外国直接投资的区域分布及其经济效应

aGDP62.25%40.25%22.3%FDIFDIFDIGDP19.26%FDIFDI73.9%FDI26.1%0.3660.133FDI1.5171.3051.174b1211990FDIFDI1993394%1995-20.2%901997FDI54.8%1998FDIFDI45.1%1999FDI20.5%-131FDIGDP1999FDI/GDP4.14%31710%19993%10FDI/GDP1%3FDI4FDIFDILovenzcurveGinicoeffient0l0()nyySii∑−=2iyyiy()∑∑⋅−=ijjiiPPyyS2**iiiPYy=nyPYyjijjii∑∑∑≠=*5=V()ynyyii∑−2nyyjj∑==*V()*2*yPPyyijjii∑∑⋅−∑∑=jjiiPYy*BSGini21−=BS()()()()()()()()11212121021321212111+−++++++++++=nBxnxxxxxnxxxnxnSKK6∑=+−⋅=niinnxinG112∑==niiiiyyx1nxxxL212yC1xn-1AxiBDo1/n2/n1-1/n1xtttBA,t+111,++ttBA011−++ttttAABB⇒ttttBABA++11ttttttBBBABA−⋅−=+1ξξ−++ttttAABB11ttttBABA−−++117300ξξGDP30ξFDIGDPFGI(FDI)1GDPGDP19798251979199019790.44719910.3541991199676%0.35419960.4401996-19990.440.362S*1930.91903.893FDI90FDI1992FDI19915.83199649.4142.5%1997FDI199948.81996-199861993FDI800.9660.699V*1.911.161993FDI0.680.70FDI104.GDPFDI7GDPFGIFDI11GDPGDP1997-1999GDPGDP()ttttLKFAY.⋅=ttI1tI2tI()2111ttttIIKK++⋅−=−ω+=tK21ttII+ωtK`ttKt()tLIIFAYttttt,,,21⋅=⋅=tB()tttLIIG,,21YGDPtttLII,,21tBt12⎟⎠⎞⎜⎝⎛⋅=,,21LILIGBLY432211lnlnlnαααα+⋅+⎟⎠⎞⎜⎝⎛⋅+⎟⎠⎞⎜⎝⎛⋅=⎟⎠⎞⎜⎝⎛TLILILYy,,21θθ⎟⎠⎞⎜⎝⎛⎟⎠⎞⎜⎝⎛⎟⎠⎞⎜⎝⎛LYLILIln,ln,ln21422113αθαθαα+⋅+⋅+=Ty21,,θθ⋅yGDPFDI43αα+T21,ααGDP()⎟⎠⎞⎜⎝⎛⎟⎠⎞⎜⎝⎛⋅⎟⎠⎞⎜⎝⎛⎟⎠⎞⎜⎝⎛=LIdLYdLYLI111α⎟⎠⎞⎜⎝⎛⎟⎠⎞⎜⎝⎛⋅⎟⎠⎞⎜⎝⎛⎟⎠⎞⎜⎝⎛=LIdLYdLYLI222α31862.5%FDI9.64%15.4%20FDI9.5%FDI76.5%52.4%39.8%FDIFDI11.62%6.31%3.86%131α2α3α4α2RwD.FGDPFDIY1Y2Y014021YYYY++=0222111YIIYIIY+⋅+⋅=jjIYjIY12345FDIFDI{}{}212211,,,IIIYIY⎭⎬⎫⎩⎨⎧⎭⎬⎫⎩⎨⎧5()aψa()()()αααGiNiVS,,**()aψ()()()⎟⎟⎠⎞⎜⎜⎝⎛⎟⎟⎠⎞⎜⎜⎝⎛⎟⎟⎠⎞⎜⎜⎝⎛=212211,,,IIIYIYHYψψψψψY1Y2Yj()()()()()Tayjjjjj⋅++⋅+⋅=342211αθαθα15()=jY1()()()()()()jjjjjjYT⋅+⋅++43221111ααθαθαθα()=jY2()()()()()()jjjjjjYT⋅+⋅++43221122ααθαθαθα()=jY0()()()()()()()jjjjjjjYTT⋅+⋅+++⋅43221143ααθαθαααTnIY×⎟⎟⎠⎞⎜⎜⎝⎛11TnIY×⎟⎟⎠⎞⎜⎜⎝⎛22()TnI×1()TnI×2()TnY×0TnIY×⎟⎟⎠⎞⎜⎜⎝⎛11TnIY×⎟⎟⎠⎞⎜⎜⎝⎛2291995-19991.2750.2751.254FDI1.386GDP0.3660.133FDI1.5171.3051.17416FDI111*×⎟⎟⎠⎞⎜⎜⎝⎛⎟⎟⎠⎞⎜⎜⎝⎛TIYS111*×⎟⎟⎠⎞⎜⎜⎝⎛⎟⎟⎠⎞⎜⎜⎝⎛TIYV111×⎟⎟⎠⎞⎜⎜⎝⎛⎟⎟⎠⎞⎜⎜⎝⎛TIYGini122*×⎟⎟⎠⎞⎜⎜⎝⎛⎟⎟⎠⎞⎜⎜⎝⎛TIYS122*×⎟⎟⎠⎞⎜⎜⎝⎛⎟⎟⎠⎞⎜⎜⎝⎛TIYV122×⎟⎟⎠⎞⎜⎜⎝⎛⎟⎟⎠⎞⎜⎜⎝⎛TIYGiniFDI171979-199931=n21=Tβˆ()=YS*()()()eYSISISIYSIYS+⎟⎟⎠⎞⎜⎜⎝⎛⎟⎟⎠⎞⎜⎜⎝⎛⎟⎟⎠⎞⎜⎜⎝⎛β)0*2*1*22*11*,,,,=βˆ()()()()()()()()()()ySYSISISIYSIYSYSISISIYSIYSYSISISIYSIYSTT*0*2*1*22*11*10*2*1*22*11*0*2*1*22*11*.,,,,,,,,,,,,⎟⎟⎠⎞⎜⎜⎝⎛⎟⎟⎠⎞⎜⎜⎝⎛⎟⎟⎠⎞⎜⎜⎝⎛⋅⎥⎥⎦⎤⎢⎢⎣⎡⎟⎟⎠⎞⎜⎜⎝⎛⎟⎟⎠⎞⎜⎜⎝⎛⎟⎟⎠⎞⎜⎜⎝⎛⎟⎟⎠⎞⎜⎜⎝⎛⎟⎟⎠⎞⎜⎜⎝⎛⎟⎟⎠⎞⎜⎜⎝⎛−()()()()941.723247.04872.08091.037.7942.3350*2*1*22*11**+⋅+⋅+⋅+⎟⎟⎠⎞⎜⎜⎝⎛⋅+⎟⎟⎠⎞⎜⎜⎝⎛⋅=YSISISIYSIYSYS5.96343.95412.00372.38845.52194.22619763.02=R9648.02=R5771.2.=wD86.321=F()()()()0346.00554.00391.01751.00817.01426.00212211+⋅+⋅+⋅+⎟⎟⎠⎞⎜⎜⎝⎛⋅+⎟⎟⎠⎞⎜⎜⎝⎛⋅=YGiniIGiniIGiniIYGiniIYGiniYGini6.77832.11931.96874.55273.33273.05189847.02=R9751.02=R7213.3.=wD55.136=F5t()*ˆSλ()()()()()()βλˆˆ*02*1*22*11*1**⎥⎥⎥⎥⎥⎥⎥⎥⎥⎦⎤⎢⎢⎢⎢⎢⎢⎢⎢⎢⎣⎡⎟⎟⎠⎞⎜⎜⎝⎛⎟⎟⎠⎞⎜⎜⎝⎛⋅=−YSISISIYSIYSySS1844FDI%22.30%62.55%40.25%5.02%19.26%14.24%GDP100%18.19%1GDP62.25%40.25%22.3%2FDIFDIFDIFDIGDP19.26%FDIFDI73.9%FDI26.1%351995FDI90GDP50%20-25%FDI9030%9060%GDP19ξ36.6%13.3%FDI51.7%17.4%20217.DunningJH.InternationalProductionandMultinationalEnterprise.GeorpeAllen&,London,1981.8.199639.199710.1995811.1995612.1996613.1998514.1999215.19998