应对能源和环境挑战

MEETINGTHEENERGY&ENVIRONMENTALMEETINGTHEENERGY&ENVIRONMENTALCHALLENGES应对能源和环境挑战CCICEDROUNDTABLEMEETING中国环境与发展国际合作委员会圆桌会议LimHaw-KuangExecutiveChairman,ShellCompaniesinChina林浩光，壳牌中国集团主席17April20092009年4月17日Beijing北京ShellCompaniesinChinaTHEENERGY&ENVIRONMENTALCHELLENGES能源和环境挑战能源和环境挑战1.RISINGDEMAND需求增长2.SECURITYOFSUPPLY供应安全3.ENVIRONMENTALSTRESS环境压力Pltith人口增长•Endf‘il’“易采石•Filfulrindinnt•Populationgrowth人口增长•Economicgrowth经济增长•Endof‘easyoil’“易采石油”时代结束•Moreunconventionals/renewables非传统能源/可•Fossilfuelsremaindominant矿物燃料依然占主导地位•Climatechange气候变化/renewables非传统能源/可再生能源比例上升ShellCompaniesinChina2TOTALENERGYDEMAND—BYENERGYSOURCE按能源种类区分的能源总需求量World世界1,000ysource)200China中国ource)400600800ear(Energy100200(Energyso0200400EJ/ye0100EJ/yearOil石油Gas天然气Coal煤Nuclear核电Biomass生物质能Solar太阳能Wind风能OtherRenewables其它可再生能源0200020252050200020252050E石油天然气煤核电生物质能太阳能风能其它可再生能源Source:ShellInternationalBVandEnergyBalancesofOECDandNon-OECDCountries©OECD/IEA2006ShellCompaniesinChina3SOMECHOICESTOTACKLETHECHALLENGES迎接挑战的选择迎接挑战的选择Energyresourcediversification能源多元化Hydropower水电AfurthershifttonaturalgasNuclearpowerRenewablesAfurthershiftNuclearRenewables可再生能源Bioproducts生物燃料水Energysaving,efficiencyandenvironmentalprotection节能、效率和环保大力发展天然气核电MassTransportation公共交通RoadTransport陆上交通Buildings建筑物LowenergyAppliances节能电器Carboncaptureandstorage碳捕集和封存ShellCompaniesinChina4碳捕集和封存CHINAUNITGDPENERGYCONSUMPTION中国单位GDP能耗中国单位GDP能耗UnitGDPprimaryenergyconsumption:ChinaVs.world(UiTOEUSD10000)(Unit:TOEperUSD10,000)Source:ERIShellCompaniesinChina5World’saverageChinaCHINA&INTERNATIONALENERGYCONSUMPTIONCOMPARASION中国与国际能耗比较际能耗较199020002005能耗+%火电发电煤耗//kWh392363343中国国际先进2005差距ChinaInternational火电发电煤耗/gce/kWh3923633433014214火电供电煤耗/gce/kWh4273923703145617.8钢可比能耗/kgce/t（大中型企业）99778471461010417电解铝交流电耗/kWh/t162231548014622141005224电解铝交流电耗/kWh/t162231548014622141005224铜冶炼综合能耗/kgce/t1705127778050028056水泥综合能耗/kgce/t201.11811531272620.5砖综合能耗/kgce/万块1.360.940.910.780.1316.7g0.780.1316.7建筑陶瓷综合能耗/kgce/m211.38.67.13.63.597.2平板玻璃综合能耗/kgce/重量箱34.8252215746.7原油加工综合能耗/kgce/t102.5118.4104.37331.342.9乙烯综合能耗/kgce/t1580112598662935756.7合成氨（大型）综合能耗/kgce/t134313271314100031431.4烧碱（隔膜法）综合能耗/kgce/t166015631460127518514.5纯碱（氨碱法）综合能耗/k/t560467450纯碱（氨碱法）综合能耗/kgce/t56046745035010028.6电石综合能耗/kgce/t221221902186180038621.4纸和纸板综合能耗/kgce/t155015401500640860134.4铁路货运综合能耗/kgce/万t-km842725763843-8-95ShellCompaniesinChina6Source:ERI铁路货运综合能耗/kgce/万tkm84.272.576.384.3-8-9.5ENERGYEFFICIENCY能源效率能源效率ElectricitySavingsfrommoreefficientairconditioners&refrigerators提高空调和冰箱能源效率可节省的电能16020080120ear时/年ThreeGorgesDam(85TWh)三峡大坝（85TWh）040TWhperye10亿千瓦时Thffiitddfiditi&fitlld0201520202030Airconditionersavings空调节能Refrigeratorsavings冰箱节能Tougherefficiencystandardsforairconditioners&refrigeratorsalonewouldsavetheneedtobuildaThreeGorgesDamby2020到2020年，单是执行更严格的空调和冰箱能效标准就能少建一座三峡大坝ShellCompaniesinChina7Source:IEAWorldEnergyOutlook2007-AlternativePolicyScenario资料来源：国际能源署《世界能源展望2007——可选择政策情景》ROLEOFTECHNOLOGY技术的作用技术的作用ShellCompaniesinChina8CLEANERENERGYSOLUTIONS更清洁的能源方案更清洁的能源方案Changbei–tightgas长北致密气dLNGSupplytoChina液化天然气llCoalGasificationTechnology煤气化技术l•Producingmorefromeverlowerpermeability•Horizontaldrilling•Naturalgas:cleanestfossilfuel•LargestIOCsupplierofLNGtoChinabycontract•Clean:NOX,SO2,Dust，etc•WiderangeofproductionoptionsLNGtoChinabycontractvolumeShellCompaniesinChina9ENERGYEFFICIENCYATCNOOCSHELLPETROCHEMICALCOMPANY中海壳牌的节能减排中海壳牌的节能减排EnergysavinginCNOOCShellPetrochemicalCompanyin2008:Anequivalentofaround14,350tonsofstandardcoal:¾Atotalof12millionKWhpowersavingthroughoptimizationofequipmentuse:enoughfor6,600filiiShhitffamiliesinShanghaitouseforoneyear¾1,400tonsofoilsavingbyoptimisingtheuseoftheboilerandpowergeneratorShellCompaniesinChina10TECHNOLOGYDIRECTIONINVESTINGINTECHNOLOGY技术投资技术投资SHAPINGTHEFUTURE打造未来OPERATIONSTODAY目前运营DELIVERINGGROWTH实现增长R&DSPENDING研发投资打未来目前营实现增10001,200Safety+reliability•Safety+reliability•LNG液化天燃气•EOR&HeavyOil8001,000Safety+reliabilityProductionperformanceSafety+reliability安全可靠•Productionperformance生产业绩Mitiiti•LNG液化天燃气•GTL天然气制油•OilSands油砂•DifferentiatedFuels优势燃料•EOR&HeavyOil石油采收率和重油•Contaminated+TightGas污染和致密气藏•Arctic北冰洋400600•Marginoptimization利润优化•Productdifferentiation产品差异化优势燃料•Deepwater深海开采•Arctic北冰洋•AlternativeEnergy替代能源200400'02'03'04'05'06'07'08降低环境足迹提高能效，碳俘获和封存，水管理，废物管理ReducingenvironmentalfootprintEnergyEfficiency,CCS,WaterManagement,WasteManagementEXXONMOBIL埃克森美孚BP英国石油TOTAL道达尔SHELL壳牌ShellCompaniesinChina11降低环境足迹提高能效，碳俘获和封存，水管理，废物管理CHEVRON雪佛龙壳牌