战略安全研析

StrategicandSecurityAnalysesStrategicandSecurityAnalyses...............................................................................................1.......................................................................3......................................................6..................................................10..................................15..........................19..24......................................................28......................................................32......................................36..................................................................40CONTENTSStrategicandSecurityAnalyses120081215200320081231StrategicandSecurityAnalyses2StrategicandSecurityAnalyses32008/12/022008/12/022008/12/062008/12/062008/12/082008/12/082008/12/09BBC://edition.cnn.com/2008/WORLD/asiapcf/12/02/india.attacks/index.htmlCNN(Gen.MichaelMullen)(Lashkar-e-Taiba)://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/asia-pacific/7770959.stmUN://edition.cnn.com/2008/WORLD/asiapcf/12/09/pakistan.india/index.htmlStrategicandSecurityAnalyses4://://://=1&ref=asiaBBC(AbhisitVejjajiva)(198/235)BBC://big5.xinhuanet.com/gate/big5/news.xinhuanet.com/world/2008-12/20/content_10531237_1.htm200931000MckiernanCNN://sankei.jp.msn.com/world/china/081223/chn0812232056011-n1.htm://edition.cnn.com/2008/WORLD/asiapcf/12/06/north.korea.japan.nuclear.ap/index.html(Punjab)(Jammu)(Obama)://(Fed)200052003613(FederalFundsRate)6.5%1%200420061%5.25%45%20072007918200812165.25%0%-0.25%(MBS,MortgageBackedSecurity)(ABS,AssetBackedSecurity)(CDO,CollateralizedDebtObligation)20001,20020066,0008.6%20.1%200050.4%200680.5%(CDS,CreditDefaultSwap)StrategicandSecurityAnalyses1162CDS20077(BearSterns)20087(FreddieMac)(FannieMac)9(LehmanBrothers)39(MerrillLynch)(BankofAmerica)(WashingtonMutual)(AIG)(Citibank)40020088(SachsenLandesbank)(HSBC)28%9(Baden-Wuerttemberg)10(NorthernRockBank)112(Fortis)10100ING35(KBCBank)(IMF)44%49.3%49%43.9%53.9%56%53.1%57.1%69.9%61.4%IMF2008200874.1%2008113.7%0.3%IMF2009200873.9%2008112.2%1.6%-2.2%20090.3%IMF156%70%55.75%42.2%StrategicandSecurityAnalyses122008677.9%91.6%108.3%200882220084.3%20095.08%112020081.87%20092.12%IMF20084200820094.1%5.6%113.8%2.5%112420092.2%200220081019.2%112.2%11291012.445.9IMF20089.7%42008616%108%115.4%7199020081138.8%27105.82009IMF200879.8%118%12155%40%56%1994199820012000200712.6%2008114.8%20089916.3%1019.9%1138.5%40%2008108.3%19.9%2005200020072000108%2008137-8StrategicandSecurityAnalyses137-868%67.2%20081119%200856%70%20%50%IMF200820093.3%4.8%200896.520091,22612857(EconomistIntelligenceUnit)2.9%20081196,00091231.41.892.161120095%StrategicandSecurityAnalyses1420084.0%9.4%200855915012%20098%10%650StrategicandSecurityAnalyses15197911195810619581025StrategicandSecurityAnalyses1619791119582008197911197912StrategicandSecurityAnalyses17StrategicandSecurityAnalyses18StrategicandSecurityAnalyses19(2008)12174(GulfofAden)2021200812264%(AdmiralThomasFargo)(RegionalMaritimeSecu-rityInitiative)2004(InternationalMaritimeBureau,IMB)20081094214StrategicandSecurityAnalyses20(SiriusStar)32(Faina)20086210201816183812121216200485(coalition)(AdmiralPaulKeating)200812188StrategicandSecurityAnalyses21(NATO)200812863200812263200812174420081220StrategicandSecurityAnalyses2220052007(StringofPearls)(Maj.StewartUpton)StrategicandSecurityAna