广东省能源消费现状与发展生态工业园的作用研究

7120083热科学与技术JournalofThermalScienceandTechnologyVol.7No.1Mar.2008:16718097(2008)01008807杨泽亮,郑定成(华南理工大学电力学院,广东广州510640):进入21世纪广东经济继续维持高速增长,能源约束瓶颈进一步凸现,电力短缺,煤炭石油供应紧张局面相继出现由于长期处于粗放的线性经济发展模式,导致能源过度消耗和生态系统的不可持续为实现经济的可持续发展,须转变经济发展模式主要通过对广东省现有经济模式下的能源消费与经济发展的相关关系进行分析,并分析在其影响下的能源生产供应和消费及环境问题在此基础上以循环经济的基本理念为指导,从三种不同维度分析广东省的能源发展其中发展生态工业园对整体实现节能降耗提高经济效益作用突出,它将是今后解决广东能源瓶颈的重要途径:循环经济;能源消费弹性系数;生态工业园:TK01:A:20070712;:20080102.:(2006B70103019).:(1947),,,,.1,,,,,,,,,(,),e(1):1)();2):,e;3):e,,,e2:(1990~1997),e1,,(19940.82);(1998~2005),e,2002e11990~1997,1.240.67,19982004~2005,,:200565%1990~1997,,,,;1998~2005,200070.2%200474.0%[2],,,,(1990~20000.53,2001~20051.06),,,,,,,GDP16%,图1广东省能源电力消费增长率(E,e)与GDP增长率(GDP)(1990~2005年)[1]Fig.1Energy,electricityconsumptiongrowth(E,e)rateandGDPgrowthrate(GDP)inGuangdongProvince(from1990to2005)[1]图2广东省能源消费弹性系数(KE)与电力消费弹性系数(Ke)变化情况(1990~2005)[1]Fig.2Changesofelasticitycoefficientofenergyconsumption(KE)andpowerconsumption(Ke)inGuangdongProvince(from1990to2005)[1]22.1,,,,,(1200060.7%200574.5%)3,2000,,,,,,,,(19903057200513244)表1广东省能源供需的保证程度[1]Tab.1EnergysupplyassurancelevelinGuangdongProvince[1]单位:万吨标准煤/%19901006.244063.575.219952622.537345.364.320003711.699447.760.720013407.5110178.966.520023627.5411354.768.120034088.9813099.368.820044851.2915210.568.120054524.9717769.474.5,,20102.2891杨泽亮等:广东省能源消费现状与发展生态工业园的作用研究图3广东省能源供需变化图[1]Fig.3EnergysupplyanddemandchangesinGuangdongProvince[1]~2.3,20203.63,6%,/,,,:1),;2),(36%),(50%)2.2,(2),,2000~2005,52.4%;,200035%200526.1%,;,,0.3%,20.8%,(4),,37.5%25.5%24.3%,,,(,90%),表2广东省能源结构[1]Tab.2EnergystructureofGuangdongProvince[1]/%/%/%/%199056.535.38.2199556.428.514.90.2200052.235.012.60.2200152.534.013.50200251.931.017.10200353.528.617.70.2200451.428.420.00.2200552.826.120.80.3图4广东省能源结构变化趋势Fig.4ChangetrendsofenergystructureinGuangdongProvince2.3,,,,2005129.4[1],200412.7%;63.8,17.8%;105.8,14.1%;2896.2,11%,,GDP2%,,,,,,,,,90热科学与技术73,,!!-[3],,;,,,,,,,,,,,!!![4],,,,,(3R),,,,,,,!!--[3],,,,,:,;,;,,:1),,,20055:(2127.16[1]),(1594.53),(889.75),(846.98),(788.72),54%2)(),;,,,,,4.,,,,,4.1,,,,;,,,,,911杨泽亮等:广东省能源消费现状与发展生态工业园的作用研究,(56),,3R,:1),,,,;2),,30%;3),2,,,,700~1100∀,150∀,90%,30%[5]图5能源分质代谢[5]图6铁的分值代谢[5]Fig.5Dualmetabolisminenergy[5]Fig.6Metabolismscoresiniron[5]4.2[6],,,,,,,,,,,:,;,,:();:();:,,,,,,(7),图7工业园供能系统及能源梯级利用[1]Fig.7Energysupplysystemandcascadeuseofenergyinindustrialpark[1]92热科学与技术7,,,,,,,,,,45000,15000CO2SO217500010200[3]4.3,,,,,,,,,,3R,,()5,,,,,,,,,;,,;,,,,,,(References):[1]广东省统计局.广东省统计年鉴(2003~2006)[Z].广州:中国统计出版社,2007.TheStatisticalBureauofGuangdongProvince.ThestatisticalyearbookofGuangdongProvince(2003~2006)[Z].Guangzhou:ChinaStatisticsPress,2007.(inChinese)[2]广东省统计局.广东产业结构现状特点及调整优化研究[OL].[OL].(inChinese)[3]华贲.实施循环型和节约型能源经济战略[C]//第四届海峡两岸热电联产汽电共生学术交流会论文集.厦门,2006:206209.HUABen.Theimplementationofrecyclingandenergysavingeconomicstratege[C]//The4thCrossstraitAcadExchangesAbouttheSymbioticSteamandElectricityinCogeneration.Xiamen,2006:206209.(inChinese)[4]冯之浚.循环经济导论[M].北京:人民出版社,2004:11,115119,206217.FENGZhijun.Theintroductiontoeirculareconomy[M].Beijing:Peolpe'sPub.House,2004:11,115119,206217.(inChinese)[5]杨冬华.钢铁工业循环经济发展模式研究[D].北京:北京化工大学,2005:26.YANGDonghua.Theresearchaboutthedevelopmentmodeofcirculareconomyinironandsteelindustry[D].Beijing:BeijingChem.Indu.Univ.,2005:26.(inChinese)931杨泽亮等:广东省能源消费现状与发展生态工业园的作用研究[6]黄贤金.循环经济:产业模式与政策体系[M].南京:南京大学出版社,2004:1017,129.HUANGXianjin.Circulareconomy:industrymodelandpolicysystem[M].Nanjing:NanjingUniv.Press,2004:1017,129.(inChinese)[7]管玲飞.生态工业园区的工业生态系统构建!以绍兴滨海生态工业示范园区为例[D].杭州:浙江大学,2006.GUANLingfei.TheconstructionoftheindustrialecosystemsinecoindustrialparkShaoxingcoastalecoindustrialparkasanexamplemodel[D].Hangzhou:ZhejiangUniv.,2006.(inChinese)StatusofenergyconsumptioninGuangdongandfunctionresearchofdevelopingecoindustrialparkYANGZeliang,ZHENGDingcheng(ElectricPow.College,SouthChinaUniv.ofTech.,Guangzhou510640,China)Abstract:TheeconomyofGuangdongProvincecontinuetomaintainhighspeedgrowthinthe21stcentury.Theenergybottleneckbecomesmoreandmoreseriousthattheshortageofpowerandsupplytensionofcoalandoilarealreadyproblemsneededtobesolvedurgently.Aslonglinearextensivemodeofeconomicdevelopment,leadtotheexcessiveconsumptionofenergyandtheunsustainableofecosystems.Fortherealizationofsustainableeconomicdevelopment,theeconomicdevelopmentmodelhastobemodified.Therelationshipbetweeneconomicdevelopmentandenergyconsumption,theimpactofenergyproduction,supplyandconsumptionandtheenvironmentproblemintheexistingeconomicmodeloftheGuangdongProvincewereanalyzed.Onthisbasis,accordingtothebasictheoryofcyclicaleconomy,theenergydevelopmentwasanalyzedfromthreedifferentdimensions.Resultsindicatethatthefunctionofdevelopingecoindustrialparkisprominentforthewholetoreducetheenergyconsumptionandenhancestheeconomicefficiency.Itisaeffectiveapproachtosolvetheenergyproblem