循环经济_能源消费与经济增长和谐发展的战略选择

:2005206210:(19732),,,:(,710061):,,,,,,,,:;;:F06113:A:100424892(2005)0520008206,1969Granger(EC)(GDP)()Granger:,EC,GDP;ECGDP,GDPGDPGDP,ECGDP,ECGDPGranger[1]:,GDPEC:GDPt=O+mi=1iGDPt-i+mi=1iECt-i+tECt=O+mj=1jECt-j+mj=1jGDPt-j+t,i(i=1,2,,m)=0,ECGDPi(i=1,2,,m)=0,ECGDP,:ECGDPGranger,j(j=1,2,,m)=0i(i=1,2,,m)=0,GDPECGranger()85(118)20059CollectedEssaysonFinanceandEconomicsNo.5(General,No.118)Sep.2005,,:(1),EC,GDP;(2),GDP,EC:(3),,KraftJ.KraftA.GDP,[2],,,GlasureLeeGDP[3];YuChoiGDP[4];Asafu2AdjayeJ.GDPGDP[5],19782000GDP,Granger,,19782000GDP[6],,(),(),,,,1.,,,1/2,,2030,,1[6]/(%)16214890145551672312521591111424661132107919041382.,,209032%,913%,50%,90%2090GDP,14141016818813416412,2004GDP1158,9:(2002)513%1,,1GDP3.,,,,6018%,1911%2,,70%,,,:,,,70%90%67%,2,,,GDP3%-7%,,1993,1995716%20003110%2020,415,60%,(012005558%),4.,,,,,,2,1992,,,2:(%)19786277053144109184198063735602751051741991104844103783101102199210725810917098124200010900012800085115200112090013491489161200213836914822293135200316030016780095153:(2002),,,:,,15,315%,20201512(1=101486106=11498),214%415%512%515%513%,7553954725571,,/,,,:,,,20011125,GDP13%,7%,,,,2060,K,,,,11:()(),,,,:1.3R,(Reduce)(Reuse)(Resource),,,,,,,2.,,,,:,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,:1.,,,,2.,,,,,21200553.;,4.GDP,GDPGDP,,,,GDP,GDP,,GDP,,:[1]GrangerCWJ.InvestigatingCausalRelationsbyEconometricModelsandCross2spectralMethods[J].Econometrica,1969,37:424438.[2]KraftJ.andKraftA.OntheRelationshipBetweenEnergyandGNP[J].EnergyDevelopment,1978,3:401403.[3]GlasureYU,LeeAR.Co2integration,Error2correction,andtheRelationshipBetweenGDPandElectricity:theCaseofSouthKoreaandSingapore[J].ResourceandElectricityEconomics,1997,20:1725.[4]YuESH,ChoiJY.TheCausalRelationshipBetweenElectricityandGNP:anInternationalComparison[J].JournalofEnergyandDevelopment,1985,10:249272.[5]Asafu2AdjayeJ.TheRelationshipBetweenElectricityConsumption,ElectricityPricesandEconomicGrowth:TimeSeriesEvidencefromAsiaandDevelopingCountries[J].EnergyEconomics,2000,22:615625.[6],,.[J].,2004,(12):1721.[7].,[J].,2003,(7):39.[8],,,.[R].,2003.RecyclingEconomy:theStrategicChoiceoftheHarmoniousDevelopmentofEnergyConsumptionandEconomicGrowthLIJin2kai(SchoolofEconomicsandFinance,XipanJiaotongUniversity,Xipan710061,China)Abstract:One2wayortwo2waycausalityexistsbetweenenergy2consumptionandeconomicgrowthofacountry.Theeconomicgrowthofourcountryhasalreadybeenseriouslyrestrictedbytheconditionofconsumptionofenergyatpresent.Thispaperstartswiththerelationshipbetweeneconomicgrowthandenergyconsumption,analysestheproblemsandimpactonnationaleconomy.OnthebasisofexplainingtheprincipleandcharacteristicsofrecyclingEconomy,thepaperpointsoutthatweshouldsetuprecyclingeconomyinordertoadvancetheconstructionoftheresourceeconomizingtypeofsociety.Recyclingeconomyisnotonlyonewayofharmoniousco2existencebetweenmanandnature,butalsoastrategicchoiceoftheharmoniousdevelopmentoftheenergyconsumptionandeconomicgrowth.Somecorrespondingsuggestionsandopinionsareputforwardatlast.Keywords:energyconsumption;recyclingeconomy;harmoniousdevelopment(:)31: