中国城市轨道交通未来十年发展趋势及政策导向

(,100038,,,),,,F503DevelopmentTrendandPolicyOrientationfortheNextDecadeofChinasUrbanRailDongYan,ShanLianlongAbstractWithanoverallanalysisofthedevelopmentchar2acters,theexistingproblemsandthedefectivenessinpoli2cies,thispaperdiscussestherationaldevelopmenttrendandtherelatedpolicy2makingsforurbanrailtransitinChinesecities,fromtheanglesofsynthesis,publictransportpriority,home2manufacture,standardization,marketingandintegra2tion.Keywordsurbanrailtransit,predictforthedevelopment,developmentpolicyFirst2authorsaddressInstituteofComprehensiveTrans2portationofNationalDevelopmentandReformCommissionofP.R.China,100038,Beijing,China120,,,,,,,,:20,3500km,1000km,,,:(1),(2),,(3),,,(4),,:(1),,(2),(3),,(4)62004221,,,,,,,1000km,20102020,10002000km,,:(1),,,,,,,(2),,,,(3),,,3,,,,32080,20,,,,,,,20,20,,:1985,,,,,,,,2090,1,,3.5,5199519961999,20039,:l00,1000,300,3;60,600,150,1,,,,,,,,,:(1),,,73,,,,,,,,,(2),,,,,;,,,19801990,,,,,,,,(3),,,,,,,,(4),,,,70%,,,,,,,,4,,,,,4.1,,():(1),,,,,,,(2),,,,,,,(),,,(),(3),,,82004,,,,,4.2,,,,(1),,,,(2),;,,,4.3,,,(1),,,,,(90%),,(2),,,4.4(1),,,(2),(3),,,,(4),4.5(1),,,(2);;,-;,,4.6,,,;,,,4.7,,,(),,93