我国高尔夫球场发展模式分析与预测

,,,(,730020):20,,,,,,,(),,,:;;:S688.4:A:100120629(2009)09202212063540,,,,,500,,,,[126]11.120081,1818302(500),198,18100200,GDP,55%89%1.21:,,,2,,,[7211],[12214]InfoYouChinaMarketService200411Tom2003:()219,200114155.3%,,27.65%,GDP2,2001,20033960,29.8%,,269Vol.26.No.9PRATACULTURALSCIENCE221-2269/20093:2008207222:(19842),,,,EËmail:[e-mail]:1200812004122008120081200412200816655264225126743372516123212213331416108311169722315412111093210105112101051011175711066110264210062400143200042430219019821818(2004)[15216]182003()18()144080.07954.2299.4359433.01456.4044.131357.56769.44902.591176.51011.30155.5836020.01711.0085.5520711.57405.82643.98905.04679.55935.9127915.5810.5252.2919811.03488.00317.0930617.09125.00536.761267.04375.60625.091086.04210.00701.6790.53815.007630.00181.02703.702703.70362.08700.404350.20362.03130.001565.00633.56001.701714.7790.53314.296628.58814.54857.001079.33362.03689.501844.75814.56662.801480.62181.04254.234254.23181.09667.009667.00362.03869.661934.83362.06410.003205.00181.01933.951933.95362.02379.611189.81222PRATACULTURALSCIENCE(Vol.26.No.9)9/20092,()(),18()()2:;2,2[17]21,,,;,,,[18],,,,,,,2h,,(),,,20002000(),300100200,,,,;,,,,,,,[19220]2,,,,,,,;,,,,,,,2,,,(),,,,,,,,,;;;;[21228]3,,,,,,3229/2009(269)3[15](%)10(10)14101020(20)41282030(30)43303050(50)382650861441001050,1050,,2,20043.8,20,200,(FGT2ForwardGolfTourSched2ule),30d,,,,,,,:,;;;,[29230];45,[31235],,,,,,,418(%)27(%)27(%)(%)68121254571210017853892338244110016856.67hm2(%)6.6713.34hm2(%)13.3420.01hm2(%)20.01hm2(%)(%)426534531726711100155810455932411519100129,,,3,,5[36],,,,,,[37238],,,,[39],,,,,,422PRATACULTURALSCIENCE(Vol.26.No.9)9/20093,1)5,,,,2),,;,,,,,,,,3),,,,,,,4),,,,,,,4,20,,,[40][1],.(2006)(2006)[Z].[2006]296.2006.[2],.[J].,2007,30(9):129521297.[3],.[J].,2006,21(6):65270.[4].[D].:,2005.[5],,.[J].,2007,24(6):80285.[6],.[J].,2006(5):32234.[7],,,.[J].,2008,17(1):1002106.[8].[J].,2008,17(2):128.[9].[J].,2008,25(2):125.[10].[J].,2007,22(12):23227.[11],.[J].,2004,19(3):96297.[12],.[J].,2004(11):78279.[13],.[J].,2008,28(5):37241.[14].[J].,2007,26(S1):12215.[15].2004[M].:,2003.[16].(2004)[M].:,2005.[17].[J].,2003,27(3):44248.5229/2009(269)[18],.[J].,2006,23(4):1052110.[19],.[J].,2005,25(6):21225.[20],,.[J].,2005,12(4):32234.[21].[D].:,2005.[22].[D].:,2006.[23].[D].:,2007.[24].[D].:,2008.[25].[D].:,2006.[26].[D].:,2008.[27],,.[J].,2006(10):15217.[28].[J].,2004,40(3):41244.[29].[J].,2004(12):2452246.[30],.[J].,2005(5):66272.[31].[D].:,2006.[32].[J].,2007,27(6):46249.[33],,.[J].,2008(6):2542256.[34],.[J].,2008,27(3):1102113.[35].[D].:,2003.[36].[J].,2006,32(1):35246.[37].[J].,2008(7):1682169.[38],.[J].,2004,11(4):1362138.[39],.[J].(),2006(9):1462147.[40],.[J].,2004,5:40241.TheanalysisandpredictionofChinesegolfcoursedevelopmentmodelZUOKun,XUGang,LIZhou,LIUZhao2hui(PastoralAgricultureScienceandTechnologyCollege,LanzhouUniversity,Lanzhou730020,China)Abstract:GolfhasbeenintroducedtoChinaforover20years.Withthedoublestimulationoffastde2velopmentofeconomyandtheincreasingofgolfamateur,thegolfcoursesbuiltincreasinglydaybydayinChina.Theprimaryindustrialscalewasformed.AlongwiththeincreaseofgolfcoursesinChi2na,thepublicopinionwhichtothedevelopmentofgolfinChinawasalsogettingmoreandmore,andmanyviewswereimpractical.Basedonallsortsofreasons,governmentpolicytothegolfalsochangedfromsupportatthebeginningtothesubsequentcontrolpresently.ThedevelopmentofChi2nesegolfclubwasfacingmanyquestions.Thepaperanalyzedthatthedevelopmentofdomesticgolfcoursenowadayspursuedthemodelssuchashighspecification,highscaleandbigarea,andcontras2tedtheChinesegolfcoursestructurewiththegolfdevelopmentmaturecountry(theUS).ItproposedthatthecivilianpopulationplayedmoreimportantroleinthehealthydevelopmentofgolfinChina.MoreoveritpredictedthatChinagolfcoursewouldbedevelopedwithstructuremorerationally,andinfavorofthepopulargolfcourseandpracticecourseinfuture.Keywords:golfcourse;golfcoursequantity;developmentalpattern;China622PRATACULTURALSCIENCE(Vol.26.No.9)9/2009