中蒙俄贸易发展现状与前景

学号15FX09012014121108密级哈尔滨工程大学学士学位论文中蒙俄贸易发展现状与前景分析院（系）名称：经济管理学院专业名称：国际经济与贸易学生姓名：刘新宇指导教师：于雪霞讲师哈尔滨工程大学2017年5月中蒙俄贸易发展现状与前景分析刘新宇哈尔滨工程大学学号15FX09012014121108密级中蒙俄贸易发展现状与前景分析AnalysisofCurrentSituationandFutureProspectsoftheTradeDevelopmentamongChina,MongoliaandRussia学生姓名：刘新宇所在学院：经济管理学院所在专业：国际经济与贸易指导教师：于雪霞职称：讲师所在单位：哈尔滨工程大学论文提交日期：2017年5月论文答辩日期：2017年5月学位授予单位：哈尔滨工程大学中蒙俄贸易发展现状及前景I摘要随着“一带一路”伟大倡议的提出，“中蒙俄经济走廊”的建设也逐渐提上日程。不少学者们将目光放在中蒙俄三国贸易的发展上面，利用潜力效率分析等经济学手段建立数学模型对三国的贸易发展现状和前景进行分析以及预判。本文将探究在“一带一路”的背景下，中蒙俄的贸易现状如何、将会有何进一步的发展。文章在前人研究的基础上，主要运用文献资料法、描述性研究法、定性定量等研究方法对中蒙俄贸易的发展情况进行分析，主要从中蒙俄贸易现状、中蒙俄贸易存在的问题、影响三国贸易发展的有利和不利因素、三国贸易发展的前景和提升三国贸易的对策建议五个方面进行系统的描述分析。经分析论证，中蒙俄三国贸易正处于波动发展时期，三国存在贸易的可能性，贸易发展潜力巨大。随着“一带一路”的深入实践，中蒙俄三国的贸易将会进一步发展，有望突破原有的贸易框架，取得突破性进展。关键词：中蒙俄贸易；发展现状；影响因素；前景哈尔滨工程大学学士学位论文IIAbstractAsthegreatinitiative“TheBeltandRoadInitiative”proposedbythePresidentXi,“SinoMongolianandRussianEconomicCorridorProject”hasbeenmoreandmoreimportant.QuantitiesofscholarspaymoreattentiontothedevelopmentofSinoMongolianandRussiantrade,applyingthepotentialefficiencyanalysisandothereconomicmethodsestablishmathematicalmodeltoanalyzeandpredictthecurrentsituationandfutureprospects.ThispaperwillexplorethecurrentsituationandfutureprospectofSinoMongolianandRussiantradeunderthe“TheBeltandRoadInitiative”initiative.Thepaperusesdocumentationmethod,descriptivestudymethodandqualitativeresearchmethodtoanalyzethesituationanddevelopmentofthetradeamongthethreecountries.Itwillunfoldfromthefollowingfiveaspects,thecurrentsituationoftradeamongthethreecountries,theproblemsofthetrade,theinfluentialfactorsofthedevelopmentoftradeofthethreecountries,theprospectofthetradedevelopmentandthesuggestiontotheimprovementoftradeamongthethreecountries.Aftertheanalysis,itcanbeconcludedthattherearestrongpossibilitiesandpotentialsoftradeamongthethreecountries,butthetradeamongthemdoesnotmovesmoothly.Withtheimplementofthe“TheBeltandRoadInitiative”,thetradeamongthethreecountrieswillmakeabigbreakthroughandachieveanewdevelopment.Keywords:SinoMongolianandRussiantrade;currentsituationofdevelopment;influentialfactors;futureprospects中蒙俄贸易发展现状及前景III目录第1章绪论································································································11.1选题的背景与意义················································································11.2国内外研究现状···················································································21.3研究思路和研究内容·············································································31.4研究方法····························································································41.4.1文献资料法····················································································41.4.2描述性研究法·················································································41.4.3定性分析法····················································································4第2章中蒙俄贸易发展现状···········································································62.1中蒙贸易现状······················································································62.1.1中蒙贸易发展历程···········································································62.1.2中蒙贸易现状·················································································62.1.3中蒙贸易特点·················································································82.2中俄贸易现状·····················································································102.2.1中俄贸易发展历程··········································································102.2.2中俄贸易现状················································································102.2.3中俄贸易特点················································································122.3蒙俄贸易现状·····················································································142.2.1蒙俄贸易发展历程··········································································142.2.2蒙俄贸易现状················································································152.2.3蒙俄贸易特点················································································152.4本章小结····························································································15第3章中蒙俄贸易相关指数··········································································173.1贸易结合度指数··················································································173.2显示性比较优势指数············································································183.3互补性指数························································································203.4本章小结···························································································21第4章中蒙俄贸易发展的影响因素·································································23哈尔滨工程大学学士学位论文IV4.1中蒙俄贸易发展的有利因素···································································234.1.1地缘优势······················································································234.1.2国际形势····················································································