多目标的用户侧分时电价定价方法研究

上海交通大学硕士学位论文多目标的用户侧分时电价定价方法研究姓名：潘益华申请学位级别：硕士专业：电力系统及其自动化指导教师：程浩忠20050201IIIIVABSTRACTWiththeworldwidedevelopmentofpowermarket,it’simportanttodeterminereasonablesellingprice.Meanwhilemanypeoplerealizedthatwemustthinkofthebenefitsofnotonlythesupplyside,butalsothedemandside.AsoneofDSMmethods,time-of-useTOUrateisappliedinmanycountries.Itmotivatesconsumersadjustingtheirmodeofpowerusingandaccomplishesthegoalofloadshifting.MoreoveritinfluencestheeffectsofsomeotherDSMmethods.HowtodetermineTOUrateisintroducedinthispaper.Itbuildsupamodelbasedonconsumers’responsesallowingforshiftingloadsandconsumers’expenses.AndbecausedifferentkindsofconsumersrespondtoTOUratewithverydifferentdegrees,themodelinthispaperisbasedonmeandailyloadcurveofdifferentkindsofconsumersallowingforconsumers’responses.Atfirstatrade’spriceelasticityofeveryclockiscalculatedbyanalyzingdifferentperiods’dailyloadcurves.Thenconsumers’dailyloadcurvesandexpensesaregotifnotionalTOUpriceisbroughtintoeffect.AtlastbestTOUpriceisgotbyoptimizingobjects.Becausethemodelallowsforconsumers’responsesandshiftingloads,thegainedTOUpriceisbothlegitimateandpractical.Atlastnumericalsimulationismadeandthepracticabilityisproved.VKEYWORDS:Time-of-userate,demandsidemanagement,priceelasticity,loadcharacteristicmultipleobjectivesoptimization111.11.1.11.1.221.1.331.1.441.280Schweppe[13][15]51.31.3.1801980400kWENEL1~31012491999101315kVA()3150%38h:7:0011:007:0021:00:11:0017:0021:0023:00:23:007:0061.3.2[37]12347[41]8760h2Pe3TUcTUe[30]8[8][6]1.4922.1DSMDSMDSM1995~20037.17%12.40%2002951120102.200ppqqΔΔ=e⎪⎪⎩⎪⎪⎨⎧≤Δ⋅=Δ≤Δ⋅=Δ----0;0;0000babbbaaaaaaaaaaappqqppqqeeee1110001100120013001400150016000306090120150180-0.1-0.0500.050.103060901201501802.324fTpTgT,24=++gpfTTT2-3fTpTgTfT08:00--11:0018:00--21:006pT06:00--08:0011:00--18:0021:00--22:0010gT22:00--6:00812)(1tL)(2tL1E2E)(1tLab1213)()(EEtLtL⋅=2-4)(2tL)()()(2tLpptLtfff⋅ΔΔ=e2-5)()()(2tLpptLtggg⋅ΔΔ=e2-6)()()(32tLtLtL-=Δ)(0tLfp0pp0gp0gggfgffffffppptLtppptLttL-⋅⋅+-⋅⋅=Δ02020)()()()()(ee2-7gggpgfffpfpppptLtppptLttL-⋅⋅+-⋅⋅=Δ02020)()()()()(ee2-813gggggfffgfgppptLtppptLttL-⋅⋅+-⋅⋅=Δ02020)()()()()(ee2-9)()()(020tLtLtLfffΔ=2-10)()()(020tLtLtLpppΔ=2-11)()()(020tLtLtLgggΔ=2-122.41993(1)100kW100kW100kW100kW100kW8:00~11:0018:00~21:006:00~8:0011:00~18:0021:00~22:0022:00~6:006:00~22:0022:00~6:00(2)100kW199911203:13.5:14:1100kW200272.3:120037~9±0.05/kWh2.8:1142001200220033:13.5:14:10.00.20.40.60.81.0024681012141618202224hFig.2-4typicaldailyloadcurveofasteelfactory1524h2-520%80%0.00.20.40.60.81.0024681012141618202224hFig.2-5typicaldailyloadcurveofaspinfactory75%24h65%2-6U160.00.20.40.60.81.0024681012141618202224htypicaldailyloadcurveofacementfactoryunderTOUrate2-70.00.20.40.60.81.0024681012141618202224htypicaldailyloadcurveofacarmakercorporation2-810:00~22:008:00~22:009:00~22:009:00~17:00/50%170.00.20.40.60.81.0024681012141618202224htypicaldailyloadcurveofahotel1833.13.2fp0pp0gp0Δ⋅+=xpfpp00Δ-=pgpp00Δx)(0tL)(2tL)(0tL3.3)(2tLt=0122319gggfgffffffppptLtppptLttL-⋅⋅+-⋅⋅=Δ02020)()()()()(ee3-3gggpgfffpfpppptLtppptLttL-⋅⋅+-⋅⋅=Δ02020)()()()()(ee3-4gggggfffgfgppptLtppptLttL-⋅⋅+-⋅⋅=Δ02020)()()()()(ee3-5)()()(020tLtLtLfffΔ=3-6)()()(020tLtLtLpppΔ=3-7)()()(020tLtLtLgggΔ=3-8∑==fTtfftLE)(003-9∑==pTtpptLE)(003-10∑==gTtggtLE)(003-113.43.4.1)(2tL20∑==fTtfftLE)(223-12∑==pTtpptLE)(223-13∑==gTtggtLE)(223-142MggppffEpEpEpM2222⋅+⋅+⋅=3-15fE0pE0gE0ggppffEpEpEpM0000000⋅+⋅+⋅=3-16tMtMMM-≥203-177/tM))((max70tLMfTttfΔ⋅==3-18))((max0tLfTtfΔ=02MM≥3-19202MMMMt≤≤-3-2021egpp≥03-21ep)(max)(max00tLtLpTtfTtpf==≥3-22⎪⎪⎩⎪⎪⎨⎧≥≥≤≤-==)(max)(max000202tLtLppMMMMpTtfTtegtpp3-233.4.2DSM)(0tL1))(maxmin(0241tLt≤≤3-242))(minmax(0241tLt≤≤3-253))(min)(maxmin(02410241tLtLtt≤≤≤≤-3-26422)min(000000ggppffpEpEpE⋅+⋅+⋅3-2713.50.0013)4)0.0015)236)7)58)242544.1020000400006000080000100000024681012141618202224hkW26020000400006000080000100000024681012141618202224hkW27020000400006000080000100000024681012141618202224hkW020000400006000080000100000024681012141618202224hkW)(max2tL=)(max2tL=56650.21kW28)(max2tL=)(max2tL=25152.97kW020000400006000080000100000120000024681012141618202224hkW29020000400006000080000100000024681012141618202224hkW2M2M304.24.2.11))(maxmin(0241tLt≤≤4-131x=1.670Δ=0.394/kWhfp0=1.220/kWhgp0=0.168/kWhk=7.262)(max0tLf=85935.15kW)(min0tL=72187.61kW0M=115.76200321123.67kW15537.4kW83.076.11559.11602=-=-MM97310.566:0084499.6612:0081346.0377662.53103801.297:0085932.5213:0077963.4773340.70100934.678:0072187.6114:0080500.9882839.0286942.499:0084326.3515:0077514.6183737.8679629.7810:0085935.1516:0078044.8788569.9885026.0911:0079330.0317:0077105.4193128.264-732020000400006000080000100000120000024681012141618202224hkWx=1.115Δ=0.442/kWhfp0=1.055/kWhgp0=0.120/kWhk=8.792)(max0tLf=64613.19kW)(min0tL=32191.07kW0M=71.93200316552.9kW7038.1kW01.093.7194.7102=-=-MM40949.046:0036514.7612:0061000.8559470.9135433.567:0039728.5413:0053446.6058519.723334059.418:0058191.8314:0049968.9359380.8033775.179:0064613.1915:0054222.3959207.0032191.0710:0061254.1516:0061693.7451913.3434075.1511:0057967.8017:0062001.5845431.824-8020000400006000080000100