XXXX经济发展信心指数调查

Market&TechnologyAnnualConfidenceSurvey2013ConfidenceSurveyonForeign-InvestmentManufacturingEnterprisesinMainlandChinaPreparedby:MartecGroupChinaOfficeJanuary,20131Preface-Asoneofthepowerfulenginesoftheglobaleconomy,China’seconomyisalsofacingsomecommonproblems,includingtherisingmanufacturingcosts,theappreciationofRMB,thestructuralimbalanceofworkforce,thedifficultyofcorporatefinancing,andetc.Foreign-investmentmanufacturingsectorinChinaactsasanimportantsectionofChinesemanufacturingindustry.Howabouttheirperceptionontheoperatingconditionsinthepast2012?Howabouttheirperspectivetowardstheirindustriesinthecoming2013?YoumayfindtheanswersintheannualconfidentialsurveyconductedbyMartecGroupChinaOffice.2Source:IMFEconomyOutlook2013,TheTreasuryofAustralia,RBA,MartecUnitedStates2012GDPGR:2.3%2013GDPGR:2.0%GDPGlobal%,2011:21.6%UK2012GDPGR:-0.2%2013GDPGR:1.0%Italy2012GDPGR:-2.1%2013GDPGR:-1.0%Spain2012GDPGR:-1.4%2013GDPGR:-1.5%Sub-SaharanAfrica2012GDPGR:4.8%2013GDPGR:5.8%Australia2012GDPGR:3.0%2013GDPGR:2.7%Japan2012GDPGR:2.0%2013GDPGR:1.2%GDPGlobal%,2011:8.4%China2012GDPGR:7.8%2013GDPGR:8.2%GDPGlobal%,2011:10.5%FivecountriesofASEAN2012GDPGR:5.7%2013GDPGR:5.5%GDPGlobal%,2011:3.6%MiddleEast&NorthAfrica2012GDPGR:5.2%2013GDPGR:3.4%▼▼▼▼▼▼▼▼Russia2012GDPGR:3.6%2013GDPGR:3.7%GDPGlobal%,2011:2.7%▼▼▼▼▼▼▼▼▼Canada2012GDPGR:2.0%2013GDPGR:1.8%GDPGlobal%,2011:2.5%India2012GDPGR:4.5%2013GDPGR:5.9%GDPGlobal%,2011:2.4%Germany2012GDPGR:0.9%2013GDPGR:0.6%GDPGlobal%,2011:5.1%LatinAmerica&Caribbean2012GDPGR:3.0%2013GDPGR:3.6%GDPGlobal%,2011:8.7%Brazil2012GDPGR:1.0%2013GDPGR:3.5%GDPGlobal%,2011:3.6%BackgroundGrowthForecastofGlobalEconomyin2013China,IndiaandBrazilareanticipatedtoshowahigherGDPgrowthratein2013comparedwiththatof2012whileAmerica,JapanandGermanyisestimatedtohaveaslowerGDPgrowthratein2013thanthatof2012.France2012GDPGR:0.2%2013GDPGR:0.3%Notes:thefivecountriesofASEANareIndonesia,Malaysia,thePhilippines,ThailandandVietnam.3111.7116.0105.790.092.482.774.872.460.653.552.70102030405060708090100110120+112%20122011201020092008200720062005200420032002Unit:$Billion5.3%6.6%15.8%2.8%5.8%63.7%OthersAmericaTaiwanSingaporeJapanHongKongForeignDirectInvestmentinMainlandChina,2002-2012Source:MinistryofCommerceofthePRCFDIinMainlandChina,BreakdownbyCountriesbyRegions,2012BackgroundForeignDirectInvestmentinMainlandChina(1)Duringthepastdecade,theforeigndirectinvestmentinMainlandChinadoubledfromUSD52.7billionin2002toUSD111.7billionin2012.Relyingongeographicadvantage,HongKongcapitaloccupiedmorethan60%inFDIinMainlandChina.4249.2277.1274.1234.3275.1378.7414.7400.0436.6410.8341.7050100150200250300350400450-43%20122011201020092008200720062005200420032002Unit:Hundred11.2%2.8%4.8%14.7%25.5%41.0%OthersAccommodationandCateringTechnology,MediaandTelecomsRentalandCommercialServiceWholesalesandRetailManufacturingIndustryNumberofNewly-foundForeign-InvestmentEnterpriseinMainlandChina,2002-2012Source:MinistryofCommerceofthePRCFDIinMainlandChina,BreakdownbyIndustries,2011BackgroundForeignDirectInvestmentinMainlandChina(2)Intermsofnumberofnewly-foundforeign-investmententerprise,itdeclinedfromhistoricalrecordhighof436.6hundredsofenterprisesin2004to249.2hundredofenterprisesin2012.ManufacturingandwholesalesandretailarethemaintwoindustriesthatareattractivetoFDI,whichtookup41%and25.5%in2011,respectively.5Year•HistoryYear:2012•ForecastYear:2013GeographicScope•MainlandChinaIntroductionoftheSurvey(1)TargetInterviewee•MajorForeign-InvestmentManufacturingEnterprisesinMainlandChinaSampleCollection•SentInterviewSample:627•ValidInterviwSample:352Source:Martec•Autoandautopartsmanufacturing•Aerospaceequipmentmanufacturing•Shipandrailtransportationequipmentmanufacturing•Mining,metallurgy,constructionequipmentmanufacturing•Petroleum,chemicalequipmentmanufacturing•Powergenerationandwaterconservationequipmentmanufacturing•Powertransmissionanddistributionandcontrolequipmentmanufacturing•Pharmaceuticalproduction/medicalequipmentmanufacturingIndustryCoverage•Computer,communicationsandotherelectronicequipmentmanufacturing•Electronicsandelectricalmachinerymanufacturing•Agriculture,forestry,animalhusbandryandfisherymachinerymanufacturing•Boilerandmotivepowerequipmentmanufacturing•Metalprocessingmachinerymanufacturing•Materialhandlingequipmentmanufacturing•Instrumentsandmetersmanufacturing•Lightingequipmentmanufacturing•Pumps,valves,compressorsandsimilarmachinerymanufacturing•Others6SampleDistributionByIndustrySampleDistributionByPositionInall352validinterviewsamples,itcouldbedistributedasfollows:IntroductionoftheSurvey(2)RespondentsResponse%Autoandautopartsmanufacturing4813.6%Powergeneration,powerT&Dandcontrolequipmentmanufacturing4111.6%Computer,communicationsandotherelectronicequipmentmanufacturing359.9%Petroleum,chemicalequipmentmanufacturing339.3%Shipandrailtransportationequipmentmanufacturing308.5%Mining,metallurgy,constructionequipmentmanufacturing287.9%Electronicsandelectricalmachinerymanufacturing257.1%OtherIndustries11232.7%Total352100%IndustryRespondentsResponse%IndustryMarketingandCorpo