新兴市场经济体的发展与世界经济复苏-世界经济中的新兴市场经济-学术研讨会综述

201012*世界经济中的新兴市场经济学术研讨会综述庄起善田素华王健整理自工业化萌发以来,英美德日等发达国家曾经独领风骚,而今群起的新兴经济体已崭露头角在2008年全球金融危机爆发以后,新兴经济体已成为牵引世界经济复苏的重要力量,世界经济格局也因此正在发生重大变化,西方发达国家正不得不重视新兴经济体的发展与壮大,新兴经济体发展过程中的问题越来越引起学术界的关注本文记录了2010年8月在复旦大学经济学院召开的世界经济中的新兴市场经济学术研讨会上国内专家学者在这个问题上的主要观点新兴市场经济发展世界经济复苏复旦大学经济学院世界经济系:F063.1:A:10076964[2010]121010190751*823,20108,,,,,,2090,(emergingmarketeconomies,EMEs),,,,;,,,,80%20%,,,(emergingmarket),,emergingmarket,,,,,,,,,,,,79201012,,,,,,,,,,;,,2008,,,,,,,,,,,20102.7%,,20093.4%,20101.3%;,20105.1%,,,,,,,,,,,FDI,,,,,,;,;,;,;,,,;,;,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,80201012,,,,,,,1989,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,2090,,,,,,,,,,(LH),,FDI,,,;,FDI,,,,,,,,,,,2008,2080,,,,,2008,,,,,81201012,,,,,,,,,,,GATTWTO2060,,,,,,,1.,1996,,,,,,,,,2090,,;;,,8,,,,;,,,1999~2008,7%,2009,2008,20097.9%,,:,2008,,,,;,,,2.,,,,,,,,,,2008,82201012,;,;,2008,,,,3.,1997,20081997,2000,,,,,,2008,2009,V,,,,,,,,V,,4.,,,,,,,:,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,1985,,,,,,,;,,;,,,,(责任编辑:王丽娟)83,WorldEconomyStudyNo.12,2010(SerialNo.202)201012TheRegionalCompetitivenessofProducerServiceOutsourcingUndertakingbyChina:AStudybasedontheDynamicApproachofSHIFTSHAREinEastAsiaWangRongyan(60)WithintheproductionnetworkofEastAsianfeaturedbyrapiddevelopmentofcomponentsandpartstrade,theproducerservicesinthisregionhavebeenalsotakingonanunnegligibleincrease.ThetradeofproducerservicesinChina,whichdemonstratedbyundertakinglotsofservicesoutsourcingfromothercountries,startsgrowingtremendouslybecauseofitsimportantlinkingstatusinEastAsiannetworkwhichleadstothedevelopmentofcomponentsandpartsindustriesinChina.ThispaperintendedtostudythestructuralfactorsofthefastgrowingoutsourcingofproducerservicesfromChinafromtheaspectsofindustrymixeffect,competitioneffectandinteractioneffectbyusingdynamicShiftSharemethodbasedontheregionalreferencegroup.TheresultshowedthatcomparedwiththeEastAsianeconomies,thegrowthofproducerserviceoutsourcingfromdevelopingcountriestoChinaisfasterandfaster,buttherapidgrowthandrelativelylowerlevelofindustrialstucturearestillthemainproblemes.TheEmpiricalResearchontheEffectofForeignTradeonMarketPerformanceofChinasManufacturingIndustriesSunHuihuangDuYunsu(66)Thispaperanalyzesempiricallytheeffectsofinternationaltradeonindustryperformance,usingthepaneldataofChinasmanufacturingindustries.Itchoosespricecostmargintomeasuretheperformance,andtheresearchoutcomeindicatesthatimportcompetitionhaspositiveandsignificanteffectonpricecostmarginsinhighlycompetitivesectors,whileithasinsignificantnegativeeffectinlowercompetitivesectors,besides,thecompetitiondegreemuchweaker,thenegativeeffectofimporttradeismuchstronger,andtheexporttradehasnegativeandsignificanteffectonpricecostmarginsofChinasmanufacturingindustries.StrategySelectionModelofBilateralFTANegotiationandEmpiricalAnalysisTanQian(72)WiththeguideofFTAstrategy,ChinahasalreadygainedgreatachievementsinFTAconstruction.DuringtheprocessofFTAconstruction,thekeytaskistomakeadecisiontobenefitChinassustainabledevelopment.Tocopewiththistask,thispapersynthesizesStrategySelectionModelofBilateralFTANegotiationbyestablishmentofcomputabletwolevelgamemode,lcomputablereverseselectionmodelandapplicationofGTAPmode.lThroughtheempiricalanalysisoftradeingoodsof12industriesinChinaKoreaFTA,thispaperprovestheeffectivenessoftheStrategySelectionModelofBilateralFTANegotiation,whichmeans,byforwardandreverseselections,thissynthesizedmodelcanchoosetheoptimalnegotiationstrategiesfordifferentindustriesinFTAnegotiation.TheDevelopmentofEmergingMarketEconomiesandtheRecoveryofWorldEconomy:SymposiumofEmergingMarketEconomiesinWorldEconomyZhuangQishan,TianSuhuaWangJian(79)Sincethebeginningoftheindustrialization,suchdevelopedcountriesasBritain,theUnitedStates,GermanyandJapanweredominatingatonetimeintheworldeconomy,whilenowthenewlyemergingeconomieshavestartedtoplayanincreasinglysignificantrole.Aftertheoutbreakoftheglobalfinancialcrisisin2008,thenewlyemergingeconomieshaveinitiatedtherecoveryofworldeconomy.Meanwhile,thestructureoftheworldeconomyisundergoinggreatchangesandtherefore,thewesterncountrieshavenochoicebuttoattachimportancetothedevelopmentandthegrowthofemergingeconomies,andpaymoreattentiontothebalancebetweentheEasternandWesterneconomies.Moreandmoreattentionfromtheacademiahasbeenpaidtotheissuesaboutthedevelopmentofthenewlyemergingeconomies.Themainargumentsofthedomesticexpertsandscholarsonthisissuepresentedonthesymposiumofemergingmarketeconomiesinworldeconomy,whichwasorganizedbySchoolofEconomics,FudanUniversity,aresummarizedinthisarticle.86