PMBOK指南(第5版)第十一章习题

1.Whichofthefollowingisanexampleofcorrectiveactioninriskmanagement?A．ConductingariskauditB．EngaginginadditionalriskresponseplanningC．PerformingthecontingencyplanD．Conductingariskreview以下哪一项是风险管理中纠正行动的例子?A．进行风险审核B．进行额外的风险应对规划C．执行应急计划D．进行风险审查2．Thethreeattributesofprojectriskare(),(),and().A.whatmighthappen,whohappensto,andhowmuchwillitcostB.notification,frequencyofrelevantevents,probabilityofoccurrenceC.qualityriskplanningtotalnumberofriskeventsD.theriskevent,probabilityofoccurrence,theamountatstake项目风险的三个属性是()、()和()A．可能发生什么、发生在谁身上、造成多少成本B．告示、相关事件的频率、发生概率C．质量、风险计划编制、风险事件的总数量D．风险事件、发生概率、受威胁的金额3．RisktolerancearedederminedtoA.helptheteamranktheprojectrisksB.helptheprojectmanagerestimatetheprojectC.helptheteamscheduletheprojectD.helpmanagementknowhowothermanagementwillactonproject确定风险的承受力是用以A．协助团队对项目的风险程度分级B．协助项目经理估计项目C．协助团队安排项目进度D．协助管理层了解其他经理是如何参与项目的4．Managementreserveisusedfor——A.RisksthatareidentifiedattheoutsetoftheprojectB.RisksthatarenotidentifiedattheoutsetoftheprojectbutareknownbeforetheyoccurC.RisksthatcannotbeknownbeforetheyoccurbecausetheyareexternalrisksD.Anyrisksthatcannotbeknownbeforetheyoccur管理储备是用于A.项目开始时被识别的风险B.项目开始时未被识别，但在发生前被识别的风险C.在发生前不可能知道的外部风险D.任何在发生前不可能知道的风险5.Ingeneral,atwhichpointinschedulesignificantriskmayoccur?A.PathconvergenceB.PathDivergenceC.ImposeddatesD.Milestones通常，重大风险将发生在进度哪个点上？A.路径汇聚B.路径分散C.强制时间D.里程碑6.Aprojectmanager’smainrisk-handlingstrategyistoacceptrisks.Theprojectmanageristherefore:A.ariskassumptiontester.B.riskaverse.C.riskseeking.D.riskdeflector.6.一名项目经理应对风险的主要策略是接受风险.因此,该项目经理:A.试验风险假设条件.B.讨厌风险.C.敢于冒风险.D.转移风险.7．anindividual’swillingnesstotakeariskcanbedeterminedbyA.decisiontreemodelingB.montecarlomethodC.sensitivityanalysisD.utilityfunction个人承担风险的意愿是取决于:A．决策树模型B．蒙特卡罗方法C．敏感分析D．效用函数8．Theconceptofstandarddeviationisimportantinriskanalysissincestandarddeviationmeasureanestimate'svariability.Therefore,the()thestandarddeviationofanestimate,the()itsvariabilityandrisk.A.larger,greaterB.larger,lesserC.smaller,greaterD.smaller,normalcy在风险分析中标准差非常重要，因为它可以测量一个估算的可变性。因此，估算的标准差()，其可变性和风险就()。A．越大、越大B．越大、越小C．越小、越大D．越小、为常态9．Assumptionsarevalidoutputofthescopeinitiationprocesses.Priortoprojectexecution,eachassumptionmustberesolvedidentifiedasaA.ConstraintB.Risk.C.Deliverable.D.Problem假设是范围启动过程的有效输出。执行项目前，每个假设必须被确为:A．约束条件B．风险C．可交付成果D．问题10．Inaproactiveapproachtoprojectriskmanagement,theamountofacontingencyreserveshouldbebasedonA.PercentagesbasedonpastexperienceB.ThesumtotalofthemostlikelyprobabilityandimpactofthevariousriskeventsC.AsetamountallocatedtoeachitemproportionatelyD.Anallowanceof10%foreachphaseintheprojectlifecycle在前瞻性的项目风险管理方法中，应急储备金额应该根据A．过去项目中的比例B．最可能概率和各种风险事件影响的乘积C．按比例分配到每一项的固定金额D．项目生命周期每一个阶段储备10%的金额11．Basedonhistoricaldata,theamountofovertimeassociatedwiththedesigneffortofaprojectisestimatedat100hourswith0.40probability,200hourswith0.40probability,and300hourswith0.20probability.Whatistheexpectedvalueoftheamountofovertime?A.100hoursB.160hoursC.180hoursD.260hours基于历史数据，项目可能需要加班100小时的概率为0.40，200小时的概率为0．40，300小时的概率为0.20。那么加班所需时间的风险期望值是多少？A．100小时B．160小时C．180小时D．260小时12.Additionalriskresponsedevelopmentisneededwhenthe——A.WBSischangedB.CostbaselineischangedC.RiskeventwasunexpectedortheeffectisgreaterthananticipatedD.Projectplanisupdated在下列哪种情况下，需要开发附加的风险应对措施？A.工作分解结构（WBS）发生变更B.成本基线发生变更C.风险事件未被预计到或其影响此预计的要大D.项目计划被更新13．Ifariskeventhasa90%chanceofoccurring,andtheimpactwillbeUS$10,000,whatdoesUS$9,000represent?A.RiskvalueB.PresentvalueC.ExpectedvalueD.Contingencybudget如果某风险事件有90%的概率发生，对项目造成的影响为10,000美元。9,000美元表示了什么含义？A．风险值B．发生值C．预期值D．应急预算14．ProjectsareparticularlysusceptibletoriskbecauseA.Murphy’slawstatesthatifsomethingcangowrong,itwill'B.EachprojectisuniqueinsomemeasureC.ProjectmanagementtoolsaregenerallyunavailableattheprojectteamlevelD.Thereareneverenoughresourcestodothejob由于以下哪个原因，项目特别容易受到风险的影响:A.墨菲定律表明:如果可能会生问题，问题将会出现B.每个项目在某些方面是独特的C.项目管理工具对于项目小组是不可得的D.完成工作的资源永远是不足的15．Whatdoesthestandarddeviationhavetodowithrisk?A.NothingB.StandarddeviationtellsyouiftheestimateisaccurateC.StandarddeviationtellsyouhowunsuretheestimateisD.Standarddeviationtellyouiftheestimateincludesapad标准差与风险有什么关系?A．没有关系B．标准差告诉你估计是否准确C．标准差告诉你估计的不确定程度D．标准差告诉你估计是否有一些水分16.Duringexecutionamajorproblemoccursthatyoudidnotincludeinyourriskmanagementplan,youshouldA.Createaworkaround.B.HaveabrainstormingmeetingC.ReporttothetopmanagementD.Fundthecostfrommanagementreserve在执行项目期间，发生一个在风险管理计划中没有涵盖的重大问题时你将:A．建立一个权变措施B．召开会议采用头脑风暴法C．向高层管理汇报D．从管理储备中抽出资金作为处理成本17.Youareinthemiddleofprojectexecutionandfindthatyouarerunningoutofmoneyduetounanticipatedchanges.WhatistheBESTthingtodo?A。crashorfasttracktheproject.B．Re-evaluatetheriskanalysisandcontingencyfunding.C。Askforachangetotheprojectbudget.D.Useresourcesthatdonotchargeagainsttheproject.你在项目实施阶段的中期发现，由于未预料的变更，你的钱要花光了。最佳的措施是什么？A.对项目进行赶工或快速跟进。B.重新评诂风险分析和应急准备金。C.要求对项目预算做变理。D.使用不对项目收费的资源。18.Youareperforminganauditofoneofyourprojectmanager’sprojectsandnoticethatshedidnotconsiderthenetworkdiagramaspartoftheriskidentificationprocess.WhichoneofthefollowingistheBESTexplanationforthissituation.