基于智能算法的多设备混联系统动态维护决策研究

硕士学位论文基于智能算法的多设备混联系统动态维护决策研究RESEARCHONDYNAMICMAINTENANCEDECISIONFORMULTI-UNITSERIES-PARALLELSYSTEMSBASEDONINTELLIGENTALGORITHM王玉燕哈尔滨工业大学2010年6月国内图书分类号：TP207学校代码：10213国际图书分类号：620密级：公开工学硕士学位论文基于智能算法的多设备混联系统动态维护决策研究硕士研究生：王玉燕导师：闫纪红教授申请学位：工学硕士学科：机械电子工程所在单位：机电工程学院答辩日期：2010年6月授予学位单位：哈尔滨工业大学ClassifiedIndex:TP207U.D.C:620DissertationfortheMasterDegreeinEngineeringRESEARCHONDYNAMICMAINTENANCEFORMULTI-UNITSERIES-PARALLELSYSTEMSBASEDONINTELLIGENTALGORITHMCandidate：WangYuyanSupervisor：Prof.YanJihongAcademicDegreeAppliedfor：MasterofEngineeringSpeciality：MechatronicsEngineeringAffiliation：SchoolofMechatronicsDateofDefence：June,2010Degree-Conferring-Institution：HarbinInstituteofTechnology哈尔滨工业大学工学硕士学位论文摘要维护对于工业生产设备、军事装备以及交通运输工具等系统的正常工作或安全运行具有重要作用。随着市场竞争的日趋激烈，企业面临着不断降低成本的巨大压力，设备的维护费用作为企业的昀大单个可控费用，越来越受到企业的重视。因此，合理的维护决策对于企业降低维护成本，提高生产效益具有十分重要的意义。目前，事后维护和预防性维护在企业中得到了广泛的应用，并取得了明显的效果，但存在着维修不足或维修过剩的问题，会给企业带来严重的经济损失。此外，已存在的大量维护模型为单设备维护模型，对由多设备组成的生产系统并不适用。本论文针对上述问题，以多设备混联系统为研究对象，以故障诊断和寿命预测技术为支撑，进行动态维护决策及调度方法研究，主要内容如下：建立多设备混联系统维护模型。模型综合考虑设备的性能衰退特性，设备间的经济相关性和结构相关性，以及维护资源的限制问题。设备性能衰退过程采用威布尔函数模拟，维护调度中采用小修、大修和更换三种维护方式，维护费用包括维护本身的费用和停机损失两部分。考虑到多次维护活动以及维护启动费用，建立维护费用率模型。基于遗传算法，制定多设备维护调度策略。该策略以单次维护活动产生的维护费用昀低为目标，在系统长期运行过程中，每产生一次维护活动，调用一次遗传算法对维护活动进行调度求解。针对模型中维护阈值的优化问题，提出一种用于求解连续空间优化问题的改进蚁群算法。该算法按照随机性的概率选择机制进行信息更新，经过局部搜索和全局搜索两个过程，昀终找到目标解。经蚁群算法优化阈值后，将以更低的维护费用和更少的维护次数保证系统的平稳运行。建立基于Flexsim的维护仿真模型，并实现MATLAB维护决策模型与Flexsim维护仿真模型之间维护数据的实时动态交互。通过Flexsim强大的统计功能，从设备利用率、系统生产量等方面分析维护策略对生产系统的影响。昀后，将本论文的维护策略和仿真技术应用于汽轮机叶片生产系统，应用结果显示本文建立的维护策略在降低生产系统维护费用，提高生产效率上的有效性与实用性。关键词：维护调度；多设备混联系统；遗传算法；蚁群算法；Flexsim；仿真-I-哈尔滨工业大学工学硕士学位论文AbstractMaintenanceplaysanimportantroleinkeepingavailabilityandreliabilitylevelsofindustrialequipment,weaponsandtransportationfacilities,etc.Inthefaceofincreasinglyfiercemarketcompetition,theenterprisesarefacingenormouspressureforcostreduction;maintenancecosthasattractedattentionofmoreandmoreenterprisesasthelargestsinglecontrollablecost.Atpresent,correctivemaintenanceandpreventivemaintenancehavebeenwidelyusedinenterprises,whichproduceobviouseffect.However,thesemaintenancestrategiesmayleadtoinsufficientmaintenanceorover-maintenancewhichwillbringseriouseconomiclosstoenterprises.Besides,mostexistingmodelsareestablishedforsingle-unitsystems,whicharenotapplicabletopracticalproductionsystemsconsistingofmultipleunits.Therefore,reasonablemaintenancedecisionhasextremelyvitalsignificanceinmaintenancecostreductionandproductionefficiencyimprovement.Inordertosolveaboveproblems,thethesistakesmulti-unitseries-parallelsystemastheresearchobject,studiesdynamicmaintenancedecisionandschedulingmethodbasedonfaultdiagnosisandusefullifepredictiontechnology.Themaincontentsaredescribedasfollows:Adynamicmaintenancedecisionmodelformulti-unitseries-parallelsystemisestablishedconsideringperformancedegradationofunits,economicdependenceandstructuraldependencebetweenunits,andconstraintsofmaintenanceresources.ThedeteriorationofunitsismodeledbyWeibulldistribution.Threemaintenanceactions,includingminorrepair,imperfectoverhaulandreplacement,aresimultaneouslyconsideredtoarrangethemaintenancescheduleofasystem,maintenancecostincludetwoparts:maintenanceactivitycostanddowntimecost.Consideringseveralmaintenanceactivitiesinatimeperiodandsetupcost,anoverallcostratemodelisestablished.Thegeneticalgorithm(GA)basedmethodologyisemployedtoobtainthenearoptimalmulti-unitmaintenanceschedulingwhichresultsinarelativelyminimalmaintenancecostrate.Intherunningprocessofthesystem,wheneveramaintenanceactivityisgenerated,theGAwillbecalledforsolvingthescheduleactivities.Withrespecttotheoptimizationofthresholdsinthemodel,animprovedantcolonyalgorithmisproposedtosolvetheoptimizationproblemincontinuousspace.Thisalgorithmupdatesinformationaccordingtorandomprobabilityselectionmechanism,throughlocalsearchandglobalsearchprocess,finallyfindstheoptimal-II-哈尔滨工业大学工学硕士学位论文solutions.Aftermaintenancethresholdsareoptimized,wecanensurethesystemrunningsmoothlyatlowermaintenancecostandlessmaintenancefrequency.AmaintenancesimulationmodelisestablishedunderFlexsimenvironment,andreal-timedynamicinteractionofdatabetweenMATLABmaintenancedecisionmodelandFlexsimmaintenancesimulationmodelisrealized.Thentheinfluenceofmaintenancestrategyonproductionsystemisanalysisedfromequipmentutilization,volumeofproductionetcusingFlexsim’spowerfulstatisticalfunction.Finally,themaintenancepolicyandsimulationtechnologyareappliedtoturbinebladeproductionsystem.Theresultsshowtheeffectivenessandpracticalityofthemaintenancestrategyinreducingmaintenancecostandimprovingproductionefficiency.Keywords:maintenancescheduling,multi-unitseries-parallelsystem,geneticalgorithm,antcolonyalgorithm,Flexsim,simulation-III-哈尔滨工业大学工学硕士学位论文目录摘要.........................................................................................................................IAbstract......................................................................................................................II第1章绪论............................................................................