工商管理硕士(MBA) 学位论文

0中图分类号：密级：公开工商管理硕士（MBA）学位论文论文题目：CAFTA建立对广西货物贸易的影响作者姓名：黄盛鑫学科专业：工商管理研究方向：国际贸易指导教师：王国安完成日期：二O一一年五月浙江工商大学工商管理硕士（MBA）论文1CAFTA建立对广西货物贸易的影响摘要中国—东盟自由贸易区(CAFTA)的建立，对促进中国和东盟各国的经济贸易交往，增强中国与东盟各国的社会文化交流，无疑起着举足轻重的作用。广西背靠大西南，面向东南亚，处于华南经济圈、西南经济圈和东盟经济圈的结合部，为西南地区最便捷的出海通道，拥有极其优越的区位优势，而广西能否利用自身良好的地利优势在自由贸易区建设中发挥重要的桥梁和纽带作用十分令人关注。本文运用实证分析的方法，引用大量的数据资料对广西与东盟双边贸易进行分析。并对广西与东盟双边贸易总体现状、广西对东盟贸易结构及变化进行研究，利用贸易结合度(TI)指数和显示性比较优势(RCA)指数，揭示CAFTA建立给广西带来的静态和动态贸易效应，从而找出广西与东盟双边贸易中存在的问题：贸易商品集中、市场单一、互补性差和竞争性强等。在此基础上，分析广西与东盟双边贸易调整所面临的新形势，探讨扩大双边贸易的对策建议，以期为科学研究和政府决策提供有益的参考。关键词：广西，东盟，FTA，货物贸易浙江工商大学工商管理硕士（MBA）论文2THEIMPACTOVERGUANGXI’SCOMMODITYTRADEWITHTHEESTABLISHMENTOFCAFTAABSTRACTTheestablishmentofChina-ASEANFreetradearea(CAFTA)willundoubtedlyplayanimportantroleinpromotingthetradeandeconomicinteractionforbothsides,aswellasenhancingsocialandculturalinterflow.Guangxi,withitsexceptionalgeographicaladvantages,backsbythesouth-westerninlandandfacessouth-eastAsia,andlocatedintheconjunctionofsouthernChina,south-westernChinaandASEANeconomiccircle,isoneofthemostconvenienceocean-boundthoroughfareforthecommoditiesofsouth-westernChina.MeanwhilewhetherGuangxicanavailitselfwiththeaboveadvantagesandworksaslinkingandbridgingnodeundertheconstructionofthefreetradeareahasdrawngreatconcern.Thisthesisadoptedempiricalanalysismethod,quotedlargeamountofdatatoanalyzebilateraltradebetweenGuangxiandASEAN.ItcarriedoutresearchontheoverallstatusofbilateraltradeandthechangeoftradingstructurebetweenGuangxiandASEAN,appliedtradeintensityindexandtherevealedcomparativeadvantageindextodemonstratethestaticanddynamictradeeffectupontheestablishmentofCAFTA.Thensortedouttheexistingproblemofbilateraltrade,suchas:tradeconcentratedinafewcommoditiesandmarkets,withlowcomplementaryfeatureandstrongcompetitiveness.Baseontheaboveconclusion,itanalyzedthenewsituationfollowedbytheadjustmentofbilateraltrade,andproposedsuggestionsofenlargingbilateraltradeandprovidedsomereferencesforgovernmentdecision-making.KEYWORDS:Guangxi,ASEAN,FTA,commoditytrade浙江工商大学工商管理硕士（MBA）论文3目录第一章导论..........................................1第一节研究背景及研究目的和意义.....................................................................1一、研究背景.......................................................................................................1二、研究目的和意义...........................................................................................1第二节内容结构与研究方法.................................................................................2第三节主要创新点.................................................................................................3第四节近期学者的研究.........................................................................................4第二章区域经济一体化相关理论回顾.....................7第一节关税同盟相关理论.....................................................................................7一、关税同盟的静态效应...................................................................................7二、关税同盟的动态效应...................................................................................9三、关税同盟理论现实应用的再思考.............................................................10第二节自由贸易区相关理论................................................................................11一、自由贸易区的定义.....................................................................................11二、自由贸易区贸易效应分析.........................................................................12第三章CAFTA框架下广西面临的机遇和挑战.............14第一节CAFTA建立的背景、框架及意义.........................................................14一、CAFTA建立的背景..................................................................................14二、CAFTA的框架内容..................................................................................15二、CAFTA成立的意义..................................................................................16第二节CAFTA框架下广西面临的机遇.............................................................17一、CAFTA框架的建立给广西带来的机遇..................................................17二、区位优势.....................................................................................................18三、文化和社会交往优势.................................................................................19四、多重的优惠政策优势.................................................................................19第二节CAFTA框架下广西面临的挑战.............................................................19浙江工商大学工商管理硕士（MBA）论文4一、来自国内周边地区的挑战.........................................................................20二、来自发达国家的挑战.................................................................................20三、来自东盟国家内部的挑战.........................................................................21第四章CAFTA框架下广西贸易现状及效应分析...........22第一节广西与东盟国家贸易现状分析...............................................................22一、贸易总量分析.............................................................................................22二、贸易国别分析.............................................................................................24第二节广西与东盟国家静态贸易效应分析.......................................................28一、关税减让与自贸区的贸易效应分析..............................