电子收费系统(ETC)社会效益分析

200477:100026788(2004)0720121207(ETC),,,(,130025):(ETC)L,(CBA)L,(AHP)ö(DEA)L,CBAAHPDEAETCL:;;;;;:U491.123:ASocio2EconomicAnalysesforElectronicTollCollectionProjectsJIAHong2fei,JUANZhi2cai,YAOHong2wei,ZHUTai2ying(JilinUniversity,Changchun130025,China)Abstract:Basedonthesimulationdata,themonetarybenefitsofimplementingElectronicTollCollectionProjectsunderdifferenttrafficvolumeconditionsareestimatedusingCBA(cost2benefitanalysis)method.Foranotherindexeswhichcanbequantitatedbutcan’tbemeasuredbymonetaryunits,amulti2criteriaanalysisisimplementedbyAHPöDEA(analytichierarohyprocess).TheresultsofassessmentindicatedthatthemethodofcombiningCBA(electronictollcollection)withAHPöDEAcanevaluatethesocio2economicimpactofETCcomprehensively.Keywords:ETC;computersimulation;CBA;AHP;DEA;socio2economicimpact:2003208213:(50178033):(1969-),,,,,LEmail:[e-mail]1(ElectronicTollCollection,ETC),,L(,),,,,LETC,,,LETC,,,L,,,,ETCL(-),,ETCL2ETC©1995-2005TsinghuaTongfangOpticalDiscCo.,Ltd.Allrightsreserved.ETCL:L:L(CBA),ETC(cost)(benefit)L,(),,L,ETC,-(AHP)(DEA),AHPDEA,CBA,ETCL1ETCL1ETC32ETC,,800vehöh1000vehöh1200vehöh1400vehöh1600vehöh1800vehöhETC20%40%60%,ETCL1,20s,ETC30-40kmöh,3sL2L(2),67,(COHCNOX)(2)L135.2%1.6%5.2%8.4%24.8%15.6%9.2%(kmöh)12010010010090757544.1,()L:BHS=67j=4QhjõWjõPhjõTS3600õi(1):BHS(ö);Qhjj(ö);Wjj22120047©1995-2005TsinghuaTongfangOpticalDiscCo.,Ltd.Allrightsreserved.(ö),3(());Phjj(ö)(8,340ö280ö220ö180ö);TSETC();i(10%)LWj(,),3L4L2(vehöh)ETC(%)(s)(vehöh)(kmöh)(Lökm)(kgöveh)8000%139.453735.40.15430.06226520%130.867133.290.13120.06150040%122.370530.580.13050.06089560%11971328.490.12890.05990010000%142.765536.20.17280.06320020%135.481234.050.14300.06150040%123.784730.970.14020.06024060%120.990229.130.13140.05990012000%148.576536.890.17870.06156520%140.497134.950.15420.06083540%124.7106031.420.14790.06010560%121.3116929.940.14010.05990014000%156.282538.020.18230.06171020%149.2104035.140.15920.06083540%126.6115331.870.15030.06010560%122.4126231.060.14860.05937516000%165.392238.970.19380.06157040%129.3134132.140.16140.06108960%123.5145431.870.15320.06004360%3122.2150630.540.15030.05912518000%193.7107240.210.20210.06156540%134.7153833.690.16730.06104260%127.4164832.310.16070.06010560%3125.9170331.460.15910.059375:1;3ETCL31234567wj[()ö]2.6910.2721.381.394.209.1021.274.2:3217(ETC)©1995-2005TsinghuaTongfangOpticalDiscCo.,Ltd.Allrightsreserved.BKS=63j=1QkjõWjõIcõTS3600õ0.5(2):BKS(ö);Qkjj(ö);Ic(ö(3658));0.550%;,4.4.3:BRY=QõFõPryõ1.25(3):BRY(ö);Q(ö);FETC(ö);Pry(ö),2.99ö;1.251.25.4.4:20%40%60%60%3800vehöh193.79305.91354.211000vehöh251.33452.49537.091200vehöh288.54533.30733.901400vehöh303.02868.94974.401600vehöh1800vehöh1161.011369.441423.781992.872257.972314.41:3ETC35(CBA)ETC,,:LETC10,0,10%LETC:PVB=(BHS+BKS+BRY)63651.110-10.11.110ö10000,(4):PVB10,10%.ETCLETC300,ETC50,5[3].5ETCETCETC()3003013.51.35545.490.94.50.450.0270.003ETC()50513.51.3590.990.94.50.45ETC:PVC=(300+13.5+54+9+4.5+0.027DemandPOCö0.7)+(30+1.35+5.4+0.9+0.45+0.003DemandPOCö0.7)1.110-10.11.110.(5)42120047©1995-2005TsinghuaTongfangOpticalDiscCo.,Ltd.Allrightsreserved.ETC:PVC=(350+27+63+18+9+0.027DemandPOCö0.7)+(35+2.7+6.3+1.8+0.9+0.003DemandPOCö0.7)1.110-10.11.110.(6):PVC10;Demand;POCETCLNPVBCR:NPV=PVB-PVC,(7)BCR=PVBPVC,(8)6L6:800vehöh1000vehöh1200vehöh1400vehöh1600vehöh1800vehöh20%PVB424.40550.41631.91663.61PVC677.42692.99708.57724.15NPV-253.02-142.59-76.66-60.54BCR0.62640.79420.89180.916440%PVB669.95990.951167.931902.972542.614364.39PVC739.72770.88802.04833.19864.36895.50NPV-69.77220.07365.891069.781678.263468.89BCR0.90571.28551.45622.28402.94174.873760%PVB775.721176.231607.242133.932999.084944.95PVC802.04848.77895.50942.23988.961035.69NPV-26.31327.47711.711191.702010.123909.26BCR0.96721.38581.79482.26483.03264.774560%3PVBPVCNPVBCR3118.095068.561155.461202.191962.633866.372.69864.21616AHPöDEACBAETC,:1),,,,;2),,,;3),,,L,L(DEA)(DMU),DMULDMUDMU,,,LDMUj0hj0(0Fhj0F1)(DEA):5217(ETC)©1995-2005TsinghuaTongfangOpticalDiscCo.,Ltd.Allrightsreserved.Maximizehj0=6tr=1uryrj0,subjectto6mi=1vixij0=1,6tr=1uryrj-6mi=1vixijF0,j=1,2,,n,ur,viE0,r=1,2,,t;i=1,2,,m.(9),yrj=DMUjr;xij=DMUji;ur=r;vi=i;n=DMUs;t=;m=L,L,,ETC,,AHP,:W={v1,v2)û0.337Fv2öv1F0.786,viE0i=1,2};Z={u1,u2,u3,u4,u5)û0.689Fu2öu1F0.856,1.207Fu3öu1F1.468,0.508Fu4öu1F0.612,0.214Fu5öu1F0.0.638,urE0(r=1,2,,5)}.DEA,ETCAHPöDEA:Maximizehj0=6tr=1uryrj0,subjectto6mi=1vixij0=1,(10)6tr=1uryrj-6mi=1vixijF0,j=1,2,,n,urZ,viW,r=1,2,,t;i=1,2,,m,DMUj0,h3j0,v3i,u3rLDEA,DMU,X1()X2();Y1(Y1=TSö1000)Y2Y3(Y3ETC)Y4(Y4=)(Y5=)L7DMUX1X2Y1Y2Y3Y4Y5DEABCRAHPöDEA80020%DMU1100.1113.726.881342.1118.480.6121.0000.1290.3171840%DMU2100.1127.4413.681684.8219.041.0961.0000.1860.3751560%DMU3100.1141.1616.321766.9120.321.8921.0000.1980.37117100020%DMU4100.1117.157.301572.1529.801.7001.0000.1630.3721640%DMU5100.1134.3019.001925.2332.602.9601.0000.2640.4321460%DMU6100.1151.4421.802477.0741.403.3001.0000.2840.4971162120047©1995-2005TsinghuaTongfangOpticalDiscCo.,Ltd.Allrightsreserved.7DMUX1X2Y1Y2Y3Y4Y5DEABCRAHPöDEA120020%DMU7100.1120.589.722061.9429.400.8761.0000.1830