波士顿为某电信企业制作：战略咨询报告完整版REPORT2

1、-1-ChinaNetcom-TheBostonConsultingGroup--Confidential--DestroybyShredding--45034-05-Interim-14Dec99-TZD-gx-SHICONTENTKeystrategicprinciplesRegulatoryoverviewMarketoverviewCompetitionoverviewBusinessmodelsNextsteps-2-ChinaNetcom-TheBostonConsultingGroup--Confidential--DestroybyShredding--45034-05-Interim-14Dec99-TZD-gx-SHIAGENDABusinessModels•Domesticandinternationallong-distancevoice•Wholesale/carrier•Enterprisesolutions•Issuesgoingforward-3-ChinaNetcom-TheBostonConsultingGroup--Confidential--D。

2、estroybyShredding--45034-05-Interim-14Dec99-TZD-gx-SHIEconomicmodelingChoiceofbusinessmodelstopursueandtimingRoadmapforpursuingbusinessmodelsandexpectedfinancialperformanceIntegratedapproachtoCNCbusinessplanMajorissuesExpectedoutputHowdothemarketsizingandshareassumptionstranslateintooveralltoplinerevenueforCNC?Whatcapitalinvestmentswillbenecessarytobuildoutmetroandlonghaulfibernetworks?PredictedcashflowprofilebybusinessmodelandselectedscenariosAssessmentofmarketopportunitiesHowwillChinadatacomma。

3、rketdevelop?Howlargeistheoverallopportunityforanewentrant?OverallmarketsizingandrevenueforecastbyproductareaRegulatoryandcompetitiveanalysisWhattypeofregulatoryenvironmentwillevolveinChina?Willequalaccessforvoiceanddatabegrantedandwhen?WhateffectwillWTOhave?RegulatorymappingandCNCsharepredictionsacrossscenariosStrategicimplicationsandcapabilitiesassessmentMETHODOLOGYBEINGUSEDTODEVELOPBUSINESSMODELSANDOVERALLSTRATEGY-Currentareasoffocus-4-ChinaNetcom-TheBostonConsultingGroup--Confidential--Destro。

4、ybyShredding--45034-05-Interim-14Dec99-TZD-gx-SHICNCATACRITICALSTRATEGICCROSSROADSPreliminaryConclusionsRecommendations/DecisionstobeMadeOffnetVOIPpredictedtogeneratetoprovidebreakeveneconomicsforbuildingbackbone1Wholesalerevenueprovidessignificantupsidepotential•MajorityofwholesalerevenuereliesonaccesstomobilecarriersEnterprisesolutionseconomicsveryattractive,butsubstantialcomplexityandresourcesinvolvedHigh-bandwidthinternationalgatewaycriticaltosuccessinbothwholesaleandenterpriseEconomicpredic。

5、tionshighlysensitivetoasetofkeyassumptionsAcceleratevendorselectionandbackboneconstruction;timetomarketcriticalCommitmenttoutilizingIP/DWDMinvlolvesrisktomobilecarrierbusiness•RFPtovendorsshouldbebasedonproductrequirementsvs.technologyStagingofinvestmentsandservicelaunchmustconsidertradeoffbetweenqualityofserviceandcoveragePreliminarytalkswithinternationalcarriersshouldbeginASAPScenariomodelingwillhelpusdecidewheretofocusOverarchingquestion:CanCNCsuccessfullypursueallopportunitiesoutlinedinthesh。

6、ort/mediumterm?(1)Assumingsettlementfeesof10%ofrevenue-5-ChinaNetcom-TheBostonConsultingGroup--Confidential--DestroybyShredding--45034-05-Interim-14Dec99-TZD-gx-SHIOverallapproachWhereHowBUSINESSMODELSSUMMARY:THREECOREELEMENTSEnterpriseSolutionsCapturedatacomgrowthinkeybusinesscenterswithleading-edgeproductsandsuperiorcustomerserviceTopbusinessdistrictsinmajorurbanareas;onlythemostdenseareasinshorttermFocusedDeployment•LeverageexistingconduitstolayinmajorurbanareasSuperiorserviceandbandwidth•Tar。

7、getCT’sweaknessinserviceandbandwidthUtilizeLMDSinintermediatecitiesandareaswheretimetomarketiscriticalWholesale/CarrierTargetmobilecarriersandISPswithbackbonetransport;considersupplyingfixed-lineincumbentsCoverPOPsinallmajorcallingzones;developlocalleasedlinesnetworkinkeylocationsAggressivedeploymentofbackboneinfrastructuretoprovideunparalleledbandwidthEstablishhighbandwidthinternationalgatewaytodifferentiateinternetaccessSuperiorservicewithclearpositioning•“TheclearalternativetoCT”ISPLongdistan。

8、cevoiceCaptureearlyrevenuefromtofunddevelopmentofsubsequentbusinessmodelsTop60POPsbyendofyear2000utilizingmixofleasedlinesfromCTandCNCnetworkPositionoffnetvoiceasfirstproductfrom“China’sfirstdatacomcarrier”DonotoverextendresourcesinVOIPasitdoesnotfitCNC’slongtermstrategyCreate“dial-around”solutionsforbusinessandinterconnectterms-17930--6-ChinaNetcom-TheBostonConsultingGroup--Confidential--DestroybyShredding--45034-05-Interim-14Dec99-TZD-gx-SHIEnterprisesolutionsPOTENTIALBUSINESSMODELSCOVERWIDERA。

9、NGEOFPRODUCT/MARKETALTERNATIVESOpportunityforgrowthCurrentmarketsizeWholesale/carrierConsumerISP?DomesticandInternationalLongDistanceVoiceResidentialMed/largeenterprisecustomersCarriersPotentialtrafficperconsumerProductsEmergingdatacomDataVoiceEmergingdataniche-7-ChinaNetcom-TheBostonConsultingGroup--Confidential--DestroybyShredding--45034-05-Interim-14Dec99-TZD-gx-SHIAGENDABusinessModels•Domesticandinternationallong-distancevoice•Wholesale/carrier•Enterprisesolutions•Issuesgoingforward-8-ChinaN。

10、etcom-TheBostonConsultingGroup--Confidential--DestroybyShredding--45034-05-Interim-14Dec99-TZD-gx-SHIAPPROACHTODOMESTICANDINTERNATIONALVOICEBUSINESSMODELObjectivesHypothesizedApproachCaptureearlyrevenuefromlaunchofprepaidIPcallingcards•“Cashcow”forfundingotherbusinessmodeldevelopmentPursueprefixandequalaccesslongdistanceforbusinesscustomersassoonaspossibletobeginestablishingrelationshipsManagepricingandproductlifecycleeffectivelytomaximizetotalmarginandavoidinvestingindecliningproductsDonotoverex。