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对外经济贸易大学硕士学位论文入世后中国汽车贸易顺差原因分析姓名:冉琳申请学位级别:硕士专业:国际贸易学指导教师:冷柏军2008040140%207SWOTSWOTRCASWOTAbstractAtthebeginningofentryintoWTO,Chineseautomobilesindustryhassufferedgreatpressureintwoaspects.Fromtheinside,thegovernmentsubsidyhasbeencanceledaccordingtotheWTOterms.Ontheotherhand,thecompetitionbecomesmoreseriousfortheforeignbrandssqueezingintoourmarket.Howevertheprospectsofautomobilestrade,duringthesevenyears,aregood.ThisdevelopmentisaconcreteproofofChinesespirit.ThedataofMinistryofCommerceshowsthatduringtheperiodof“theTenthFive-YearPlan”theexportofChineseautomobileshasincreasedatthespeedof40percenteachyear,indicatingthepowerfuldevelopmenttendency.TheexportmarketofChineseautomotiveproductshasalreadycovered207countriesandregions.FindingthecausewhichpushthetradeprocesshasalreadybecomeatopicofgeneralinterestthattheexportofChineseautomobilevehicleandcomponentproducts.Thewholethoughtofthisarticleis:Firstly,accordingtothebackgroundofautomotiveproducts.Then,usingthe“SWOT”theoryofManagement,theevaluativetargetsystemoftheexportcompetitivepowerofautomotiveproductsissetup,includingtheStrongpart,Weakpart,Opportunity,Threat.Finally,onthebasisofcollectingandsortingoutthedata,theauthorusesoverallevaluationmethodandsingle-indexevaluationtodoacomparativeresearchontheexportcompetitivepowerofChineseautomotiveproductsandputsforwardthefactorsrestrictingtheexportofChineseautomotiveproductsandsolutiontoit.Thispaperhasmainlyanalyzedthecharacteristicoftheexportofourcountry’sautomotiveproductsatpresent,andpointedoutthecurrentsituationoftheexportcompetitivepowerofourcountry’sautomotiveproducts.Attheendofthispaper,theauthortrytoprovidesomesuggestionstothenativeautomobilesenterprise.Whileanalyzingthecurrentsituationoftheexportcompetitivepowerofourcountry’sautomotiveproducts,theauthorfindsoutthefactorinfluencingtheexportofourcountry’sautomotiveproductsthroughtheSWOTmodelandthefourindexes.Theauthornotonlyanalyzefromthetimecoordination,butalsomakecomparisonwithsomebigexportcountries,tofindoutthegapwiththem.Ifthesecanofferafewcommonplaceremarksbywayofintroductionsothatothersmaycomeupwithvaluableopinions,andcanmakemorecolleaguesintheforeigntradesectorconcernandstudythedevelopmentoftheforeigntradeofourcountry’sautomotiveproducts,doourforeigntradeofautomotiveproductsbetterbypoolingthewisdomandeffortsofeveryone,andpromotetheeconomicdevelopmentofourcountryandinthiswaytheauthorcanachievethepurposeofthispaper.Keywords:TheChineseautomotiveproducts,Internationalcompetitiveability,SWOTanalysis,Marketconcentration.11.120011211WTO20012734.3%1020068.7%12007700200420076102523581061120072+3220071.223SWOTSWOTstrengthweakness(opportunity)threat200720022007SWOTSWOT3SWOT31994WorldEconomicForum42.1+52.2CMSRCATC(QCI)2.2.14IMFCPT=ER*PX/PD(2.1)ERPXPD1316%42003RCAQCICR4CR862.2.2(revealedcomparativeadvantage)RCARCARCA=ij/i/j/RCA2.51.25RCA2.50.8RCA1.25RCA0.82.2.3QCIQualityCompetitivenessIndexQCIit5QCIi(t)=P0i(t)/Pi(t)(2.2)QCIi(t)itP0i(t)itP0i(t)pi(t)itpi(t)QCIi(t)0+QCIi(t)QCIi(t)QCIi(t)15200572.2.46CR4CR8CRnXn/XN2.3CRnXXnXnXNXNCR430%CR840%CR430%CR840%CR430%CR840%76APT(No.12)2006-257200783.1388506556801006040“”“”2005112006712510601573.12001-20072001200220032004200520062007231319440501.5577.1713.4888.24236.4324.8439.1507.1575.870088013.3%37.4%35.2%15.5%13.5%23%21.8%2007920012374.3%1020022004042005058.7%200770020072008114820073.724513306238283.23.2.120013.220051282007200678.95%61.27200634.331.38WTO2008-01-17105%200720060.920071.1831.9%41.4%3.22001-2007/20012.62.17.117.10.812.4120022.22.312.832.01.042.5020034.63.717.252.80.813.07200413.66.617.654.20.493.08200517.316.016.151.70.923.21200634.231.423.075.40.923.28200761.273.131.31091.203.48010203040506070200120022003200420052006200700.20.40.60.811.21.42007200111354504043.2.29SUV3.3520072038%300%07SUVSUVSUV920076.794.2%27.8%5.2112.5%19.1%1500ml2500ml3.5527.7%2.539200712534.78%51.6%48.9%1000ml1500ml2.82.4242.2%46.8%93.8%95.7%3.32005-2007/200720062005218000155609965481952609929461653.4%40.6%45.30%60.57%16400093315311241239306303827057.8%30.6%27.20%19.52%37812129146429794854158619648.2%7.1%3.80%4.03%42760219501046235370175386984.1%5.12%6.40%6.56%200820083.2.310200512.075%2007624.94%2%1007132007618.991.9%70.117.158.3%70.9%5.5184.0%20.36.0110.2%24.9%3.420071-6/20070120076%%17089258.2818943291.9170.0970.9260087110.2354843183.9820.2924.942813145.0311684113.014.321.175014168.279793265.423.622.081500145.902480105.280.920.62227305.36928942.930.340.09308-14.4478390.820.290.13100-0.9917335.690.060.047-22.22112-12.770.040.001-95.6540-31.840.010.0024094971.21270268110.71100.00100.00:200634456,333180%,2007121SWOT4.1SWOTSWOT208012(EPS)(VVT)172700200120074.1.4T1WTO24.24.2.118200578.2705707117.48.2710%7.014200610%10%200749004.2.2RCA4.14.120020.972.221.070.0820030.962.181.210.
本文标题:入世后中国汽车贸易顺差原因分析
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