奥巴马政府亚太安全战略探析

○[]，，，，。，“”。，，。。[][]，，、。[]D815[]A[]1006-6241(2010)02-0027-05。。、。。、。·“。2015‘’1990。”[1]。。。“。。”[1]“。3200,。……。”[1]·JamesJ.Przystup。[2][1]HillaryRodhamClintonspeechinHawai,“ArchitectureinAsia-Pacific:PrinciplesandPriorities”,Thursday,14January,2010.[2]JamesJ.Przystup,“Asia-PacificRegion:NationalInterestsandStrategicImperatives”,paperfromInstituteforNationalStrategicStudies,NationalDefenseUniversity,April,2009.20102114No.2,April2010Seq.No.114PeaceandDevelopment27——。《》1041。30％12/3。2。3、。4。[1]。。“”“”“”“”。·PeterBrookes“。。。”[2]、。。。、、、。“”。[3]、。。·“visitingpower(residentpower)”[3]。2010121·KurtM.Campbell“。”[4]。2010112。。、、[1]RalphA.Cossa,BradGlosserman,MichaelA.McDevitt,NiravPatel,JamesPrzystup,BradRoberts,“TheUnitedStatesandtheAsia-PacificRegion:SecurityStrategyfortheObamaAdministration”,CenterforNewAmericaSecurity,Feb.2009.[2]PeterBrookes,“Meetingthe21stCenturySecurityChanllengesinAsia”,Heritageorg/research/asiaandpacific/h193.cfm.[3]HillaryRodhamClintonspeechinHawai,“ArchitectureinAsia-Pacific:PrinciplesandPriorities”,Thursday,14January,2010.[4]KurtM.Campbellspeech,“PrinciplesofU.S.EngagementintheAsia-Pacific”,beforetheSubcommitteeonEastAsianandPacificAffairsSenateForeignRelationsCommittee,January21,2010.28——。。20092《》TheGuamInternationalAgreement62005。《》FutemaReplacementFacilityAgreement。6。。“。。”[1]、、、。“”result-orientedcooperation。“。。。。”[1]。2011、。。、。“。”[1]。、、、、、。。“”。。“”、。、。、“”。。、[1]HillaryRodhamClintonspeechinHawai,“ArchitectureinAsia-Pacific:PrinciplesandPriorities”,Thursday,14January,2010.29——[1]RobertM.HathawayandWilsonLee,ed.GeorgeW.BushandEastAsia:AFirstTermAssessment,WoodrowWilsonInternationalCenterforScholars,WashingtonD.C.,2005,p8.[2]ShehzadH.Qazi,“UnitedStates’AttentiontoBalancetheRisingofChinainAsia”,IPRIJournalIX,No.2(Summer,2009),p33.[3]“DalaiLamagetsanupbeatbutquietObamawelcome”,new,yahoo.com/s/ap/20100128/ap-on-go-pr-wh/us-obama-dalai-lama.“”。1996“”1996“”。2001“”“”。2001。“”。“‘、’。”[1]、、、。。。·ShehzadH.Qazi“。……。。……。、。…………。”[2]。。、、。“”“”“”。。。。“”“”“”。20101[3]。、。。“”。。。“”。、30——。、6。、。。。。、《》《》。10。、、。。。。“”。。“”。[1]、、、。、。＋＋5、3、2。。。“、。”[2]。。。。。[:2010-02-25][1]“Obamavows‘muchtougher’stanceonUS-Chinatrade”BBCNews4February,2010.[2]，2009-11-17.31——Abstracts1.InternationalStrategicSituationinthe“Post-crisisEra”andItsDevelopmentTrend,byGaoZugui,SeniorResearchFellowatChinaInstitutesofContemporaryInternationalStudies,andGuestResearcher,CPDS.ThePost-ColdWarinternationalsetupfeelsastrongurgeforchangeafterthefinancialandeconomiccrisissweepingacrosstheentireworld.WhiletheU.S.isstillthesoleworldsuperpowerintermsofitscomprehensivestrength,thegapbetweenthatoftheU.S.andthoseoftheotherbigpowersisnarrowingdown.Asbigpowersandpowergroupsarebusymakingstrategicalignmentsinprospectofamulti-polarworld,relationsbetweenandamongthemaregoingtotakeonanewlook.Competitionsbetweenandamongthemstillcarrytheday,andaregoingtobeevenmoreintenseinvariousfields.TheAsianPacificregionisgettingincreasinglytobeawhirlpoolofthisgreatchange.China’speaceanddevelopmentoverlapsandinterweaveswithaworldthatisinthemidstoftransformationandrealignment.2.OntheImpactsofFinancialCrisisontheU.S.,byShangHong,SeniorResearchFellowatChinaInstituteforInternationalStrategicStudies.TheglobalfinancialcrisisnotonlyinflictedaheavyblowstotheU.S.economy,butalsoprovokedabacklashfromalldirectionsagainstthehegemonicpositionofU.S.dollar,itspolitics,societyandforeignpolicy.Inordertotacklethecrisis,theObamaAdministrationhadtotakeaseriesofbailoutplans.However,thecurrentfinancialcrisishasinnowayshakenthehegemonicstatusoftheU.S.comprehensivestrength.Yet,thereisadireneedfortheU.S.toreinvigorateitseconomyandcreateasenseofcoherenceamongtheAmericanpeople.3.ImpactsoftheU.S.FinancialCrisisonChina’sEconomy,byZhangYanshengoftheInstituteforForeignEconomicStudies,NationalDevelopmentandReformCommission.TheU.S.financialcrisistookplaceinthecontextofcontemporaryglobalizationproceedingfromtradeandinvestmentliberalizationtofinancialandtechnologicalliberalization,whichmanifestsitselfmainlyinfinancialbubblesandalackofglobalgoverningstructure,withanoutcomeofglobaleconomicimbalancebroughtaboutbygreatimbalanceinNorth-Southdevelopment.China’seconomy,withabacklashfromglobalfinancialcrisis,hasbeenconsiderablyaffected.However,owingtoitstimelyresponsesandforcefulcounter-measures,itseconomywasthefirsttobeabletorecoverandregainabalancedandfastgrowth,makingcontributionstoglobaleconomicrecoveryaswell.Inthepost-crisisera,Chinaisstillrequiredtotakeappropriateactionstodealwithaseriesofconstraintfactors.4.NewTrendinGlobalEconomicRecessionandChina’sResponse,byZhengLiansheng,adoctoralstudentattheGraduateSchooloftheChinaAcademyofSocialSciences.Theadverseeffectsoftheglobalfinancialcrisishavespreadfarandwideinmanyways.Globalfinancialinstitutionswerehitheavilyandglobaltradesappedbyabigmargin.Uncertaintyofliquidassetsisgrowingandglobaleconomicstructureisabouttobeaffectedbyradicalchanges.AlthoughtheU.S.economyhasshownsignsofrecovery,developedcountriesasawholeareslowincomingbacktolifeintheireconomies.Theemergingeconomieskeepthemomentumofeconomic