武汉保税物流中心对区域经济的影响研究

华中科技大学硕士学位论文武汉保税物流中心对区域经济的影响研究姓名：王姌申请学位级别：硕士专业：国际贸易学指导教师：韩民春20080524III2005107B;;;IVAbstractHubeiProvinceandWuhanCitydecidedtobuildWuhanBondedLogisticsCenter(B-)intheEastandWestLakesregionin2005.CenterisapprovedbytheGeneralAdministrationofCustoms,whichmakesbondedwarehouse,exportwarehouse,andotherregulatoryfunctionsinonenewmodeofcustomssupervision.Itisthepolicytilttoencourageopeningupagainafterestablishingeconomicdevelopmentzoneinthemainland,openingcitiesalongtheYangtzeRiverandestablishingexportprocessingzones.Wuhanbondedlogisticscenterasfunctionalfacilitiestospeedupprocessingandmanufacturing,importandexporttradeandmodernlogisticsindustrywilldevelopinternationaltrade,bondedwarehouseandexportprocessingcomprehensively.ThisdissertationstartsfromthetheoryoffreetradezoneandthebondedareatoprovidetheoreticalbasisforthedemonstrationofWuhanbondedlogisticscenter.ThenmakingacomparativestudyofdifferentareasCustomscontrolledandsettingtheSuzhouIndustrialParkasasuccessfulexampletobeusedforreference.Aftertheanalysisoftheeconomicdevelopmentandoutwardconditionsofthebondedlogisticscenter,thearticleusesthebasicmacroeconomiceffectsmodeltoforecasttheeconomicbenefitsbroughtbyWuhanbondedlogisticscenter,concluded:bondedlogisticscenterinWuhancanserveasagrowthpoleinregionaleconomyandpromotethesurroundingeconomicdevelopment.Atlast,accordingtotheanalysisandcomparisonbefore,bondedlogisticscenterinWuhanfacesalotofchallengesandfindstheexistingproblemsinregionaleconomicdevelopment.InlightoftheseproblemsthedissertationmakessomepracticalrecommendationsandgivesthedirectionofdevelopmentofWuhanbondedlogisticscenter.Keywords:Regionaleconomics;Growthpole;BondedArea;BondedLogisticsCenterII111.12090%2005107B15B21.21.2.1:3:1)2)3)(GATT)(WTO)50(backwasheffect)31.2.28090WTO1984301995(2006):(2005),,,4(2000)(2004)WTO,(2004)(2003)1.31.3.151.3.2(1)(2)(3)1.4622.12.1.1(1)(TFZ-FreeTradeZone):::;:(2)73:(GATT)(WTO)50(backwasheffect):82.12.1,200692.1.2(1):2080%101957;;(2)2.115102322112.12.22.2.1BondedWarehouse(BondedFactory)FreeZone(FreePort)2.2.2(1)A.SmithD.RicardoG..K.1973PeterG.Warr19891975TakayoshiKusago1998122060~701981(2)1960FagreWells1982JohnR.MclntyreRajneeshNarulaLenJ.Trevino199613(3)2050FraocoisPerrouxL.RodwinJ.B.Boundeville()14;1533.13.13.13.1.1(1)20068312005646.4%19.6%5.3%28.7%16(2)“”820063296.38200627.771.7717.039.3585%2211.17280%(3)152006151427.9422.7%666.0202.06195.0816.8%33.1%15.8%74.5%200615(4)2000470%171715%4200636257.3051.3%3.13.12006(%)%257.351.3100150.8934.719.81248.6540.618.91331.783509.8712.42421.2038.88.21515.6226.16.11612.22-42.664.81711.37165.84.4389.68165.83.8198.17-28.43.21107.0319.72.72(5)AB(A).(B).18(6)/3.220082()1B20045200482004100.322B20058200782007110.063B2005820065200650.764B2005820063200640.232520031220044200471.03620048200411200541.572004820051200531.5382004820053200550.692004820057200610.951020048200512200630.71120048200582006211220048200510200630.96132007121.214200562005112005128.14152006820071220071210162006820076200786.88172007109.206318200827.7193.1.290%3.287%2%31%31%25%6%5%2%203.23.2.190%3.23.2A,B515841468483530100200300400500600700800AB213.2.23.3ABA3.3223.33.3.1B4.25.28A1.423B0.5B1.51.88200511,B1217243.3.2(1)(2)“”93164200710381520075225100%50%3.3.3(1)26(2)273.3.4(1)1881239938011280106300050%3.325%24%22%13%6%5%5%3.3(2)2006GDP2.87%5%IDC282406059%TFT-LCD3%IT16%IC(3)2007450002007GDP200423.3%1.5%200727%35327UPS207082200774“2944.14.1.112003000—500085010750%304.1.2495372112(),2()5070;80901992(1)4.1200120022003200420052006200719.417.415.716.311.710.69.552.353.254.752.252.354.057.428.329.429.631.536.035.433.10%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%20012002200320042005200620074.12001-20074.14.1200120072005(2)31200740%76.7%100(3)323.572005200620074.1.320031200316.0%200418.9%200522.3%200624.1%200723.2%200720064.20.160.1890.2230.2410.2320%5%10%15%20%25%30%200320042005200620074.21/4(GDP)3320032003200410200520200767.1%0.119.8637.7848.7%1671520074.52199420017200216.8%20200326.56%25200427.4%30200531.5%402006501991200111102020032005320401.93,,672007,1002007112820126030020073414.24.2.1354.34.2.2GDP36(1)2007=/=1.527.521/103.45=0.11(4.1)=/GDP=99.627.52/3141.50=0.23(4.2)=/=68/103.45=0.66(4.3)=/=59.4/103.45=0.57(4.4)2007200612007=17.521537(2)2002-200638756%7592006GDP20054%2002107.8%2006120%,50030,857447(3)4.2.3(1)381fyXK=∆∆⋅(4.5)(2)2yIK=∆∆⋅(4.6)(3)112Yyy=+∆∆∆(4.7)(4)()2[]fYIXMK=∆∆+∆−∆⋅(4.8)1y=∆2y=∆1Y=∆2Y=∆X∆=M∆=I∆=K=fK=1/1-11-1-tMPC-MPMfK=(4.9)39t=MPC=MPM=KfK11.60766511-0.0920190.522878-0.161659fK==−1(4.102.0959K=2(4.11)2005~2007B2004101...2003:196~2112404.22005~2007%200561.913.13.5200630.117.3-7.4200713.813.5——35.314.616.6∆M∆I∆0000.540.060.250.730.070.290.990.070.344.51y∆0.871.171.652y∆0.520.610.711Y∆12yy∆+∆1.391.782.3611/yY∆∆%6366702Y∆1.171.532.0363%66%70%4.2.442()(1)l3252(10000l0%3.03/12)6%10%l5.15(100006%×l0%3.03/12)5%50(100005%×10%)3317227.25(1000090%l0%3.03/12)1550329231750%+29250%=304.5(2)434455.15.1.1(1)