中国承接服务外包影响因素分析_基于多国面板数据的实证检验

©1994-2010ChinaAcademicJournalElectronicPublishingHouse.Allrightsreserved.(1995)Leamer(1995),,PanelData1999-2007,,::,/,116025;,,116025:F752:A:1002-8102(2010)07-0089-092090,,,,,21,2008:20056000,20068600,20071.2,20081.5,,,DossaniPanagariya(2005),,,2008,,BrownWilson(2008),98201073(:70873015)2009(:L09DJY065)2010(:WS2010003),20082009©1994-2010ChinaAcademicJournalElectronicPublishingHouse.Allrightsreserved.(2006)(2007),(2007),,(2007),,2008,,,,,,,??,,,,,,:()?()FeenstraFeenstra(2008)Heckscher2Ohlin(),DornbuschFischerSamuelson(1980),0Z(),0,ZB(qH(z),wL(z))r,:c(w,q,r,z)=BwL(z)+qH(z)r1-(1),()(),:q/wq3/w3,rr3(2)Heckscher2Ohlin,,,,z,1,A:c(w,q,r,z)/c(w3,q3,r3,z)=1(3)0z,1,,zZ,09Finance&TradeEconomics,No17,20103©1994-2010ChinaAcademicJournalElectronicPublishingHouse.Allrightsreserved.(zz);,c/c3,zz,,zz,,,,Feenstra(2008),,,Feenstra(2008)Feenstra(2008):Feestra(2008)19(),Trefler(1995)Leamer(1995),,T,,,CQ,,TT=Q-C(4)Trefler(1995),(4)(C):(Qw)()(Q)()0,(),,HOVC=Qw+Q(5)(),(Q)(A-1)(V)Q=A-1V(6)Leamer(1995)0,,p,pw:=(1-)pQpwQw(7)(4),(5),(6),(7):T=(1-)VA-1(1-p/pw)(8)(8),,(8),,,,(8),,1920107©1994-2010ChinaAcademicJournalElectronicPublishingHouse.Allrightsreserved.()1.,()OECD,,OECD,,36,1999-2007,2.(1):(OFF)1999-2006UNCTAD,2007WTO,(),(2):(EDU),,OECDEurostat,,(ILO)(3):(PPP),,,,,,(PPPconversionrate)IMF(4)(GDPC):,,,,,,,IMF(5):,(IMF)(INFLA)(6):,29Finance&TradeEconomics,No17,2010,,©1994-2010ChinaAcademicJournalElectronicPublishingHouse.Allrightsreserved.(INT)(TEL),(7):Wolf(2000)(homebias),,,,,,(PAT),(IEF),OECDWorldaudit(),:lnOFFit=0+1lnEDU+2lnPPPit+3INFLAit+4GDPCit+5lnINTit+6lnTELit+7lnPAT+8lnIEF+i+vt+it(9),Panel()1.,,(),,,3,,,100,(,):lnOFFit=0+1lnEDU+2lnPPPit+3INFLAit+4GDPCit+5lnINTit+7lnPAT+8lnIEF+i+vt+it(10)2.,:,,3,()3920107,,100(INT)(TEL),0.643,,,100,0.5710.451,,LLCIPSFisher2ADFFisher2PP,,©1994-2010ChinaAcademicJournalElectronicPublishingHouse.Allrightsreserved.(FGLS),1(1)(1)(LNEDU)(LNPPP)(LNINT)(LNIEF)1%,,,1,2.02,,,1,0.580.42,,1,0.911(1)(2)()()2.24(1.60)2.20(1.62)-2.79(-1.40)6.26333(3.17)(LNEDU)0.58333(5.87)0.58333(6.13)0.3633(2.38)0.76333(5.81)(LNPPP)-0.91333-4.54)-0.84333(-5.30)-0.64333(-3.23)(INFLA)-0.003(-0.57)-0.05333(-3.82)(GDPC)0.006(0.86)0.03333(2.71)(LNINT)0.42333(11.63)0.42333(11.90)0.63333(12.74)0.17333(3.01)(LNPAT)-0.003(-0.09)(LNIEF)2.02333(7.10)2.01333(7.12)2.71333(6.47)1.12333(2.63)F62.5274.56379.12117.89Hausman95.3985.922.1649.80R20.990.990.750.98324324216108:t,3333331%5%10%49Finance&TradeEconomics,No17,2010,,©1994-2010ChinaAcademicJournalElectronicPublishingHouse.Allrightsreserved.(INFLA)(LNPAT),10%,,-0.0030.006-0.003,,3,,,(2),(LNEDU)(LNPPP)(LNINT)(LNIEF)1%,(0.910.84),(1)(),,,,36()(),:()(),1()():(LNEDU)(LNINT)(LNIEF),(LNIEF)()(),1,2.711.12,,,(LNINT)(LNEDU),(),()10.76,(LNINT)0.17,,(),,3,(PPP)(),1%(PPP)1,0.64,(),10%(),,(),1%(),1%1,0.05,()(),,1%5920107,,(),(),LevinLinChutImPesaranShin(1995)wADF2FisherChi2squarePP2FisherChi2square©1994-2010ChinaAcademicJournalElectronicPublishingHouse.Allrightsreserved.:,1999-2007(2),,6.386.29,4.46,,,1999-2007,3.9,,,,1.34%,,,,,9.60%,,,,,,,,200720064.767%,,,6.48%,,1999-20079%,1999-20079.59%,,,20075%,,1%,0.72:%1999-200744655206-962963839016122344089.59153443491.342.247.036.486.783.39GDP9.604.933.143.084.036.30218688116251010780421220284165-1212696-17-2-192160-2.35-5.614.5912117,:,,,WTO,,,,,69Finance&TradeEconomics,No17,2010©1994-2010ChinaAcademicJournalElectronicPublishingHouse.Allrightsreserved.:1.:,200792.:,2007103.:,200864.:,200685.:,200796.:,200847.:2008,,,2009-01-08/2009-08-19.8.:OECD,200959.Brown&Wilson,BlackBookofOutsourcing,2008.10.Dossani,RafiqandPanagariya,Arvind,GlobalizationandtheOffshoringofServices:TheCaseofIndia[withCommentandDiscussion].BrookingsTradeForum.OffshoringWhite2CollarWork,2005,pp.241-277.11.Feenstra,RobertC.,OffshoringintheGlobalEconomy,OhlinLectures,presentedattheStockholmSchoolofEconom2ics,September2008.12.Hausman,J.A.,Specificationtestsineconometrics.Econometrica,Vol.46,No.6,1978,pp.1251-1271.13.Leamer,EdwardE.,TheHeckscher2OhlinModelinTheoryandPractice.PrincetonStudiesinInternationalFinance,No.77,February1995.14.Trefler,Daniel,TheCaseoftheMissingTradeandOtherHOVMysteries.AmericanEconomicReview,85(5),1995,pp.1029-1046.15.Wolf,C.Holger,IntranationalHomeBiasinTrade.TheReviewofEconomicsandStatistics,Vol.82,No.4,2000,pp.555-563.16.WTO,WorldTradeReport,2008.17.WTO,InternationalStatistics,1999-2008.:792010720091