontChart流行财务模型介绍–EVA&MVA;CAPM&SML;GordenModel企业兼并–Why(Synergy),WhichTypes–How(Example,CaseStudy)会计报表和财务管理SINOTRUST3Copyright©2000BySinotrustManagementConsultingMBA基础培训会计报表和财务管理会计报表–资产负债表，损益表，现金流量表常用会计指标–DuPontChart流行财务模型介绍–EVA&MVA;CAPM&SML;GordenModel企业兼并–Why(Synergy),WhichTypes–How(Example,CaseStudy)会计报表和财务管理SINOTRUST4Copyright©2000BySinotrustManagementConsultingMBA基础培训会计报表和财务管理会计报表–资产负债表，损益表，现金流量表常用会计指标–DuPontChart流行财务模型介绍–EVA&MVA;CAPM&SML;GordenModel企业兼并–Why(Synergy),WhichTypes–How(Example,CaseStudy)会计报表和财务管理SINOTRUST5Copyright©2000BySinotrustManagementConsultingMBA基础培训会计报表和财务管理Cash7,28257,600AR632,160351,200Inventories1,287,360715,200TotalCA1,926,8021,124,000GrossFA1,202,950491,000Less:Deprec.263,160146,200NetFA939,790344,800TotalAssets2,866,5921,468,80019971996BalanceSheet:AssetsSINOTRUST6Copyright©2000BySinotrustManagementConsultingMBA基础培训会计报表和财务管理19971996Acctspayable524,160145,600Notespayable720,000200,000Accruals489,600136,000TotalCL1,733,760481,600Long-termdebt1,000,000323,432Commonstock460,000460,000Retainedearnings(327,168)203,768Totalequity132,832663,768TotalL&E2,866,5921,468,800BalanceSheet:LiabilitiesandEquitySINOTRUST7Copyright©2000BySinotrustManagementConsultingMBA基础培训会计报表和财务管理Sales5,834,4003,432,000COGS5,728,0002,864,000Otherexpenses680,000340,000Deprec.116,96018,900Tot.op.costs6,524,9603,222,900EBIT(690,560)209,100Interestexp.176,00062,500EBT(866,560)146,600Taxes(40%)(346,624)58,640Netincome(519,936)87,96019971996IncomeStatement(P/LSheet)SINOTRUST8Copyright©2000BySinotrustManagementConsultingMBA基础培训会计报表和财务管理(523,936)OPERATINGACTIVITIESNetincome(519,936)Add(sourcesofcash):Depreciation116,960IncreaseinAccts.Payable378,560Increaseinaccruals353,600Subtract(usesofcash):IncreaseinAccts.Receivable(280,960)Increaseininventories(572,160)Netcashprovidedbyops.StatementofCashFlow(1997)SINOTRUST9Copyright©2000BySinotrustManagementConsultingMBA基础培训会计报表和财务管理StatementofCashFlows(1997)L-TINVESTINGACTIVITIESInvestmentinfixedassets(711,950)FINANCINGACTIVITIESIncreaseinnotespayable520,000Increaseinlong-termdebt676,568Paymentofcashdividends(11,000)Netcashfromfinancing1,185,568NETCHANGEINCASH(50,318)Plus:Cashatbeginningofyear57,600Cashatendofyear7,282SINOTRUST10Copyright©2000BySinotrustManagementConsultingMBA基础培训会计报表和财务管理TheDuPontsystemfocuseson:•Expensecontrol•Assetutilization•DebtutilizationSINOTRUST11Copyright©2000BySinotrustManagementConsultingMBA基础培训会计报表和财务管理DuPontEquations•ROA=Profitmargin*Totalassetsturnover•ROE=ROA*Equitymultiplier•ROE=(Profitmargin)(Totalassetturnover)(Equitymultiplier)=Netincome/sales*sales/TotalAssets*Totalassets/CommonequitySINOTRUST12Copyright©2000BySinotrustManagementConsultingMBA基础培训会计报表和财务管理Theotherkeyratios•P/Eratio=Themarketpriceofstock/EPS•EPS=Earnings/Thesharesoutstanding•Whatisyouridea?SINOTRUST13Copyright©2000BySinotrustManagementConsultingMBA基础培训会计报表和财务管理MVA&EVA(1)•MVA:MarketValueAdded•Thedifferencebetweenthemarketvalueofequityandtheamountofequitycapitalthatinvestorssupplied•MVA=Marketvalueofequity-Equitycapitalsuppliedbyinvestors=(Sharesoutstanding)(StockPrice)-TotalcommonequitySINOTRUST14Copyright©2000BySinotrustManagementConsultingMBA基础培训会计报表和财务管理MVA&EVA(2)•MVAExampleCoca-Colain1995MarketvalueofEquity:$69bTotalcommonequity:$8bMVA:$61bEPS:$8.63GMin1995MarketvalueofEquity:$69bTotalcommonequity:$87bMVA:$18bEPS:$0.79SINOTRUST15Copyright©2000BySinotrustManagementConsultingMBA基础培训会计报表和财务管理MVA&EVA(3)•EVA:EconomicValueAdded•Valueaddedtoshareholdersbymanagementduringagivenyear•Tomeasuretheeffectsofmanagerialactions•EVA=After-taxoperatingprofit-After-taxcostoftotalcapital=EBIT(1-Corporatetaxrate)-After-taxcostoftotalcapitalTotalcapitalincludes:Long-termdebt,preferredstock,andcommonequitySINOTRUST16Copyright©2000BySinotrustManagementConsultingMBA基础培训会计报表和财务管理MVA&EVA(4)EVAcasestudy•CSXCorporationin1988,stockprice$28•BU:Locomotive,containers,trailer,railcars•EVAapproachlost$70M•Sellingoff,increasingvolume•Till1993,stockprice$82.5SINOTRUST17Copyright©2000BySinotrustManagementConsultingMBA基础培训会计报表和财务管理MVA&EVA(5)•Securityanalysts:ThestockpricestrackEVAfarmorecloselythanotherfactorssuchasEPS,ROEandOperatingMarginSINOTRUST18Copyright©2000BySinotrustManagementConsultingMBA基础培训会计报表和财务管理CAPMModel&SML(1)•CAPMCapitalAssetPricingModel•SMLTheSecurityMarketLine•SMLEquationRequiredreturnOnStockI=Risk-freerate+(Marketriskpremium)(Stock’sbeta)ORKi=KRF+(KM-KRF)biNote:KM,requiredrateofreturnonaportfolioconsistingofallstocksSINOTRUST19Copyright©2000BySinotrustManagementConsultingMBA基础培训会计报表和财务管理CAPMModel&SML(2)Beta(bi):•Ameasureoftheextenttowhichthereturnsonagivenstockmovewiththestockmarket.•Betaisthetheoreticallycorrectmeasureofthestock’sriskness.SINOTRUST20Copyright©2000BySinotrustManagementConsultingMBA基础培训会计报表和财务管理CAPMModel&SML(3)•ThebetaofsomestocksStockBetaAmericaOnline2.10BallyEntertainment1.55MicrosoftCorp1.20Gener