论中印两国要素积累对服务贸易比较优势的影响

[]20054[](1958),,,,(1972),,,,()20055FUDANJOURNAL(SocialSciences)No.52005(,200433;,200237)[],HO,,:,,[][]F112.1[]A[]02570289(2005)050121008,,A,:[1],;,,,,,2090,,,;,,,,,,TarunKhanna,[2]10,GDP40%,24%,10,7%,6%,,,,,,,,,,,IT;6%GDP,51%,[3],,,121(),()HO,,,,,HO,,,,(),1978,,19911980GDP(167,228),,2000825,GDP460,,GDP,19803011%20001519%,3819%2419%,GDP19804815%20005019%,2415%2615%,GDP,,,19802000,GDP15,GDP(36%4812%,2114%3312%),,208090,199234%,9030%,,,,,,,62%,017%,012%2003,52CMM5(,5),42,5[4](TCS),20023,10,500,50,1.5,[5],,,,(),221WorldBank:WorldDevelopmentIndicators,2003,,:,19995UNCTADHandbookofStatistics,200319802000,Laursen(1998)RCAS(Symmet2ricRevealedComparativeAdvantage),121(RCAS)19820.250.060.26NANA0.62NANA-0.49NA-0.7219850.230.07-0.27NANA0.57NANA-0.27NA-0.2619900.32-0.020.48NANA0.28NANA-0.17NA-0.511995-0.150.170.34NANA0.66NANA-0.09NA-0.031997-0.300.22-0.28-0.10-0.58-0.46-0.95-0.910.16-0.92-0.861998-0.380.270.24-0.06-0.55-0.08-0.95-0.900.13-0.90-0.961999-0.400.270.040.21-0.37-0.43-0.85-0.890.12-0.96-0.812000-0.290.280.370.04-0.29-0.67-0.91-0.900.06-0.95-0.50:UNCTADHandbookofStatistics,2003(on2line):,19822000,1997,,19972(RCAS)1982-0.350.24-0.18-0.970.19-0.421985-0.27-0.02-0.18-1.000.37-0.381990-0.070.040.10-0.990.31-0.8919950.080.080.11-0.990.15-0.921997-0.020.010.13-0.940.27-0.261998-0.17-0.090.02-0.930.400.231999-0.25-0.20-0.09-0.940.470.072000-0.36-0.27-0.13-0.830.500.13:UNCTADHandbookofStatistics,2003(on2line):UNCTADHandbookofStatistics,2003(on2line)321:RCASij=(RCAij-1)/(RCAij+1),RCASij[-1,1],RCASij0ij,RCASij0ijRCASijRCAij,,,,RCAij,,,,,,,,,,,1996,1996,,2080,1986,,,19911992,,1995630,2000,23,14,,,,,,2080,90,,,1999,,,,,200010(69159),4613(76163),1980013142197,138,,,,,2090,,,,,,:20004,62;200171385;20021274;20032095[4],200426%28%,120,,[6],,421UNCTAD:HandbookofStatistics,2003,[-1,1],,0:,,,,,,,,,,?1980198919902000,,,():lnT(t)=0+1lnK(t)+2lnL(t)+3lnH(t)+(1)T,K,L,H,123UNCTAD:HandbookofStatistics,2003,WorldBank:WorldDevelopmentIndicators,20031960,5%,;198020001665;:1665(),WorldDevelopmentIndicators,20032090,,,,,,,,,,,,,;,()(),521Barro,R.(1989),EconomicGrowthinaCrossSectionofCountries,NBERworkingpaperNo.3120.,:=(1-)+UrataandKiyota(2001),,()1980198919902000,OLS(1),DW,R2…R2,:1.lnT=118.1470+3.1732lnK-9.6431lnL+0.2050lnH(2)t=(1.5968)(3.4789)(2.4939)(1.0669)R2=0.9725…R2=0.9519DW=2.1335(2)19801989,,1%,311732%,tp=010567,;,,:1%,01205%90,,,,,(3)19902000:lnT=-543.7850-2.3570lnK+30.1570lnL+0.6541lnH(3)t=(-5.7976)(4.3235)(5.7941)(2.2118)R2=0.9927…R2=0.9890DW=2.5919,1%,301157%,p=010005;1%,016541%,p=01013,2.19801989:lnT=115.3056+7.1794lnK-15.0095lnL-0.1518lnH(4)t=(1.0687)(1.3282)(1.1832)(0.2928)R2=0.8703…R2=0.8054DW=2.0912,19801989,,t19992000:lnT=-79.7295-0.8486lnK+5.451lnL+1.0389lnH(5)t=(0.6417)(0.1947)(0.4523)(4.1068)R2=0.9857…R2=0.9771DW=2.7956,19902000,(p=010093),1%,1104%;(t,p=018791p=017238),,,2090,62180(),,,,2090,10642,473,GDP319%,(316%)(315%),,213%[7]19801999,115(3)3(19801999)198019851990199119921993199419951996199719991.702.852.972.913.053.874.735.255.656.097.455.236.036.065.985.905.845.776.586.917.2010.49:WB:WorldDevelopmentIndicators,2003,200318718,[8]340IT,30[4],12IT,(Bangalore)15IT,116,JohnWelch1800[9],,,:,;,,,,,,,:,(),:[][1]A.[J].,2003(1).[2]TarunKhanna.[J].,2003(1).721[3][N].,2004524.[4].,![N].21,200533.[5][N].,2003115.[6].:[J].,2004(15).[7].[M].BernanPress,1999.[8].2003[EB/OL].http:[9].:[EB/OL].http:finance.sina.com.cn,20031212.TheEffectsofFactorAccumulationontheComparativeAdvantageofServicesTradeinChinaandIndiaYINXiang2shuoSHENPu(InstituteofWorldEconomy,FudanUniversity,Shanghai200433;SchoolofBusinessandEconomy,EastChinaUniversityofScienceandTechnology,Shanghai200237,China)Abstract:Thispaperanalyzesthedifferencesintrademodeandcomparativeadvantageofservicestradebe2tweenChinaandIndia.Then,tomeasuretheeffectsoffactoraccumulationinthetwocountriesontheirser2vicesexportgrowth,itconductsatimeseriesanalysisbasedonH2Otheory,andfindsoutthatthetwocoun2triescomparativeadvantagescomefromdifferentsources:Chinabenefitsalotfromitsabundantunskilledla2bor,whileIndiadoeswelloutofitshumancapital.Alloftheworkoffersaninterpretationfromthefactorvisu2alangleforChinaandIndiascomparativeadvantagedifferencesinservicestrade.Finallyitconcludesthatthefasteraccumulationofhumancapitalcanprovidemorebeneficialconditionsforacountrytobuildupitscom2parativeadvantageinmodernservicestradesectors.Keywords:factoraccumulation;servicestrade;comparativeadvantage[][87],,,,,,,AProbeintothePoemsofDaWuinTheBookofSongsLIQing(KanazawaUniversity,Japan)Abstract:InhisresearchpaperZhouDaWuYuezhangKao,WangGuoweiascertainedthatHaotianyouChengmingandBanwereincludedinDaWu,buttheyhadneverbeenmentionedinthepreviousdocu2ments.Andhemadeoutthesequenceofthesixpoemsbymeansofananalysisoftheirmeanings.However,theauthorfindstheseviewpointsstillopentoquestionaccordingtohistoricalmaterials.ThediscussionconcernsnotonlytheinterpretationofTheBookofSongs,butalsoinvolvestheformationofancientritualmusic,thepercep2tionoftherelationshipbetweenritualmusican