中国快递市场发展研究报告_总报告_

©1994-2010ChinaAcademicJournalElectronicPublishingHouse.Allrightsreserved.(1994)2(),21,,,WTO,,,,,()()(),,,,,:,,,20602004:(1),;(2),,,,,(,,©1994-2010ChinaAcademicJournalElectronicPublishingHouse.Allrightsreserved.(1994)3),,,,;,,(,,,),,,,,1840,165,,,,,,,,,,2060,,1979,,,,,,,,,,,,:()9311%,()619%,,,,,,,,,,()111969,10©1994-2010ChinaAcademicJournalElectronicPublishingHouse.Allrightsreserved.(1994)4,1979,,,,,,,,,,,,,,19796,(OCS),DHLTNTFedExUPS,,,,2080,,,,,,1986,,:,,,,(),211985,(EMS),EMS,,,EMS50%,EMS2090,EMS,,1992,,,,,,,,©1994-2010ChinaAcademicJournalElectronicPublishingHouse.Allrightsreserved.(1994)5,,,,,,1993EMS,,,()1979,26,,(),,,,,,,11,,,,167362,,20036540,200361100,121()()()()DHL56500014131980FEDEX1814141984UPS2340001988TNT3545001982OCS61979EMS20014000101581986()©1994-2010ChinaAcademicJournalElectronicPublishingHouse.Allrightsreserved.(1994)6,,,,1000,600,,1993669,19981034,2003660319931998,911%19982003,4419%,,2000200450%,15%,,70%(80%),50,85%,,,,,,,,,209080%,20%,,,,,,,21(),80%(),(EMS)80%,20042,70%,EMS,,,,,,,,©1994-2010ChinaAcademicJournalElectronicPublishingHouse.Allrightsreserved.(1994)7,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,332600,30%,,,,2,,2004,,,2004510,,20057,,220051211,,TNT,,TNT,,,,UPS2004121,23,DHL,,DHL31,2004409111,2313%:©1994-2010ChinaAcademicJournalElectronicPublishingHouse.Allrightsreserved.(1994)81216%1416%,,,,,,,75%,,,40%,,,(),EMS2070,,2003,1300,GDP640,2,115,2013,GDP1350(),2003,1990200415,3316%()11,,70%,50%,,,,,GDP60%,70%,,,,,,,,,,OxfordEconomicForecasting,TheImpactOfTheExpressDeliveryIndustryOnTheGlobalEconomy,March20051©1994-2010ChinaAcademicJournalElectronicPublishingHouse.Allrightsreserved.(1994)9,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,21,,GDP,;,,90%,,,,;,,,,,,23,112(23),,,,1995,,,,1995,(Fedex)(UPS),,JohnD1KasardaandJonathanD1Green,AirCargoasandEconomicDevelopmentEngine:opportunitiesandConstraints,March20051©1994-2010ChinaAcademicJournalElectronicPublishingHouse.Allrightsreserved.(1994)10,Anam,4,5000,;Poongsan1;Wistron112;TEMICOmranSanjoAlloy19952000,150,25,24001,,200437%,80%,,,,,,,,,,,31,,,1000,1000,27002004,70%,30%19802004,22,5,172003,125,140152013,210,240,,,,,,80%252,OxfordEconomicForecasting,TheImpactOfTheExpressDeliveryIndustryOnTheGlobalEconomy,March20051©1994-2010ChinaAcademicJournalElectronicPublishingHouse.Allrightsreserved.(1994)11,20035000,2005115,,,1111242003,,,9,,418%,0121,16,412090,,,1998,,,,,,,,20053,,,,,;,;,,,,,()111978,,914%,2005118,1138,6000,6500500400,700,,20051011,,,,,,©1994-2010ChinaAcademicJournalElectronicPublishingHouse.Allrightsreserved.(1994)12,,,,,,GDP,20062010,10%,20057,,,;,,,,,,,,,,,WTO,,,;,,;,;,;,,:GDP,:GDP20012004,GDP1%,3%20062010,GDP8%,,25%2004,1115,3517%20012004,,,20062010,30%,2004,3814,2919%20012004,,(26%),19952004,716%,,414%,519%,1319%,20062010,25%©1994-2010ChinaAcademicJournalElectronicPublishingHouse.Allrightsreserved.(1994)132198012026571776411419851836581261903412199026207106223358812199535909130504695221320004432113771612950132001477101469463304317200250686156586783511620035385917247710057192004694421928978417118:(),,014%2002,,,,19952004,2919%;20012004,3113%20012004,4018%,,19902004,118%;414%,3512%;1015%19902004,2317%,319805133881331915319855150941242717219905178102183010550168199561241151700121112190200061871401271163150129200171011681801194155136200271191761522151163177200371301801982197174195200471421871073143204194:©1994-2010ChinaAcademicJournalElectronicPublishingHouse.Allrightsreserved.(1994)1441980178129129191985321112223121990551136368148199510405851432000160819171613220011802104765124200220531178121222003238219385315120042820154890105:5199019952000200220032004()4377971165117611551279()4485133161194244()385694103210159611035()501711219150131631817520419()161634185018571471158914()321975119915106131031411515()94139139141126133()49972282893710071119()416527602664754:21,1990,34313,1995556217,20041977119,19902004,3316%,199520041511%,200020041517%619902004()()()1990155155419343131995988197916556217200047921777171103114200145561386191265217200256951810614036122003701918103181723718200497121382181977119:©1994-2010ChinaAcademicJournalElectronicPublishingHouse.Allrightsreserved.(1994)15,,(712)1990,394,1995695314,200020973,20046590620002004,3311%,,1517%,4618%719882004(%)19881531017101701019903431350173941019955562171390176953141996709616224411934017341997687819320910100871981998733118449010118211817199990911366341515725183320001103114994112209721633200112652171456418272171530200214036122079818348351028200317237183096711482041938200419771194613414659061337119952004,200620101,,,GDP8%10%,20%,,,©1994-2010ChinaAcademicJournalElectronicPublishingHouse.Allrightsreserved.(1994)162199520048(1)20052296115694611392422182006266651710458311131248