您好,欢迎访问三七文档
当前位置:首页 > 商业/管理/HR > 质量控制/管理 > 国家安全环境的系统理论
,,,,;;,19671,,,(:100007)D80A1006-9550(2001)08-0016-06:,(rationalchoice),,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,(),,(),,(61,:A);B)RobertJervis,SystemEffects:ComplexityinPoliticalandSocialLife(PrincetonUniversityPress,1997),p.6.,KennethN.Waltz,TheoryofInternationalPolitics(Addision-Wesley,1979),JeffreyW.LegroandAn2drewMoravcsik,IsAnybodyStillaRealist?InternationalSecurity,Vol.24,No.2(Fall1999),pp.555.),,,(),(),,,,;,,,,,(),(),(),:(),(),:,,70%,Adrianople(Edirne)323191315,,,,;14,,,,,lu(),,,,,7120018lu,,JohnKeegan,AHistoryofWarfare(NewYork,N.Y.:VintageBooks,1993),pp.6870.,,,:,,20001,46,:Thucydides,ThePeloponnesianWar,RexWarnertrans.(London:PenguineBooks,1972)ThomasJ.ChristensenandJackSnyder,ChainGangsandPassedBucks:PredictingAlliancePatternsinMultipolarity,InternationalOrgani2zation,Vol.44,No.2(1990),pp.137168;GlennSnyder,TheSecurityDilemmainAlliancePolitics,WP,36(July1984),pp.46195.Waltz,TheoryofInternationalPolitics,pp.204209.Jervis,SystemEffects,pp.197209.Waltz,,KennethN.Waltz,ReflectiononTheoryofInternationalPolitics:AResponsetoMyCritics,inRobertO.Keohane,ed.,NeorealismandItsCritics(NewYork:ColumbiaUniversityPress,1986),p.329.,JohnHerz,IdealistInterna2tionalistsandtheSecurityDilemma,WorldPolitics(WP),Vol.2(January1950),pp.157180;RobertJervis,CooperationundertheSecurityDilemma,WP,Vol.30(January1978),pp.189214,pp.497538;CharlesL.Glaser,TheSecurityDilemmaRevisited,WP,Vol.50(October1997),pp.171201.,(),,,,(),,,():,:,,(Waltz),,,(),,,,;,,:,(MAD):,,,,,,,;;,:(),,,,,,,(),,,(deterrencebydenial),,,,81:TMD,,199910,2530RobertPowell,NuclearDeterrence:theSearchforCreditability(CambridgeUniversityPress,1990),Chapter3.,JohnJ.Mearsheimer,ConventionalDeterrence(Ithaca,Cor2nellUniversityPress,1983),Chapter7.Mearsheimer,,,,JackL.Snyder,TheIdeologyoftheOffensive:MilitaryDecisionMakingandtheDisastersof1914(Ithaca,CornellUniversityPress,1984);StephenVanEvera,TheCultoftheOffensiveandtheOriginoftheFirstWorldWar,IS,Vol.9,No.1.(Summer1984),pp.58107.StephenVanEvera,Offense,Defense,andtheCausesofWar,IS,Vol.22(Winter1997/1998),pp.543.RobertJervis,theMeaningofNuclearRevolution:StatecraftandtheProspectofArmageddon(Ithaca,CornellUniversityPress,1989),Chapter3.KennethN.Waltz,TheStabilityofBipolarity,Daedalus,Vol.93,No.3(Summer1964),pp.881901;Waltz,TheoryofInternationalPolitics,Chapter8&pp.204205.(NeoclassicalRealism):GideonRose,NeoclassicalRealismandTheoriesofForeignPolicy,WP,Vol.51(Octo2ber1998),pp.144172.,,,,,,(),,,,():()A:,,,,,(paradigm),(permeability):,,,(sensitivity)(vulnerability),,,,:(1),,;(2),,,,,,,(//):,/:,/:,,::/()B:,9120018,WaltzKeohane/Nyesensitivityvulnerability:Waltz,TheoryofInternationalPolitics,pp.139146;KeohaneandNye,PowerandInterdependence,pp.819.,:,,20002,9Waltz,TheoryofInternationalPolitics,pp.139146;RobertKeohaneandJosephNye,PowerandIndependence(Boston,M.A.:Little&Brown,1977),pp.819.,,,,,,,,,,,,:,,,,,,(),,(),,,,,:(1),(2),,,(3),,(4),,,,()::,,,,,,(),,,,,02Glaser,TheSecurityDilemmaRevisited.(),,,,,,,,,,,(),,,(),,,,,,,,,,:,,,,(),,,,,,,,(),,,,,,,,:,(),,,1220018,,,,,,,,,:,;,;,,:,;,;,,;;;,,(:100010)D81A1006-9550(2001)08-0022-0440,,,,,,:,,,,,,[:2000-10-10;:2001-01-11][:],:AlexWendt,AnarchyisWhatStatesMakeofIt:theSocialConstructionofPowerPolitics,InternationalOrganization,Vol.46,No.2(Spring1992),pp.391425.22
本文标题:国家安全环境的系统理论
链接地址:https://www.777doc.com/doc-1255611 .html