政府规模与公共服务水平关系研究_基于中国省际面板数据的分析

12[]1997200621,LynnMacDonald(2008),,GLS(Cross-SectionWeight),,,[];;:(1969),,(,116025),:(1983),,(,116025):,,,,,,,,,,,,,,(:70873017)1062009/3252,,,,,;,,,,,,,,;,;;,(BuchananandTullock,1962)[1]::Timr.Sass(1991)[2](71-87)Megdal(1983)[3](71-87)Edwards,L.N.andEd2wards,F.R(1982)[4](405-425)Timr.Sass(1991),Megdal(1983)Edwards,L.N.andEdwards,F.R(1982),,Timr.Sass(1991),,,;,;,Baqir(2002)[5](1318-1354),,,30,OLS,LynnMacDonald(2008)[6](457-473)Baqir(2002),2009/3252107,20,,(,2005)[7],,,,(,2005)[8](,2005)[9](,2001)[10],,,GDP,:(,2006)[11],,(,2005)[12]GDP(,2000)[13],,(BuchananandTullock,1962),,GDP,,,,(LynnMacDonald,2008),,,,()LynnMacDonald(2008),:Yit=i+Xit+iti,t,Yitit,Xit=(X1it,X2it,)Tit()1082009/3252GDP,=(1,2,3,),i,1997200621:11:(1),,,,,,,(2)GDPGDP,,,:(HUMANSIZE),(CAPITALSIZE),,,,,,,19972001,2002,21(INTERACTION),,31(EDU),41GDP(RGDP)GDPGDP,GDP,1978,,,GDP,2009/325210951(PSER),,:,,,,197811PSERLOG(PSER)CAPITALSIZEHUMANSIZEINTERACTIONEDULOG(RGDP)RGDP781761564111091901091695010094520100083801054867717584002829162158132470410660230109747101008987010008180104290671734578228610444191791261039757011434250102621001001863012827769140313412126132101400752134187801032611010056970100028901011487617340588401551767183868016831640102309401002935010002420104443501593782199415212142397101473028-01662354216842760189202721472843014842191199761491659149310494592189976813154473513372529160879821643391716680432102102102102102102102102121212121212121()211997200610210(panelda2ta),()J1M1:,,,,,,GDP1021(paneldata),,,,,,,,6,,GDP,,4,(HUMANSIZE)GDP(LOG(RGDP))1102009/3252,22Im,PesaranandShinW-statADFPPPPPLOG(PSER)-019471101071860199030102926617936010088CAPITALSIZE-019236101077858163420104569017372010000HUMANSIZE110704001857832156660185185415015010935INTERACTION-112825301099866124920100999712326010000LOG(RGDP)217829801997314112721100001512835019999EDU-116872801045874122980100161361719010000D(HUMANSIZE)-312840201000511416450100001901170010000DLOG(RGDP)-118041401035685128620100011541843010000:D,,,1,GDP,GDP(2,3),1,,,,1(4),,,,GLS(Cross-sectionWeights),White-period,,Hausman-testF,1-3,3Hausman-testF33,14GLSOLS,GLSOLS,2009/3252111GLS,1GDP2,21(1R201912,2R2018906),1GDP1%,,GDP,3()1234216418333(013373)218149333(01401)21169333(013636)315434333(0128501)-6715469333(20111)-331032(271855)-961076333(441403)291153(171541)-7172363(513117)-11137923(710839)-211045(5166233)-218084(310925)1557198333(338109)1869175333(453199)2118194333(4201312)-106154(2411172)GDP214764333(014259)411842333(016959)310183333(014167)1119927333(117565)1418183333(210537)1114698(114437)(GLS)912875111323141539211563(OLS)91803311199721613361221809F6715835333551653334119233316211333R201912018906018593018157Hausman-test:,123x214111962933161320133501904572333544F:123F171588349333171489069221937932(20,163)(20,164)(20,164):33333310%5%1%,33R2101912018593,1(1%),,,(1),4R2018157,101912,,1122009/3252,11R201912,F1%,GDP,,1GDP,GDP,,GDP,,,,,(01005697),01009452,:-717236+1557198301009452=71002427,;,,,,(01032611),,,01091695,,:-6715469+1557198301091695=75131208,;,,,,,,,,,,,,2009/3252113,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,199720061021,,GDP,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,(),,,,,,,,,,,1142009/3252,,:,,,21J.M.,:,,2003,176:[1]Buchanan,J.M.&Tullock,G.1962,ThecalculusofconsentAnnArbor:TheUniversityofMichiganPress.[2]Timr.Sass1991,Thechoiceofmunicipalgovernmentstructureandpublicexpenditures,PublicChoice71.[3]Megdal,S.B.1983,Thedeterminationoflocalpublicexpendituresandtheprincipalandagentrelation:AcasestudyPublicChoice40(1).[4]Edwards,L.N.andEdwards,F.R.1982,Publicunions,localgovernmentstructureandthecompensationofmunicipalsanitationworkers,EconomicInquiry20(7).[5]Baqir,2002,DistrictingandGovernmentOverspending,TheJournalofPoliticalEconomy,Vol.110(6).[6]LynnMacDonald,2008,TheimpactofgovernmentstructureonlocalpublicexpendituresPublicChoice136.[7].[J].,2005(10).[8],.[J].,2005(3).[9].[J].,2005(5).[10].[J].,2001(3).[11].[J].,2006(12).[12],.[J].,2005(11).[13].[J].,2000(11).TheRelationshipbetweenGovernmentSizeandPublicServices:EvidencefromInter-provincialPanelDataofChinaLuWei1ShanShuang2Abstact:GivingfurtherexpansionandintroducinganumberofotherimportantfactorsonthebasisofLynnMacDonald(2008),thispaperempiricalanalyzestherelationshipbetweensizeofgovernmentandpublicservicesviaFixed-EffectandGLS(Cross-SectionWeight)measurementwithrelateddatafrom21repre2sentedprovincesofChinaduringperiodof1997-2006.Empiricalanalysisshowsthatthereisapositivecorrelationbetweensizeofgovernmentandpublicservices,whichdeviatesfromreformideasofstreamlin2inginthecurrentgovernmentreform,stirringustorethinkandorientatethesubstanceofstreamlininginordertopushforwardthereformofgovernmentagencies,evenofpoliticalsystem.Keywords:GovernmentSize;ReformofGovernmentInstitutions;PanelDataAnalysis[:20091115:][]F81012[]A[]1000-8306(2009)03-0106-102009/3252115