贵州高原山区人口与经济波动特征分析

©1994-2010ChinaAcademicJournalElectronicPublishingHouse.Allrightsreserved.(167)POPULATIONJOURNAL(Tot1No.167)1,2(11,550001;21,200062),,,,,,,,,;;C924124A1004-129X(2008)01-0025-062007-08-21(1969-),,,,(1942-),,,,,,Wagmann,,,;,150[1],,,,,11,,,,,[2]GDP,(1)1980,80,80,1,:(1),19801217%,012,110,1984,611%,014,015,,,,(2),1980015,01552©1994-2010ChinaAcademicJournalElectronicPublishingHouse.Allrightsreserved.(3),1980415,115215118,112,212216,,,12080(%)(%)(%)(%)()()1980-198619184611813166014411146421986-1989101994154614501337187121989-199510181512151601228127331995-200591181350175011281761001981-19861417471477126012211116321986-198991414166417501277154211989-19991314571266119011910461981-1986151281861401221115321986-199011163187180138717131990-19991412711711012310137271217611616013091141511812156156110123915331317616711012891924012-0140150107014115-112-1-015-0150102-018215-212:,,.22080(%)(%)(%)(%)()()1983-198711811154012701191141311987-198911781140013801121159111989-199631041135116901341165161996-200311440184016001171118251983-198511100175013501190193111985-199321240193113101261143531993-199911160185013101141104151999-2004112801550173013301822321021129017301201146117531251145017701680123110621253100015701520105-01030140-01500125:1.21,,,,,,(2),:(1),19802102%,0157;1129%,0152(2)198001050120,010380,,1146%,014[3](3),19801175,0153125,0125,,8062©1994-2010ChinaAcademicJournalElectronicPublishingHouse.Allrightsreserved.:(1)();(2)218,115,,1979,GDP,(3),,GDP,,,,[4],,,,,,,,,,,[5][6]33GDP(1979-2005)-0147030162033017103301301-011970128301091010400101001385-014203-01118:1979-20041980-2005GDP;1979-20031981-2005GDP;330101,3a=0105.,,,GDP,,,,,:G=01402GI+01378GA+01186GS+01697(1),GGDP;GA;GI;GS;R=01981,R2=01962,DW=11215,tR2,DW1%,GDP01378;1%,GDP01402;1%,01186,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,72©1994-2010ChinaAcademicJournalElectronicPublishingHouse.Allrightsreserved.:,--;--,1982,,,GDP,,,[7]60,,,,,,,,,,,,,1982-1990,,,1145,GDP3176;,1126,GDP4185;90,,1990-2000,2000,,,,,,1964-2005,,--21,,,[1],,GDP,,,(4)199050%82©1994-2010ChinaAcademicJournalElectronicPublishingHouse.Allrightsreserved.:1964-2005.,50%,1964-2005---,---,90,50%1990GDP1964917,1964015,1990,,,,2000GDP19905107,,,,2000,,2005GDP20001141,,0102,,31,:G=100-12ni=1xi-pii=1,2n(2):xipii(),GDPGDP:(1)(),GDP196440,82-84,,,,,,,(2),,,,,,,,(3)1964-1980,,GDP,1980-1982,1980761231982781121982-1990,,198278112199070188,71241990-1996,,1996,,,,92©1994-2010ChinaAcademicJournalElectronicPublishingHouse.Allrightsreserved.:,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,--,;--,--,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,[][1].[M].:,1997:49-51.[2].[M].:,2004:1-119.[3],.[J].,2006,(3):49.[4].[M].:,2006:82-83.[5].[M].:,1992:109-112.[6],.[J].,2001,(1):16-20.[7].[M].:,2003:269-274.[]AnalysisontheCharacteristicsofPopulationandEconomicFluctuationinGuizhouPlateauMountainLIXu-dong1,ZHANGShan-yu2(11InstituteofGeographyandBiologyofGuizhouNormalUniversity,GuizhouGuiyang,550001,China;21SchoolofPopulationResearchofSouth-eastNormalUniversity,Shanghai,200062,China)Abstract:Itisauniversalphenomenonforpopulationandeconomicfluctuationsinthesocio-economicdevelopment.Manystudiesindicatedthatthereexistbasicsynchronizedcharacteristicsbetweenpopulationandeconomicalfluctuation.However,astheinter-regionaldifferences,thespatialdifferenceandtimesequenceareobviouslydisplayedinthecourseoftheirfluctuation.Therefore,accordingtoeconomicalcycletheoryandanalysismethod,thispapertakesGuizhouPlateauasacasestudyareatostudythecharacteristicsandbasicreasonofplateaumountainpopulationandeconomicalfluctuationfromthetempo-spatialper2spective.TheresultwillprovidenewscientificbasistoexplorethelawofmountainouspopulationdevelopmentandformulatestrategyofGuizhoupopulationandeconomiccoordinationdevelopment.KeyWords:plateaumountain,populationandeconomicfluctuation,Guizhou03